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Evening Thoughts On Christmas Storm

December 21st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

11:21 PM
As the model guidance for the 00Z NAM and 00Z GFS came in, my thoughts centered on a question that bugged me about the end of next week. Just how cold will the boundary layer be? Do the models introduce the impact of a one to two feet snowpack, which will keep the boundary [...]

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Strong thunderstorms on the move, more to come later

June 9th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:18 AM
There’s a lot to discuss this morning, so lets dive right into it!
An impressive line of thunderstorms has developed early this morning in response to the strong low level jet stream at 950 and 850 MB this morning. The warm front continues to lift north and eastward, but is having some difficulty doing so [...]

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Boat and beach report for Tuesday, June 9 2009

June 9th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:43 AM
Low clouds and fog will reduce visibility below a mile at times through the early morning hours. As a warm front lifts north and east this morning, a line of showers and strong thunderstorms will move through the coastal waters in the late morning and early afternoon hours. The cold front will move through [...]

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Active weather pattern continues for this week

June 8th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:28 AM
The weather pattern for this summer certainly is developing an active characteristic as yet another week of persistent threats of showers and thunderstorms can be expected.
There are a lot of interesting features to examine on the water vapor this morning, so lets dive right in! A trough over the Canadian Maritimes continues to slowly [...]

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More Spring showers on the way

April 1st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:00 AM
This morning much of the forecast area remains north of a warm front that is currently over southern Virginia. A new wave of low pressure is developing over western North Carolina this morning that will likely prevent the warm front from moving much further north, thus an east to southeasterly wind can be expected [...]

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Roller Coaster Ride Begins

March 6th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:17 AM
Next weeks’ temperatures will have a lot of twists and turns as the pattern continues to evolve. The battle between a developing strong Pacific jet stream and a developing strong NAO block will produce a wide variety of weather conditions next week and into the weekend.
On Monday, the cold front that moved through the [...]

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Storm Tracks Shifts, But Activity Increases

March 5th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:10 AM
As the Pacific jet stream strengthens and disturbances within the southern branch increase, the overall storm track will shift to the north over the Great Lakes into New England. The result of this storm track will obviously lead to mild conditions over the forecast area along with the potential for showers each day.
On [...]

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Rain Storm Becoming Likely As New Pattern Unfolds

February 26th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:09 AM
When patterns change, storm usually develop as a result of the energy released from the changing atmospheric pattern. However, some of the key features of the overall pattern this year, progressiveness, remains as an important detail when considering what to expect for Sunday and for the start of next week.
Before diving into how [...]

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Warm Weekend Ahead As Pattern Briefly Thaws

February 4th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:46 AM
Enjoy this brief thaw this coming weekend, as I think the rest of the month is not going to be nearly as pleasant.
The storm track this weekend will be from the southern Plains through the Great Lakes, which means high pressure will be positioned south and east of the forecast area. The strong [...]

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Pattern Changes Begin For Middle And End Of Week

January 19th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:23 AM
The current pattern we are in is about to break down, but a new cold pattern will quickly take it’s place.
What’s really happening here is the negative EPO is intensifying and a split pattern is developing for much of the CONUS. What does this mean for the forecast area though?
Well, initially, a brief moderation [...]

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