Free weather forecast for New York, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania.
A strong upper low will take shape over the Great Lakes this weekend, which will support strong high pressure building over the forecast area. This Polar high pressure system will have the support of strong confluence and convergence over the central Great Lakes with ridge extending into the forecast area on Sunday and Monday.
Meanwhile, [...]
There is a lot of interesting data this morning to look at in terms of this developing low pressure system that will form off the northern waters of the Bahamas. The model guidance for the most part has been trending closer to the coast the past several runs. The reason for this is that the [...]
There’s an interesting disturbance over the Southeast this morning that may play an important part in next weekend’s weather. The disturbance is expected to move towards the Bahamas where a surface low pressure system will take shape and intensify.
Now, the model guidance has some different solutions on how this low pressure system interacts with [...]
This evening, I’m looking at a lot of indications that the environment will be conducive for a significant coastal storm for next weekend for much of the northern Mid Atlantic and Northeast.
Most medium/long range models like the ECMWF, Canadian, and UKMET are hinting at a developing disturbance to the north of the Bahamas and [...]
I know I am jumping ahead a bit for next weekend, but I wanted to start addressing the potential situation that may be developing towards November. Model guidance over the past few runs has shown an interesting development to the north of the Bahamas around November 6th through November 8th, as an upper low deepens [...]
An impressive tropical disturbance to the south and east of Puerto Rico is quickly becoming better organized and will likely become a new tropical depression by this evening if not sooner. The upper level winds over the next 48 hours will briefly become more favorable for development of this tropical disturbance and there is some [...]
Hurricane Ike is once again a major Category 4 Hurricane that is currently impacting the southern Islands of the Bahamas. This dangerous and deadly hurricane is on a track to slam into northeastern Cuba and track along the northern side Cuba over the next three days. Those living in Cuba are in for a very [...]
Hurricane Ike remains a strong category 3 hurricane. As discussed yesterday, Hurricane Ike will go through pulse downs and ups as the hurricane goes through eye-wall replacement cycles. There is no doubt now that Hurricane Ike will remain a major hurricane through the weekend and into early next week as the hurricane moves towards the [...]
The local forecast discussion is updated.
This morning I’m preparing for one impressive heavy rain event for the entire forecast area. Is this the drought buster everyone has been waiting for? I think so! However, with the heavy rain comes the threat for significant flooding and possibly some wind damage. Meanwhile, the pattern change will not [...]
I want to concentrate this evening on the developments and future impact of Tropical Storm Hanna and Hurricane Ike and what may lie ahead for the forecast area from these dangerous storms.
This evening, the pattern is in flux. The upper level low that has sat to the east of the forecast area has moved [...]
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