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Tag Archive for 'arctic air masses'

Another cold morning, is snow far behind?

7:07 AM
The strong Polar disturbance that is more developed than guidance suggested a few days ago is an important clue and reminder for the forecast later this week.  For now, that disturbance represents another push of a Polar/Arctic air mass after Tuesday afternoon.  The key to the forecast over the next several days is the [...]

Morning Model Thoughts

12:24 PM
The 12Z GFS and PARA GFS are now in and I want to address a few features that I think are very important for the next 15 days.
Over the past few weeks, actually since October, I’ve been steady in advertising the threat that I saw coming for early December as the pattern changes.  The [...]

Sneaky Arctic Air And The Storm Track For Next Week

11:12 AM
Right off the bat, I want to say I don’t have a lot of confidence in the medium and extended forecast for this forecast area and much of the Mid Atlantic.  There is a rule I learned long ago from a great professor I had in college, beware of temperature guidance and the ability [...]



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