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DETAILS IN TECHNICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION!
LOCAL FORECAST MAPS UPDATED! BASEBALL WEATHER CONDITIONS UPDATED!
TODAY’S PODCAST:
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TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY:
Today: Periods of rain in the morning followed by partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Winds will veer from the southwest to northwest around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower to mid 80’s for highs with humid conditions.
Tonight: Scattered showers with otherwise partly cloudy skies. Winds will back from the northwest to southeast around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will fall into the upper 50’s over the Hudson Valley to the upper 60’s over southern New Jersey.
Saturday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. The strongest thunderstorms will be capable of frequent lightning, heavy downpours, and wind gusts over 65 mph. Winds will be from the southeast around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will rise into the upper 70’s to lower 80’s with very humid conditions.
Saturday night: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. The strongest thunderstorms will be capable of frequent lightning, heavy downpours, and wind gusts over 65 mph. Winds will be from the southeast around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will fall into the lower 60’s to lower 70’s for lows.
Sunday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers. Winds will be from the south around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will rise into the mid 80’s for highs with humid conditions.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY:
Monday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers. Temperatures will range from the upper 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and mid 80’s to lower 90’s for highs with very humid conditions expected.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Temperatures will range from the upper 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and mid 80’s to lower 90’s for highs with very humid conditions expected.
Wednesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will range from the upper 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and mid 80’s to lower 90’s for highs with very humid conditions expected.
Thursday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the mid 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and lower to upper 80’s for highs.
The main threat for concentrated severe weather will be over the northern Rockies where a strong upper disturbance will move through eastern Montana. The strongest thunderstorms will produce large hail, strong wind gusts, heavy downpours, and frequent lightning.
Otherwise, much of the CONUS will be quiet with a few isolated severe thunderstorms over the Mid Atlantic through the Ohio Valley in response to a stalling cold front. A few isolated severe thunderstorms will also be possible over the Southeast and Gulf Coast due to diurnal heating.
TODAY’S PODCAST:
QUICK CAST:
TODAY TONIGHT FRIDAY FRIDAY PM SATURDAY
80-92 59-69 80-90 54-68 76-90
TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY:
Today: Increasing clouds with winds from the southwest around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower 80’s to lower 90’s with increasing humidity.
Tonight: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and strong to severe thunderstorms. Winds will veer from the southwest to northwest around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will fall into the upper 50’s to upper 60’s for lows.
Friday: Partly cloudy with widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Winds will back to the southwest around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower 80’s to lower 90’s for highs.
Friday night: Partly cloudy with widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Winds will be from the southwest around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will fall into the mid 50’s to upper 60’s for lows.
Saturday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Winds will be from the southwest around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the mid 70’s to lower 90’s for highs with cool conditions over the central Hudson Valley and high humidity over southern New Jersey.
SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
Sunday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will range from the lower 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and lower 80’s to lower 90’s for highs.
Monday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will range from the upper 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and mid 80’s to lower 90’s for highs.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will range from the upper 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and upper 80’s to mid 90’s for highs.
Wednesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will range from the upper 60’s to mid 70’s for lows and mid 80’s to mid 90’s for highs.
Tropical Storm Bertha formed in the eastern Atlantic this afternoon. As discussed this morning, then tropical depression two and now Bertha has a very well developed out flow with little in the way of shear seen inhibiting the development of this tropical storm. As Bertha moves to the west, expect Bertha to strength close to hurricane strength by the end of this weekend. Bertha is not expected to impact any land mass in the next few days, but will have to be monitored for impacts on the United States for next week. The question for the track remains on just how far north Bertha will move before falling under the influence of the high pressure system off the East coast.
Strong thunderstorms over eastern Pennsylvania will continue to move through eastern Pennsylvania and eventually much of northern and central New Jersey, southeastern New York, and Connecticut. Currently, no severe thunderstorms have developed. However a strong thunderstorm just south of Allentown will move towards northern Bucks county of Pennsylvania, and Warren and Hunterdon Counties of New Jersey. This thunderstorm is capable of occasional lightning, heavy downpours, and wind gusts to 55 mph.
Today, there are two main focuses of severe weather, which both can be attributed to a strong cold front moving south over the Great Lakes and the Plains.
