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Evening Thoughts- storm threat increases for Friday

November 24th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

10:15 PM
Tonight I’ve been going over the various models from the 12Z and 18 Z guidance. First I want to touch on the storm potential for Thursday night into Friday.
The 18Z models are a good indicator of where models are trending or adjusting to. Both the 18Z GFS and NAM produced a stronger and more [...]

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Thoughts For The Weekend And Beyond

January 7th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:41 PM
I can tell the excitement is building for Saturday based on the emails that have flooded my inbox this afternoon. Yes, the model guidance, and I mean all model guidance, is picking up on the potential for the Alberta Clipper on Saturday.
Before we get into the model guidance, let’s get back to the basics [...]

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Thoughts On The Afternoon Model Guidance

January 2nd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:20 PM
There’s a lot of excitement over the trend of the model guidance towards a colder solution for Tuesday night and Wednesday, specifically the 18Z GFS.
While I can understand the excitement, I want to state that the 18Z GFS does not exactly have the strongest of support. While I agree that a coastal low is [...]

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