Tag Archive for 'canada' at NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Arctic Express On The Way Along With More Snow Potential

January 8th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:49 AM
The theme going forward will likely crush the forecast for anyone going for a warm January. The combination of a strong negative EPO and the postion of the upper low over eastern Canada will support a very cold air mass to dive into the eastern two-thirds of the nation.
There can be no doubt that [...]

Tags: alberta clippers, amplification, arctic express, area, Atlantic, atmosphere, branch energy, canada, clipper, clippers, coast, cold, cold air mass, cold arctic air, combinations, dives, doubts, eastern canada, Energy, epo, er, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, guidance, Gulf Coast, high, high potential, light snow, low, lows, medium range, metros, mid, Model Guidance, models, moisture, moisture in the atmosphere, no doubt, Philadelphia, postion, s, scream, screams, showers, significant snow, snow, snow event, snow showers, warm, weeke, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Active Winter Weather To Continue

January 5th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:58 AM
The pattern will continue to amplify towards the end of the week and into the weekend. I want to touch on some points about the overall pattern first before discussion the forecast.
There is some discussion that the pattern appears to be like a return to mid December with a raging postive NAO. This is [...]

Tags: accumulation, advertisement, alaska, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atmosphere, Belmar, blocking, canada, clipper, clippers, coast, cold, cold air mass, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, discussion, Disturbance, dives, east, ecmwf, Energy, ensembles, epo, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, gfs, guidance, Hartford, high, ice, isentropic, Islip, lake effect snow, lifting, Long Island, low, low pressure system, lows, maximums, mid, Mid Atlantic, Mississippi, Model Guidance, models, moderation, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, northern canada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, Rain, Ridge, Scranton, showers, snow, snow showers, Southeast, southeastern canada, Storm, storm track, storms, Sussex, systems, Teleconnection, Teleconnections, temperature, temperatures, transition, transitions, Trenton, valleys, waves, weather, weeke, west, west coast, White Plains, wills, Winter, winter storms, yukon. Technical Discussions Add a comment

The January Outlook

January 1st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:40 PM
December has come and gone along with all the holiday cheer, it’s time to look to see what the rest of January holds for the forecast area. Will the negative NAO be a major factor? Will the Pacific get back into the game or will January be a warm and boring month?
The basic idea [...]

Tags: alaska, Albany, Allentown, amplification, anomalies, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic sst, atmosphere, Belmar, blocking, Bridgrt, canada, clipper, clippers, coast, cold, Connecticut, continuation, digs, Disturbance, dominance, epo, extreme cold, extremes, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, game, games, guidance, Hartford, high, higher latitudes, Hudson Valley, ice, interaction, Islip, latitude, Long Island, low, lows, mid, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, North America, north pole, northern asia, Ohio, pacific waters, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, Rain, relaxation, Ridge, Rockies, Scranton, sea surface temperatures, signature, slides, snow, snowfall, Southeast, Southwest, sst, state of flux, Storm, storms, stratosphere, surfaces, Sussex, temperature, temperatures, Trenton, troposphere, tropospheric temperatures, Trough, troughs, upper atmosphere, valleys, warm, weeke, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter, winter events. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Active And Blocking Pattern Ready To Rock Start Of 2009

December 31st, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

8:07 AM
There are some interesting themes that are coming from the medium range guidance over the past few runs that need to be addressed as we move into the first full week of January, 2009.
The first theme that the model generally agree on is that the block over Greenland will significantly intensify to build down [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Baltimore, Belmar, blocking, Bport, canada, coast, cold, cold air, Connecticut, discussion, Disturbance, east, eastern canada, Energy, evenings, ey, forecast, forecast area, forecast guidance, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, greenland, guidance, Hartford, hudson bay, ice, interaction, Islip, jet stream, Jets, Long Island, long time, low, lows, medium range, mid, Model Guidance, models, moisture, New Jers New York, New York City, Newark, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, polar jet, Poughkeepsie, Rain, rain showers, Ridge, s, Scranton, showers, snow, snow and ice, snow ice, snow showers, south, specifics, Storm, storm track, storms, stream energy, sunday evening, Sussex, systems, Trenton, Tropical, tropics, warm, Washington, watches, weeke, White Plains, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Winter Returns, But Questions Remain

December 28th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

10:22 AM
The up coming forecast for the middle and end of this week is going to be very difficult. The overall idea here on all model guidance is that the negative NAO block will be established while a series of clippers move through the forecast area. One clipper intensifies, and produces a strong Miller B [...]

Tags: accumulating snow, accumulation, amounts, area, Atlantic, blocking, cad, canada, clear skies, clipper, coast, cold, cold air, cold front, coming storm, confidence, confluence, continuation, convergence, cyclogenesis, delmarva, depiction, Disturbance, divergence, dives, ecmwf, england, extremes, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, front, gfs, Great Lakes, greenland, guidance, high, Hudson Valley, intensification, intensity, Jets, low, lows, maximums, mid, Mid Atlantic, Model Guidance, models, moderate snow, moderation, nao, new england coast, north, Northeast, northeastern Pennsylvania, Northwest, northwester, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, precipitation, pretense, pva, quebec, Ridge, s, shortwave, showers, snow, snow showers, south, Southeast, southeastern canada, specifics, Storm, storms, surfaces, synoptic, systems, valleys, Virginia, waa, waves, weeke, western quebec, wills, Winter. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Active Pattern Developing While Models Have A Difficult Job Ahead

December 27th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

12:54 PM
Or maybe I should say meteorologist like me who are shaking their heads while looking at the model guidance. When we have a difficult pattern unfolding, the best thing to do is not get bogged down with details of rain/snow lines and what not.
Let’s think about this set up for a second.
One, [...]

