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Tag Archive for 'bust'

Elevation snow threat collapses, heavy rain along the coast

October 18th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:57 AM
Those that had sporting events last night, like the Yankees last night, mainly were spared the worst conditions due to high pressure strengthening over New England. The high pressure strengthening combined with the low progression of the coastal low kept much of the heavy rain south of the Bronx, which allowed the Yankees to [...]

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Snow And Ice Totals And Thoughts On The Storm

January 29th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

5:40 AM
For most of the forecast area, the forecasted ice and snow totals verified via reports from the National Weather Service. The one area that busted was in northeastern Pennsylvania where 6 to 10 inches of snow was expected. Instead, most locations in extreme northeastern Pennsylvania only received around 4 inches. When I looked back [...]

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Another Tough Forecast On The Way

January 26th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:30 AM
You know, I would love to forecast an all snow event at some point. Just look at the QPF, multiply by 10 or 12, then here’s the snow map. Oh no, not this winter. haha
Model guidance is still all over the place on exactly how this storm will play out for the forecast area, [...]

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Active Pattern Leads To Model Uncertainty And Increasing Chances Of Snow

January 21st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:08 AM
To say that the forecast for this weekend into next week is challenging is like say doing a triple axil in ice skating is kind of hard. The problem with model guidance is two fold. First, the model guidance is having difficulty in forecasting the position and strong of the upper level ridge over [...]

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Thoughts On The Snow Bust. Hey, I’ll Take It!

January 19th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:55 PM
I was rather surprised with how far north the disturbance got this afternoon and how fast this disturbance moved. This morning. the upper disturbance that was suppose to bring snow to the forecast area right now, had different plans.
The first thing you’ll notice when looking back at the day’s satellite and radar images [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, band, Belmar, Bridgeport, bust, Connecticut, Disturbance, evenings, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, Hartford, interaction, Islip, Long Island, mid, mid level, moderation, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, pva, radar, radar images, Reading, s, satellite, Scranton, snow, snowfall, south, south central pennsylvania, surprise, Sussex, White Plains, Wild Wood. Technical Discussions Closed

Yesterday’s Concerns Coming To Fruition

January 18th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

4:09 PM
Yesterday morning, I posted a forecast and discussion about my concerns that at least light to possibly moderate snow will build into coastal New Jersey through Connecticut this evening with lighter snow’s to the north and west. I admit I did back off on that idea after seeing just about every model I could [...]

Tags: big bust, bust, busts, central virginia, city metro, coast, Connecticut, discussion, east, eastern Pennsylvania, evaporation, evenings, ey, Fall, forecast, forecaster, forecasters, front, fruition, meteorologist, models, moderate snow, moderation, negative tilt, New York City, north, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, pivot, potentail, precipitation, s, snow, suggestion, temperature, temperatures, Trough, virga, Virginia, water vapor, wills, yesterday morning. Technical Discussions 3 Comments

Virga Building, Carefully Monitoring

January 18th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

2:50 PM
If you are wondering why I am not shooting out rapid updates, it is because I am trying to be very careful in what I am seeing this afternoon.
Personally, the issue at hand is I don’t want to go off screaming snow storm developing and then it does. That would kill my credibility of [...]

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Very Difficult Forecast Setting Up The Next Two Days

January 17th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:30 AM
I have been working hard on this forecast and taking the pros and cons of each model solution. The overall idea here is that for much of the forecast area, this entire set up is not much of a big deal as the brunt of the storm will miss the region. However, I have some [...]

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Thursday Snow Is All About Location, And Some Will NOT Like It

January 14th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:11 AM
The latest model guidance this morning basically is describing what I posted last night. The surface low pressure moves over southern Pennsyvlania through southern New Jersey and then begins to intensify off the New Jersey coast. What would like drive those living in Philadelphia and southeastern Pennsylvania nuts is the forecasted QPF on the [...]

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Keep An Eye On That Radar

January 13th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:06 AM
That’s going to be the theme for the next 12 to 24 hours along the immediate coast. I would love to write this morning that all guidance has this coastal storm well off the coast, a few snow showers in the evening, and nothing more. I would love to say that because then there [...]

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