June 30th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino
TODAY’S PODCAST
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QUICK CAST:
TODAY TONIGHT TUESDAY TUESDAY PM WEDNESDAY
84-89 62-69 81-85 54-65 84-88
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
Today: Clear to partly cloudy with an isolated shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon. Winds will be from the west around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will rise into the mid to upper 80’s for highs.
Tonight: Clear to partly cloudy with winds from the west around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will fall into the lower to upper 60’s for lows.
Tuesday: Clear to partly cloudy with an isolated shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon. Winds will be from the west around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower to mid 80’s for highs.
Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Winds will be from the west around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will fall into the mid 50’s to mid 60’s for lows.
Wednesday: Clear to partly cloudy with winds from the southwest around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the mid to upper 80’s with higher humidity.
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY:
Thursday: Partly cloudy with afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will range from the lower to upper 60’s for lows and mid to upper 80’s for highs.
Friday: Partly cloudy with lower humidity. Temperatures will range from the lower to upper 60’s for lows and lower to mid 80’s for highs.
Saturday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the upper 50’s to mid 60’s for lows and upper 70’s to lower 80’s for highs.
Sunday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the upper 50’s to upper 60’s for lows and lower 80’s for highs.
June 30th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino
An upper disturbance over the Ohio Valley will continue to move east this afternoon. This disturbance will destabilize the atmosphere as the afternoon and evening progresses, which will produce showers and thunderstorms over eastern Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and the Hudson Valley. The immediate coastal areas will be spared the most of the showers as the atmosphere is more stable along the coast.
Expect showers and thunderstorms to develop this afternoon and evening over the Philadelphia and New York City metro. The thunderstorms will remain below severe levels but will be capable of occasional lightning, small hail, heavy downpours, and wind gusts to 50 mph.
June 30th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino
The following are official storm reports from the severe thunderstorms that impacted the forecast area on Sunday, June 29th, 2008.
0150 PM HAIL UNION BEACH 40.45N 74.17W
06/29/2008 M0.50 INCH MONMOUTH NJ COUNTY OFFICIAL
DIME TO MARBLE SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN HAZLET.
0355 PM TSTM WND DMG RED BANK 40.35N 74.07W
06/29/2008 MONMOUTH NJ DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
NJ TRANSIT NORTH JERSEY COAST LINE TEMPORARILY SUSPENDED
IN BOTH DIRECTED DUE TO DOWNED TREES.
0430 PM HAIL NEW BRUNSWICK 40.49N 74.45W
06/29/2008 M0.88 INCH MIDDLESEX NJ TRAINED SPOTTER
NICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN NEW BRUNSWICK. ALSO, WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH REPORTED.
0435 PM HAIL HIGHLAND PARK 40.50N 74.43W
06/29/2008 E0.75 INCH MIDDLESEX NJ TRAINED SPOTTER
DIME TO PENNY SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN HIGHLAND PARK.
0435 PM TSTM WND DMG HIGHLAND PARK 40.50N 74.43W
06/29/2008 MIDDLESEX NJ TRAINED SPOTTER
POWER LINES REPORTED DOWN IN HIGHLAND PARK AND CRANBURY.
MULTIPLE POWER OUTAGES REPORTED ACROSS THE COUNTY.
0500 PM FLASH FLOOD EDISON 40.53N 74.37W
06/29/2008 MIDDLESEX NJ TRAINED SPOTTER
FLOODING REPORTED ON WOODBRIDGE AVENUE AND PLAINFIELD
ROAD.
0504 PM TSTM WND DMG SOUTH BRUNSWICK 40.40N 74.54W
06/29/2008 MIDDLESEX NJ LAW ENFORCEMENT
MULTIPLE TREES REPORTED DOWN IN SOUTH BRUNSWICK.
0201 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 2 ENE HUGUENOT 40.55N 74.14W
06/29/2008 M54.00 MPH RICHMOND (STATEN I NY MESONET
AWS STATION AT PS 53 BAY TERRACE SCHOOL MEASURED WIND
GUST OF 47 KTS/54 MPH
June 30th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino
No wide spread severe weather is expected today. However, as a strong upper low and long wave trough rotates through the eastern United States, a few isolated strong to severe thunderstorms may develop along the Gulf Coast, Southeast, Ohio Valley, and Northeast this afternoon. The largest risk from these thunderstorms will be large hail and wind gusts to 60 mph.
Meanwhile, due to some thermal mixing, a few isolated severe thunderstorms may develop over the Rockies in response to an unstable environment. Otherwise, the majority of the United States will have quiet conditions.
June 29th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY:
Today: Increasing clouds with showers and thunderstorms. Some of the thunderstorms will become severe with the strongest thunderstorms producing frequent lightningt, large hail, wind gusts over 65 mph, isolated tornadoes, and heavy downpours. Winds will be from the southwest around 10 to 20 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower to upper 80’s for highs.
Tonight: Strong to severe thunderstorms expected with the strongest thunderstorms producing frequent lightning, large hail, wind gusts over 65 mph, heavy downpours, and isolated tornadoes. Winds will veer from the southwes to west around 10 to 20 mph. Temperatures will fall into the upper 60’s to lower 70’s for lows.
