NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Podcast Theme:  A quick overview of the day’s weather.  A discussion on the developing Nor’easter.  Finally, a discussion on 12Z model data and the threat of some tropical trouble!

Wednesday August 13th, 2008

Two areas of focus today for the severe weather.  

The first is over the Southeast coast.  South Carolina and Georgia will be in the warm sector of a developing low pressure system over northwestern Georgia.  A strong upper disturbance will dig and turn through the forecast area which will produce strong lifting over the region.  Meanwhile, strong isentropic lifting will lead to the addition of plenty of heat and moisture until the area.  Finally, the veering winds from the surface to 500 MB will produce strong vertical wind shear, which will support the development of turning thunderstorms.  The strongest thunderstorms will be capable of strong wind gusts, isolated tornadoes, large hail, and heavy rainfall.

A strong disturbance and a weak trough of low pressure at the surface will move through the eastern Rockies and western central Plains.  The disturbance will produce veering winds from the surface to 500 MB, which will produce strong wind shear over the region.  The strongest thunderstorms will be capable of strong wind gusts, large hail, heavy downpours, and isolated tornadoes.

Local Forecast Discussion is updated!

Looks like today is going to be a nice, comfortable day for the region!  However, a nor’easter will be a close call along the coast and stormy conditions are expected to end the week.  Here are the thoughts I’ll cover in the technical forecast discussion:

1. Close play at the plate!

2. Rough Friday ahead?

3.  Great weekend conditions!

4.  Pattern change equals hot conditions?