Free weather forecast for New York, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania.
8:40 AM
A major winter storm is starting to develop over the Gulf Coast that will have a lasting impact on the entire northern Mid Atlantic tonight through Friday evening.
This morning, the water vapor satellite picture shows two disturbances beginning to interact over the Tennessee Valley. By this afternoon, these disturbances will form a powerful upper [...]
8:30 AM
Rain, sleet, and even some snow is racing northward and eastward from the southern Mid Atlantic and Ohio Valley. A coastal low is slowly forming off the North Carolina coast while pressure is quickly falling throughout the Tennessee Valley and Mid Atlantic.
My concern this morning is the cold air that is locked in [...]
8:18 PM
While high pressure and a building ridge holds sway over the Mid Atlantic this evening, trouble is brewing over the Southwestern United States.
Tropical Storm Rick, at one point a strong hurricane, is racing to the northeast towards mainland Mexico. The moisture from this tropical system is already interacting with a strong disturbance over the [...]
7:39 AM
A clash of air masses is unfolding right over the forecast area as the marine air mass that has been over the forecast area the past several days slowly is eroded from the region and off the coast. The latest surface map best describes the current situation. High pressure remains off the New England [...]
4:15 PM
The dynamics appear to be coming together for the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms over southeastern Pennsylvania and southern New Jersey.
As discussed this morning, a warm front will move through the forecast area tonight to producing a steady, heavy rain over the entire region. Currently, an area of heavy rainfall associated with [...]
7:18 AM
I’ve gotten a lot of emails the past 24 hours if this is it? Is this the big storm and then winter is over? Well, let’s look at all the data. I know many people like to focus on the Pacific and only the Pacific, but I like to take a more round about [...]
7:37 AM
There is a growing agreement in the model guidance that a significant snowfall will impact much of the forecast area.
There’s a lot to discuss, but my ideas which I have presented have not changed overall, but I am able now to get in to some details on how this storm will develop on Saturday.
First, [...]
7:27 AM
The forecast for the next three days is obviously going to be the most active in the next 24 hours.
Currently, a coastal low pressure system is developing off the New Jersey coast. Winds along the coast are beginning to turn to the northwest over southern New Jersey and northeast along Long Island, clearly indicating [...]
8:06 AM
Okay, so I’m about to go to the job that pays the bills. I want to share some thoughts before I leave this morning. I’ll be back this around by around 5:45-6PM.
1. Watch that low. Simple rule here. If the surface low takes a bath in Lake Erie or around Cleveland, take the [...]
6:40 AM
I don’t always trust MM5 guidance, but take a look at this. Up to this point, the MM5 has actually nailed the position of the low pressure system, the low level cold air, the dew points, and the position of the 850 MB freezing line to a T.
What the model shows for the [...]
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