Tags: amounts, area, Atlantic, blocking, bust, busts, canada, clipper, clippers, coastal plain, coastal waters, cold, cold air mass, confidence, continuation, delware, dominance, doubts, east, eastern canada, eve, evenings, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, friday evening, friday night, greenland, guidance, high, ice, intensity, isentropic, job, lifting, low, lows, meteorologist, mid, Mid Atlantic, Model Guidance, models, nao, New England, newfoundland, north, Northeast, northwestern canada, Ohio, pacific northwest, periods, plains, precipitation, Rain, rain snow, Ridge, s, significant snow, snow, snow and ice, soundings, south, Storm, storms, synoptic, systems, transition, transitions, Trough, valleys, weeke, west, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

The Road To Snow And Cold

December 26th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

8:24 AM
The pattern in this period will be evolving into a cold and very storm pattern. In this post I will naturally explain the step down into what will make a lot of individuals in the I-95 corridor very happy, if you like snow at least. Then I will touch upon my thoughts for the [...]

Tags: Albany, alberta clipper, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, blocking, Bridgrt, canada, clipper, clippers, coast, cold, colder temperatures, collapse, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, Disturbance, doubts, england, ensembles, epo, evenings, excitement, explaination, fashion, favorable position, few days, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, friday afternoon, greenland, guidance, Hartford, high, Islip, Long Island, low, lows, mid, Mid Atlantic, Mississippi, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, pna, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, pva, Rain, rain and snow, Reading, Ridge, s, Scranton, shape, shortwave, showers, snow, snow showers, southeastern canada, Storm, storm pattern, storms, stratosphere, sunday morning, Sussex, temperature, temperatures, Tennessee, Trough, valleys, waves, wednesday night, weeke, west, what this means, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter, winter storm. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Negative NAO To Blunt Warm Up, Developing Cold And Stormy Pattern On The Way

December 23rd, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

7:45 AM
The promise of a negative NAO has been seen on guidance for some time, but has never materialized because the way the model produced the negative NAO just didn’t make any sense. The atmospheric set up right now over the eastern Atlantic and Europe strongly supports the development of a negative NAO over the [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, anamolies, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atmosphere, Belmar, blocking, Bridgrt, cad, canada, clear skies, clipper, clippers, cold, cold air mass, Connecticut, dead period, deep freeze, east, eastern canada, epo, evenings, favorable place, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, Great Lakes, guidance, Hartford, high, holiday weekend, Islip, Long Island, low, lows, mid, Mid Atlantic, Model Guidance, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, north, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, Rain, Reading, Ridge, s, scattered showers, Scranton, short time, showers, slides, south, Southeast, steady rain, Storm, storm track, storms, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, Trough, ups, warm, weather, weeke, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Cold And Stormy Pattern To Return For New Year

December 22nd, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

7:27 AM
There are growing indications that 2009 will come in with a bang, at least in the terms of weather. There are signals that are becoming much more stronger for a cold and stormy pattern to develop in the last few days of December and through much of early January. The first key is that [...]

Tags: alaska, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, blocking, blow torch, Bridgrt, canada, coast, coastal plain, cold, cold air, Connecticut, consensus, continuation, Disturbance, east, epo, few days, forecast, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, greenland, guidance, Hartford, high, higher latitudes, Islip, Jets, latest trends, latitude, Long Island, low, lows, mid, Model Guidance, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, Northeast, northern canada, Northwest, northwester, October, pacific sst, pdo, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, Reading, Ridge, Rockies, Scranton, signals, south, sst, sst data, Storm, storms, stratosphere, Sussex, warm, warm stretch, weather, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Thoughts For The Next Few Weeks

December 21st, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

1:10 PM
I can bet there will be some out there screaming that winter is over and January is a warm month after the end of this up coming week. A large ridge is going to build over the eastern third of the nation while an upper low digs into Alaska shutting down the northwesterly flow [...]

Tags: air mass, alaska, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bridgrt, canada, cards, christmas, coast, cold, cold air, cold press, Connecticut, continuation, digs, dives, east, eastern asia, epo, er, forecast, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, Great Lakes, guidance, Hartford, ice, Islip, jet stream, Jets, Long Island, low, lows, mid, Mid Atlantic, nao, New Jersey, new year, New York, New York City, Newark, north, North America, norther, northwester, pacific northwest, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, plains, pna, Poughkeepsie, pumps, Reading, relaxation, Ridge, s, Scranton, scream, screams, snow, snow and ice, south, Southeast, sst, Storm, storm track, storms, stratosphere, Sussex, Trough, warm, watches, weather, weather pattern, west, western canada, white christmas, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter. Technical Discussions Add a comment