Today: Clear to partly cloudy with light and variable winds. Temperatures will rise into the mid 80’s to lower 90’s for highs.
Tonight: Clear to partly cloudy with light and variable winds. Temperatures will fall into the mid 60’s to lower 70’s for lows.
Thursday: Hazy, hot, and humid with winds from the southwest around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will rise into the mid 80’s to mid 90’s with a heat index near 100°.
Thursday Night: Clear to partly cloudy with winds from the southwest around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will fall into the mid 60’s to lower 70’s for lows.
Friday: Hazy, hot, and humid with winds from the southwest around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will rise into the upper 80’s to upper 90’s for highs with a heat index at or over 100°.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY:
Saturday: Hazy, hot, and humid. Temperatures will range from the lower to mid 70’s for lows and mid 80’s to mid 90’s for highs. Heat index will be at or over 100°.
Sunday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and strong to severe thunderstorms. Temperatures will range from the upper 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and upper 80’s to mid 90’s for highs.
Monday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and strong to severe thunderstorms. Temperatures will range from the mid 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and mid 80’s to mid 90’s for highs.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and strong to severe thunderstorms. Temperatures will range from the upper 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and upper 80’s to mid 90’s for highs.
I just came across an interesting article this morning that made me laugh, according to researchers kidney stones will become a major issue to may Americans due to global warming. That’s right! The article goes on stating that because temperatures will increase, which they haven’t in 10 years or since 1998, that more people will become dehydrated and will be exposed to hotter temperatures, thus increasing desolved minerals in the urine. So clearly, future global warming will apparently stop people from drinking water. The author goes on to state that this is the first study to prove that global warming will directly hurt humans. The only problem is that this is a theory and nothing thus far has been proven except to state that people should try to hydrate themselves regardless of the temperature to prevent kidney stones.
At any rate, these type of articles remind me of the hysteria in the 1990’s with El Nino where everything and anything was blamed on the ENSO state. In tribute of this ridiculous article, I give you the great Chris Farley!
Today: Rain, heavy at times, with embedded thunderstorms through the afternoon. Rainfall rates of 0.5″ to 1.5″ per hour will be possible in some of the showers and thunderstorms. Flash flooding in small streams and urban flooding will be possible. Winds will veer from the southwest to west around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower to upper 80’s for highs.
Tonight: Clearing skies with winds from the west around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will fall into the upper 50’s to upper 60’s for lows with lower humidity.
Tuesday: Clear to partly cloudy with light and variable winds. Temperatures will rise into the mid 80’s to lower 90’s with cooler conditions along the coast.
Tuesday Night: Clear to partly cloudy with light and variable winds. Temperatures will fall into the mid 50’s to upper 60’s for lows.
Wednesday: Clear to partly cloudy with light and variable winds. Temperatures will rise into the mid 80’s to mid 90’s with humid conditions. Heat index will approach or surpass 100°. Slightly cooler conditions along the coast.
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY:
Thursday: Hazy, hot, and humid. Temperatures will range from the lower 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and upper 80’s to upper 90’s for highs. Heat index will approach or surpass 100°.
Friday: Hazy, hot, and humid. Temperatures will range from the mid 60’s to mid 70’s for lows and upper 80’s to upper 90’s for highs. Heat index will approach or surpass 100°.
Saturday: Hazy, hot, and humid. Temperatures will range from the mid 60’s to mid 70’s for lows and upper 80’s to upper 90’s for highs. Heat index will approach or surpass 100°.
Sunday: Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Continued hazy, hot, and humid with temperatures ranging from the mid 60’s to mid 70’s for lows and lower 80’s to mid 90’s for highs. Heat index will approach 100°.
Today: Increasing clouds with winds from the southwest around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the mid to upper 80’s for highs.
Tonight: Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms towards mid night. Winds will be from the southwest around 5 to 15 mph. The strongest thunderstorms will produce frequent lightning, wind gusts to 60 mph, and heavy downpours. Temperatures will range from the mid to upper 60’s for lows.
Monday: Showers and thunderstorms expected through the early afternoon. The strongest thunderstorms will be capable of frequent lightning, wind gusts to 60 mph, and heavy downpours. Flash flooding will be possible in some locations. Winds will veer from the southwest to west around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower to mid 80’s for highs.
