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Tropical Weather Update for Tuesday, June 23 2009

June 23rd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:55 AM
Minor development of a disturbance has eyes drawn to the Gulf of Mexico this morning. While much of the Atlantic remains dominated by strong west and southwesterly shear due to a deep trough over the western Atlantic, a minor disturbance is showing some signs of organization in the western Gulf of Mexico.
The disturbance [...]

Tags: air, Atlantic, bay, bay of campeche, bays, Caribbean, coast, continuation, deep trough, Disturbance, dry air mass, Gulf of Mexico, high, Mexico, observation, observations, Shear, surfaces, Tropical, tropical development, tropical weather update, tropics, Trough, troughs, updates, weather, wills. Technical Discussions Closed

Pattern change promises a return of real summer conditions

June 22nd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:15 Am
Summer-like conditions will return to the forecast area and will do so in a short period of time. That means that humid air and temperatures in the 80’s and possibly 90’s will return to the forecast area. When the hot summer conditions return, I’m willing to bet that the conditions will feel hotter and [...]

Tags: air, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, axis, Belmar, Bridgeport, canada, Citi Field, cloudy skies, coast, coastal waters, cold, colors, Connecticut, continuation, Disturbance, east, eastern Long Island, eastern Pennsylvania, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, Great Lakes, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, hot, hot summer, humid air, humidity, Islip, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, Mets, mid, Mid Atlantic, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, moisture, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, north, northe, Ohio, Pennsylvania, period of time, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Reading, Ridge, ridge axis, risk, Scranton, short period, showers, slope, Summer, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, Trough, troughs, valleys, warm, weather, weather pattern, wednesday afternoon, weeke, west, wet weather, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, wind component, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Tropical Weather Update for Monday, June 22 2009

June 22nd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:51 AM
No tropical development has been observed this morning and none is likely for at least the next 48 hours. Strong shear associated with a deep trough over the central Caribbean and over the western Atlantic is inhibiting any form of development from the Caribbean to the African coast and will likely continue to do [...]

Tags: air, Atlantic, bay, bay of campeche, bays, Caribbean, coast, continuation, deep trough, Disturbance, dry air mass, Gulf of Mexico, high, Mexico, observation, observations, Shear, surfaces, Tropical, tropical development, tropical weather update, tropics, Trough, troughs, updates, weather, wills. Technical Discussions Closed

What has caused the heavy rainfall this month?

June 21st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:52 AM
June has seen some very impressive rainfall amounts with many locations well over an inch above normal. Even some locations double the amount of normal rainfall. While a continuous onslaught of showers and thunderstorms have impacted much of the Mid Atlantic, and specifically the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan areas, other locations have [...]

Tags: air, Albany, Allentown, Allentown PA, amounts, anomalies, anomaly, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic city nj, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, Belmar, blocking, Bridgeport, bridgeport ct, canada, Citi Field, coast, coastal waters, cold, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, continuous onslaught, convection, convective, Disturbance, east, enhancement, Examiner, explaination, explanations, extremes, forecast, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, freehold nj, front, greenland, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, hightstown nj, interaction, Islip, islip ny, Jets, jfk, latitude, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, magnitude, map, maps, Mets, Mexico, mid, millville nj, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, moisture, nao, new brunswick nj, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, newark nj, normal, normals, north, northe, Northeast, norwich ct, Ocean, Ohio, orientation, pa 1, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, philadelphia pa, Phillies, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitation anomalies, precipitation events, precipitations, radar, Rainfall, Rainfall Amounts, Reading, Ridge, Scranton, severe weather, showers, south, southe, specifics, stratosphere, Summer, surfaces, Sussex, sussex nj, synoptic, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, tornado outbreaks, tornadoes, Trough, troughs, valleys, warm, weather, weeke, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Father’s Day Forecast not as wet as advertised

June 21st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

10:00 AM
The visible satellite picture this morning shows us that once again, yet another weekend has been spoiled by wet, soggy conditions. However, I do have some good news for this afternoon. Note that over the Hudson Valley and over eastern Pennsylvania that the clouds have started to break up and some clouds are lifting [...]

