Free weather forecast for New York, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania.
5:35 AM
The coastal low this morning has moved further south than forecasted and as a result the brunt of the light precipitation expected to impact the Philadelphia metropolitan area and southern New Jersey will remain off the coast. While temperatures are cold enough to support a frozen mix of precipitation, the steady precipitation has tracked [...]
9:47 PM
As of last night, the majority of model guidance started to take a decided jump towards a solution where much of the East coast with the exception of northern New England will miss out on what could have been an impressive snowfall. So what are the models seeing and does the solution thus far [...]
7:24 AM
The strong low pressure system that developed over eastern Oklahoma late on Monday is now in the Ohio Valley and will continue to press north and east this morning towards western New York. Heavy rainfall, which started last night, has continued through early this morning. As expected, the heaviest rainfall was focused over southern [...]
4:45 PM
A weak cold front is currently in the process of moving through the New York City metropolitan area and will do the same for the Philadelphia metropolitan area through the evening hours. For the most part, this cold front is rather dry with little if any precipitation developing over the region. In fact, most [...]
5:15 AM
The upper level trough over the eastern half of Canada continues to act like a pendulum swinging back and forth through the Great Lakes and Northeast. After another strong cold front yesterday afternoon, the pendulum is swinging back to the west, which will give a break to the forecast area from stormy conditions.
Through early [...]
9:15 PM
Once again, the weather pattern is acting more like mid October rather than mid July as a coastal storm begins to organize off the Southeast coast.
I studied all the model guidance from 12Z and 18Z this evening and found a basic overlying theme for the next 60 hours. The brunt of the heavy rain [...]
5:58 AM
The cold front that has been advertised for days on the model guidance is now to the south and west of the forecast area. As seen on the surface map to the left, strong high pressure will build into the forecast area from western Quebec. A northerly wind will bring cool and dry conditions [...]
6:22 AM
The next three days will be the last “gasp” of the negative NAO influence on the pattern as high pressure over the forecast area slowly slides off the coast. Meanwhile, a weak disturbance will gain a bit of strength while exiting the southern Mid Atlantic coast and will bring a few scattered showers to [...]
5:55 AM
The upper level pattern this morning pretty much can tell the whole story for this coming weekend. The negative NAO has matured and is pretty strong for mid March. The strong convergence over eastern Canada is supporting strong high pressure over the Great Lakes and Northeast. At the same time, a sheared out disturbance [...]
6:52 AM
Winter is not going to go out without a fight, which may mean March comes in like a Lion. Before discussing the potential of the storm, let’s look at how the cold air gets into the forecast area first.
There is very strong agreement that a strong cold front will drive towards the East coast [...]
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