Over the Northeast, the combination of a strong cold front at surface and impressive wind shear aloft along with an unstable atmosphere will lead to the development of strong to severe thunderstorms. The strongest thunderstorms will be capable of wind gusts over 65 mph, large hail, heavy downpours, and frequent lightning.
Meanwhile, like in the Northeast, wind shear will be at a maximum over central and northern Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle. The strong cold front will stall over central Oklahoma by this afternoon and produce showers and thunderstorms with the strongest thunderstorms capable of large hail, wind gusts over 65 mph, frequent lightning, and heavy downpours.
TODAY’S PODCAST
QUICK CAST:
TODAY TONIGHT THURSDAY THU PM FRIDAY
85-89 64-68 79-90 57-69 76-90
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY:
Today: Partly cloudy with a few isolated showers and thunderstorms through the afternoon. Winds will be from the west around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will rise into the mid to upper 80’s for highs.
Tonight: Clear to partly cloudy with winds from the southwest around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will fall into the mid to upper 60’s for lows.
Thursday: Partly cloudy and humid. Winds will be from the southwest around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the upper 70’s to lower 90’s for highs with cooler conditions over the Hudson Valley.
Thursday night: Scattered showers and strong to severe thunderstorms. Winds will be from the southwest around 10 to 20 mph. Temperatures will fall into the upper 50’s to upper 60’s for lows. Much cooler and lower humidity over the Hudson Valley.
Friday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and strong to severe thunderstorms. Winds will be from the southwest around 10 to 20 mph. Temperatures will rise into the mid 70’s to upper 80’s for highs with much cooler conditions over the Hudson Valley and Connecticut.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY:
Saturday: Partly cloudy and humid with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will range from the upper 50’s to lower 70’s for lows and mid 70’s to upper 80’s for highs. Much cooler conditions expected over the Hudson Valley and Connecticut.
Sunday: Partly cloudy and humid with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will range from the lower 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and mid to upper 80’s for highs.
Monday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will range from the mid 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and mid to upper 80’s for highs.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will range from the upper 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and upper 80’s to lower 90’s for highs.
The following are official local storm reports from the National Weather Service for Tuesday, July 1st.
0728 PM FLASH FLOOD PLEASANTVILLE 41.14N 73.78W
07/01/2008 WESTCHESTER NY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
RIGHT LANE BLOCKED ON MANVILLE ROAD
0730 PM TSTM WND DMG BRIARCLIFF MANOR 41.14N 73.84W
07/01/2008 WESTCHESTER NY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
TREE DOWN
0732 PM FLASH FLOOD NORTHVALE 41.01N 73.95W
07/01/2008 BERGEN NJ TRAINED SPOTTER
NUMEROUS ROADS WITH RUNNING WATER IN EXCESS OF THREE
INCHES
0732 PM FLASH FLOOD NORWOOD 40.99N 73.95W
07/01/2008 BERGEN NJ TRAINED SPOTTER
NUMEROUS ROADS WITH RUNNING WATER IN EXCESS OF THREE
INCHES
0732 PM FLASH FLOOD TAPPAN 41.03N 73.95W
07/01/2008 ROCKLAND NY TRAINED SPOTTER
NUMEROUS ROADS WITH RUNNING WATER IN EXCESS OF THREE
INCHES
0845 PM HAIL 4 SSE NAUGATUCK 41.44N 73.01W
07/01/2008 M0.75 INCH NEW HAVEN CT TRAINED SPOTTER
PENNY SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND
The focus on the severe weather threat today will be over the central Great Lakes, Mid West, and the central Plains as a strong cold front moves through the center part of the country. A series of strong disturbances will move through these regions, which will produce strong lifting of a developing unstable air mass. The greatest threat from these severe thunderstorms will be large hail, strong wind gusts, heavy downpours, and frequent lightning. Wind gusts in some of these thunderstorms will exceed 65 mph gusts due to strong downdrafts in these thunderstorms.
Meanwhile, scattered strong to isolated severe thunderstorms will develop over New England in response to a departing upper trough over the region. Also, scattered strong thunderstorms will develop over Florida and the Gulf Coast due to thermal mixing.
All forecasts and forecast discussions are copyright published works.
Please ask in advance to copy discussions. Copyright 2007