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Tropical Weather Update for Sunday, June 21 2009

June 21st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:29 AM
Once again, no tropical activity is expected over the next 48 hours due to strong wind shear from the central Caribbean Sea through the African coast. Dry air will also suppress any development over the Gulf of Mexico.

Tags: air, Caribbean, Caribbean Sea, coast, Gulf of Mexico, june 21, Mexico, Shear, strong wind, Tropical, tropical activity, tropical weather update, tropics, updates, weather, wills, wind shear. Technical Discussions Closed

Heavy rain and severe weather a significant threat

June 20th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:30 AM
The forecast for today through tonight is best described as significantly complicated and potentially very active. The main theme is basically the progression of the warm front currently over southwesterly Pennsylvania through eastern Virginia. I want to start with the fact that the surface low pressure system is further north and weaker than forecasted [...]

Tags: air, Albany, Allentown, amounts, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, baseball, Belmar, boundaries, Bridgeport, central Pennsylvania, Citi Field, city metro, coast, coastal waters, cold, cold front, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, cool air, Delaware, discussion, Disturbance, downpours, east, eastern virginia, elevation, elevations, evenings, exiting, flood, flooding, floods, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, game, games, Great Lakes, guidance, gusts, hail, Hartford, heavy downpour, heavy rain, high, isentropic, Islip, jet stream, Jets, level jet, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, Maine, map, maps, metros, Mets, mid, Mid Atlantic, Model Guidance, models, moist air, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, north, northe, northern, northern suburbs, Northwest, northwester, Ohio, overcast, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, repositions, Scranton, Shear, showers, south, southe, Southeast, suburbs of philadelphia, Summer, surfaces, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, tornadoes, Trough, troughs, updates, valleys, Virginia, warm, weather, weeke, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Tropical Weather Update for Saturday, June 20 2009

June 20th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:45 Am
Once again, the Tropical Atlantic remains quiet as El Nino conditions are already dominating much of the Atlantic. Strong westerly to southwesterly shear remain over the Caribbean to the coast of Africa, which is inhibiting any disturbance from developing. Meanwhile, dry air via high pressure over the Gulf of Mexico is producing clear skies. [...]

Tags: Africa, air, Atlantic, Caribbean, clear skies, coast, Disturbance, dominance, dominants, El Nino, Gulf of Mexico, high, Mexico, saturday june, Shear, Tropical, tropical weather update, tropics, updates, weather, westerlies. Technical Discussions Closed

A break in the wet weather today, but more rain on the way

June 19th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:15 AM
As low pressure exits the forecast area this morning, a brief break in the clouds and rainfall can be expected through the day. In case anyone forgot, that big bright ball in the sky is called the sun, and no we are not in Seatlle. Weak high pressure over the eastern Great Lakes will [...]

Tags: air, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, Belmar, break in the clouds, Bridgeport, case winds, Citi Field, clear skies, clouds, cloudy skies, coast, coastal waters, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, convection, convective, Delaware, doubts, east, evenings, exiting, forecast, forecast area, forecast tomorrow, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, Great Lakes, guidance, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, Islip, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, MCS, mesoscale, mesoscale convective system, Mets, mid, misses, Mississippi, Model Guidance, models, mountains, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, north, northe, Northwest, northwester, Ohio, oranges, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Rain, Rainfall, rainy day, Reading, Ridge, saturday evening, scattered showers, Scranton, showers, slides, south, southe, Storm, storms, Summer, sun, surfaces, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tomorrow morning, tornado, transition, transitioning, transitions, Trough, troughs, upper level winds, valleys, water vapor, weather, weeke, west, westerlies, westerly wind, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Tropical Weather Update for Friday, June 19 2009

June 19th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:44 AM
The Tropical Atlantic remains quiet this morning with no sign of development in any location. Strong southwesterly to westerly shear dominates the central Caribbean to the African coast, which will continue to inhibit any type of potential development through the weekend. As for the Gulf of Mexico, dry air behind a cold front has [...]

Tags: air, Atlantic, boundaries, Caribbean, clouds, coast, cold, cold front, continuation, dominance, dominants, east, East Coast, front, frontal boundary, Gulf of Mexico, low, lows, Mexico, potential development, Shear, showers, signs, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, Tropical, tropical weather update, tropics, updates, weather, wester, westerlies, wills. Technical Discussions Closed

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