Monday Night: Partly cloudy with winds from the west around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will fall into the upper 50’s to mid 60’s for lows.
Tuesday: Clear to partly cloudy with winds from the northwest around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower to upper 80’s for highs.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY:
Wednesday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the lower to upper 60’s for lows and mid 80’s to lower 90’s for highs.
Thursday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the mid 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and upper 80’s to mid 90’s for highs with humid conditions.
Friday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the upper 60’s to mid 70’s for lows and lower to mid 90’s for highs with humid conditions.
Saturday: Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Temperatures will range from the upper 60’s to mid 70’s for lows and upper 80’s to lower 90’s for highs with humid conditions.
Today: Clear to partly cloudy with winds from the southwest around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will rise into the mid 80’s to lower 90’s with humid conditions.
Tonight: Clear to partly cloudy with winds from the south around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will fall into the mid to upper 60’s for lows.
Sunday: Increasing clouds with winds from the south around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower to mid 80’s for highs.
Sunday Night: Increasing clouds with showers and thunderstorms towards mid night. Winds will be from the southwest around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will fall into the mid to upper 60’s for lows.
Monday: Showers and thunderstorms through the morning with the potential for localized flash flooding. Clearing skies in the afternoon. Winds will veer from the southwest to west around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the mid 70’s to mid 80’s for highs.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY:
Tuesday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the upper 50’s to mid 60’s for lows and lower to mid 80’s for highs.
Wednesday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the upper 50’s to upper 60’s for lows and mid 80’s to lower 90’s for highs.
Thursday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the mid 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and mid 80’s to lower 90’s for highs.
Friday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the mid 60’s to mid 70’s for lows and mid to upper 80’s for highs.
Today: Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms by the afternoon. The strongest thunderstorms will be capable of frequent lightning, wind gusts to 65 mph, and heavy rainfall. Flash flooding will be possible in some of the thunderstorms. Winds will be from the southwest around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower to mid 80’s for highs with humid conditions.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms will give way to clearing skies by late evening. The strongest thunderstorms will be capable of frequent lightning, wind gusts to 65 mph, and heavy rainfall. Flash flooding will be possible in some of the thunderstorms. Winds will veer from the southwest to west around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will fall into the lower 60’s to lower 70’s for lows.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with winds from the west around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower to upper 80’s for highs with lower humidity.
Thursday Night: Clear to partly cloudy with winds from the west around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will fall into the upper 50’s to upper 60’s for lows.
Friday: Clear to partly cloudy with winds from the west around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower to upper 80’s for highs.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY:
Saturday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the lower to upper 60’s for lows and mid 80’s to lower 90’s for highs.
Sunday: Partly cloudy with afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will range from the upper 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and mid 80’s for highs.
Monday: Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will range from the mid 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and lower to mid 80’s for highs.
Tuesday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the lower to upper 60’s for lows and lower to mid 80’s for highs.
Hurricane Bertha, after weakening down to a category one 75 mph hurricane, has started to reorganize this morning. Thunderstorms have redeveloped and wrapped around the center of Bertha and there are signs of the eye wall redeveloping once again. I expect Bertha to intensify this morning despite what some model guidance is projecting. Why?
The fact is that right now the shear has all but died away as the upper level low that produced the shear has moved away from Bertha. As a result, the upper level environment is once again favorable for development. Also, Bertha is moving towards much warmer waters once again and is clearly beginning to feed on these warmer waters once again.
Over the next several days, Bertha will interact once again with a trough moving off the East coast. This trough is now forecasted to pull Bertha to the north towards Bermuda, but not pick the hurricane up. I’m expecting Bertha to be significantly impacted by southwesterly shear for a time and thus weakening can be expected. To what point is not known as I’m not sure just how strong Bertha will get before tomorrow evening. As we’ve seen, the atmospheric environment in the tropical Atlantic seems to support the potential for rapid intensification so watching Bertha this morning should be interesting.
By this weekend, another trough will approach Hurricane Bertha and this trough is expected to finally turn Bertha to the northeast and away from any land mass.
Today: Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Winds will be from the south and southeast around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower 80’s to lower 90’s with humid conditions. The strongest thunderstorms will be capable of heavy rainfall, which may lead to flash flooding.
Tonight: Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms in the evening followed by fog towards morning. Winds will be from the south around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will fall into the upper 60’s to mid 70’s for lows.
