NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Saturday not a complete wash out

The new 12Z model guidance is in and appears to have a better handle on the rainfall for Saturday.

The low pressure system is expected to approach the region by Saturday afternoon with scatter showers and thunderstorms. There appears to be less support for a strong MCS to develop, which would have brought a threat of widespread heavy rain.

I now think that much of Saturday morning into early Saturday afternoon will rain dry with variable cloud cover. In the afternoon and evening, a line of thunderstorms will move through the forecast area. A few of these thunderstorms will be strong to severe with large hail, frequent lightning, heavy downpours, and wind gusts exceeding 50 mph.

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