Monday: Lingering morning showers followed by clearing skies. Winds will be from the west around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower to upper 80’s for highs.
Monday night: Partly cloudy with winds from the west around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will fall into the lower to upper 60’s for lows.
Tuesday: Clear to partly cloudy with winds from the west around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower 80’s for highs.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY:
Wednesday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the upper 50’s to mid 60’s for lows and lower to upper 80’s for highs.
Thursday: Clear to partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Temperatures will range from the lower to upper 60’s for lows and upper 70’s to lower 80’s for highs.
Friday: Partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the lower to upper 60’s for lows and upper 70’s to lower 80’s for highs.
Saturday: Partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the upper 50’s to mid 60’s for lows and upper 70’s to lower 80’s for highs.
June 29th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino
The line of thunderstorms moving towards the forecast area has a high chance of intensifying due to the atmosphere ahead of these thunderstorms.
Currently temperatures are in the upper 70’s to lower 80’s with dew points in the upper 60’s to lower 70’s, which is a very warm, humid, and unstable atmosphere to move into. With plenty of low level moisture and heat content for these thunderstorms to fuel on, expect the line of thunderstorms to reintensify in the coming hour after a brief pulse down over eastern Pennsylvania. The areas most likely to see this intensification is over northern and central New Jersey, the northern metro of Philadelphia, and much of the New York City metro area.
Due to influences from the Atlantic, the atmosphere is slightly more stable over southern New Jersey and thus a lower potential for severe thunderstorms.
June 29th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino
A line of strong to severe thunderstorms are rapidly moving through eastern Pennsylvania and will impact much of the New York City and Philadelphia metro areas in the next 3 hours. These thunderstorms are capable of frequent ground to sky lightning, large hail, heavy downpours, and wind gusts over 60 mph.
Over the next 30 minutes the following counties in the forecast area will be impacted:
Pennsylvania: Wayne, Pike, Lackawanna, Pike, Monroe, Luzerne, Carbon, Lehigh, Schuylkill, Columbia, Berks, Lancaster, York, and Chester
New York: Sullivan, Ulster
June 29th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino
An area of strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to move through northeastern New Jersey and much of New York City. These thunderstorms are producing large hail, frequent lightning, wind gusts over 65 mph, and very heavy downpours. Expect flash flooding over much of the 5 boroughs of New York City and western Long Island along with much of northeastern New Jersey including Newark, New Jersey.
This will not be the last series of thunderstorms for the forecast area. A line of strong to severe thunderstorms is currently developing over Pennsylvania and central New York, which is producing strong straight line winds, frequent lightning, and large hail. These thunderstorms will impact the forecast area later this evening.
Although tornadoes have not developed over the forecast area, some thunderstorms will still be capable of producing isolated tornadoes through this evening.
As for me, lost power for a while so I couldn’t post. However I can attest that these thunderstorms have been especially nasty over Monmouth County. More later!
June 29th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino
The majority of the severe weather today will be focused from southern New England back to the Eastern Great Lakes and southward towards the Southeast as a strong cold front moves through the eastern third of the United States.
As described in the technical forecast discussion, several atmospheric features are combining over these locations to produce a very unstable atmosphere, strong laspe rates, and significant vertical direcation and speed shear. These attributes to the atmosphere will lead to the development of large hail, frequent lightning, wind gusts over 65 mph, isolated tornadoes, and heavy downpours.
At first, much of the development of thunderstorms will be of super cell, independent thunderstorms that will have the potential to develop rapidly and with limited warning over these regions. However, as the cold front approaches and the low level jet stream increases in strength this evening, a solid intense line of strong to severe thunderstorms will develop and track east towards the coastal plain. This line of thunderstorms will have the potential to develop impressive bow echoes, which is an indication of strong wind gusts along with large hail.
These thunderstorms will be dangerous and caution should be used this afternoon and evening with these thunderstorms.
June 28th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino
TODAY’S PODCAST:
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QUICK CAST:
TODAY TONIGHT SUNDAY SUNDAY PM MONDAY
84-92 69-74 83-88 63-71 81-85
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY:
Today: Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Winds will be from the southwest around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the mid 80’s to lower 90’s for highs.
Tonight: Partly cloudy with widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially over eastern Pennsylvania. Winds will be from the southwest around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will fall into the upper 60’s to mid 70’s for lows.
Sunday: Showers and strong to severe thunderstorms in the afternoon. Winds will be from the southwest around 10 to 20 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower 80’s to lower 90’s for highs.
Sunday night: Showers and strong to severe thunderstorms. Winds will veer from the southwest to west around 10 to 20 mph. Temperatures will fall into the lower 60’s to lower 70’s for lows.
Monday: Lingering morning showers followed by clearing conditions. Winds will be from the west around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower to mid 80’s for highs.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY:
Tuesday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the upper 50’s to mid 60’s for lows and upper 70’s to lower 80’s for highs.
Wednesday: Clear to partly cloudy and humid. Temperatures will range from the upper 50’s to mid 60’s for lows and lower to upper 80’s for highs.
Thursday: Clear to partly cloudy and humid. Temperatures will range from the lower to upper 60’s for lows and lower to mid 80’s for highs.
Friday: Partly cloudy with afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will range from the lower 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and mid 70’s to mid 80’s for highs.