Tuesday: Cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Winds will be from the south and southwest around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the upper 80’s to lower 90’s with humid conditions.
Tuesday Night: Cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Winds will be from the south and southwest around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will fall into the mid 70’s for lows.
Wednesday: Showers and strong to severe thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. Winds will be from the southwest around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the mid 80’s to lower 90’s for highs.
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY:
Thursday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the lower 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and lower to upper 80’s for highs.
Friday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the lower to upper 60’s for lows and mid to upper 80’s for highs.
Saturday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the mid 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and mid to upper 80’s for highs.
Sunday: Partly cloudy with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms towards the evening. Temperatures will range from the upper 60’s to mid 70’s for lows and upper 80’s to lower 90’s for highs.
Bertha has officially become the first hurricane of the Atlantic Tropical season! Hurricane Bertha has 75 mph winds and the pressure has fallen significantly over the past 6 hours from 994MB to 987MB, which is a 7MB drop in the past six hours. Bertha has formed a well defined eye and the Central Dense Overcast (CDO) has continued to mature and develop nicely in the past several hours. I think Bertha will continue to strengthen for at least another 36 hours before shear begins to develop from the southwest ahead of a trough over the Eastern United States. In the mean time, the subsidence developing over Bertha from a departing TUTT will lead to very favorable conditions for intensification.
Of course the million dollar question is where does Bertha go. There are now two distinct families in the model guidance. Naturally, like as if this is a winter storm, the family lines are divided down familiar lines between the GFS and ECMWF. Each solution from the GFS and ECMWF have strong merits and is highly dependent on the strength and movement of a cold front and associated strong upper level trough on Wednesday. Should the trough move through the Northeast and then quickly lift out as per the GFS family, then Bertha will resume a west-northwesterly track after being pulled north. A strong western Atlantic ridge will build over Bertha and allow the Hurricane to move towards the Eastern United States. The ECMWF idea has the trough deeper and strong, which allows for Bertha to be picked up by trough and sent out into the Atlantic. Both solutions are very much valid this morning and a wait n’ see approach is going to be taken by me.
I will say this, should Bertha approach the East coast, the environment is set up for a very significant rain event for the Mid Atlantic for early next week. Consider the possible ingredients for a second. A stalled out old surface boundary over the Delaware and Maryland, a moisture loaded hurricane with plenty of latent heat energy, and various weak disturbances associated with an approaching 500 MB trough spells for a lot of trouble for someone in the Mid Atlantic.
Today: Cloudy to partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. A few of the stronger showers and thunderstorms will produce heavy rainfall, frequent lightning, and wind gusts to 55 mph. Localized flash flooding is possible. Winds will be from the southeast around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower to mid 80’s for highs with humid conditions.
Tonight: Cloud with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Fog will develop in some locations towards morning. Winds will be from the southeast around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will fall into the upper 60’s to lower 70’s with humid conditions.
Monday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Winds will be from the south to southwest around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the lower to upper 80’s for highs with humid conditions.
Monday Night: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Winds will be from the southwest around 5 to 15 mph. Fog may develop in some locations. Temperatures will fall into the upper 60’s to mid 70’s for lows with humid conditions.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Winds will be from the southwest around 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures will rise into the upper 80’s to lower 90’s with humid conditions.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY:
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with showers and strong to severe thunderstorms in the afternoon. Temperatures will range from the lower to mid 70’s for lows and mid 80’s to mid 90’s for highs.
Thursday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the mid 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and lower 80’s to lower 90’s for highs.
Friday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the lower to upper 60’s for lows and lower to upper 80’s for highs.
Saturday: Clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will range from the lower to upper 60’s for lows and mid 80’s to lower 90’s for highs.
Today: Clear to partly cloudy with light and variable winds. Temperatures will rise into the mid 80’s to lower 90’s for highs.
Tonight: Clear to partly cloudy with light and variable winds. Temperatures will fall into the mid 60’s to lower 70’s for lows.
Thursday: Hazy, hot, and humid with winds from the southwest around 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures will rise into the mid 80’s to mid 90’s with a heat index near 100°.
Sunday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and strong to severe thunderstorms. Temperatures will range from the upper 60’s to lower 70’s for lows and upper 80’s to mid 90’s for highs.
