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Tag Archive for 'bombs'

A Discussion About The Impacts Of Convective Snow Bands

8:20 AM
Considering the rapid development of convective precipitation over the Southeast this morning and the latest forecasted soundings, I want to quickly cover the impacts of what convective snow bands can have on accumulation totals.
First, when looking at a radar image, the best way to find convective banding is to look for a band of [...]

Tonight’s Video Discussion: A Bombing Clipper Or A Big Dud?

8:33 PM
Tonight, I will discuss the potential and reasoning for an explosive clipper along the coast on Saturday night and give my thoughts on the overall pattern set up!  By the way, all comments on the audio which I am trying to fix is greatly appreciated.  Hopefully this update continues to show improvement.
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Thoughts So Far

10:23 AM
I got some interesting questions in some emails while working out so I’m going to answer them and give some thoughts about what has been happening since I last post.
The majority of the question revolving around the precipitation over the forecast area now.  Yes, the precipitation will continue to move northeast and begin to [...]

Coastal Storm On Tuesday Night? Not Exactly

7:08 AM
The models are starting to trend a bit too close for comfort for Tuesday night. 
A major snow storm for the Carolinas will litterally explode off the coast tomorrow morning and produce a significant snowfall for those locations.  As the storm races off to the Northeast, the majority of the heavy precipitation will race off [...]

Arctic Cold Followed By Major Winter Storm On Sunday

7:45 AM
I wanted to make a post about the ideas I have on the potential storm on Sunday, however I saw some data on the model guidance coming in at 00Z and thought better to do some research first before posting.  So off I went diving into the KU book for some additional guidance and [...]

Thursday Snow Is All About Location, And Some Will NOT Like It

7:11 AM
The latest model guidance this morning basically is describing what I posted last night.  The surface low pressure moves over southern Pennsyvlania through southern New Jersey and then begins to intensify off the New Jersey coast.  What would like drive those living in Philadelphia and southeastern Pennsylvania nuts is the forecasted QPF on the [...]

A Brief Break In The Action

10:40 AM
Compared to the rest of the week, the next three days are going to be tropical over the forecast area.
The storm that was a huge disappoint is now off disappointing eastern New England and Canada this morning.  There is still a lot of mid level moisture hanging around and a strong disturbance diving through [...]

Light Snow Falling In Central New Jersey

12:39 PM
As the clipper is bombing out to the east of Long Island, a strong area of snow showers is driving southeast through western and central New Jersey with light to moderate snowfall.
Currently, snow is falling over Freehold, interrupting an intense leg work out I was doing (squating 300 lbs is hard work!), and the [...]

The 12Z Guidance And Thoughts For Friday

8:59 PM
If you put your ear to the ground, you could hear the fall of a million snow lovers faint to the ground after seeing the 12Z GFS, which basically if taken verbatum would produce a significant snowfall for most of the forecast area, save southern New Jersey (even that location would still get measureable [...]

12Z Thoughts And The Friday Evening Winter Event

4:09 PM
I’m sure everyone has seen the latest 12Z guidance.  The GFS is having trouble with the upper level features and the ECMWF is beginning to strut it’s stuff in the type 3 to 7 day span of dominance of accuracy. 
Do I believe the ECMWF, well to an extent yes.  I don’t want to put [...]



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