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Tag Archive for 'canadian maritimes'

Rainy weekend on the way

8:00 AM
An area of low pressure off the South Carolina coast this morning is expected to intensify and slowly move north towards the New Jersey coast over the next three days.  This low pressure system is expected to produce heavy rainfall, strong winds, and the potential for some coastal flooding along the New Jersey coast [...]

Significant rain event on the way

4:19 PM
Clouds are already building over much of the northern Mid Atlantic this afternoon in response to the increasing moisture from the Atlantic as the high pressure system that has produced great weather conditions the past few days now exits into the Atlantic.  A weak mid level disturbance was able to use some of this [...]

Snow showers hang around for another day

10:42 AM
The upper low from the winter storm a few days ago simply will not quit.  I’m about to call this storm, Rocky Balboa as every time you think it is finished, the storm gets back up for another round.
Luckily the next round of this storm will be focused well to the north and east [...]

Rain today, snow potential grows for end of the week

8:25 AM
A new coastal storm is starting to take shape off the North Carolina coast this morning and has produced periods of moderate to heavy rain along the immediate coast and a mix of snow and sleet over the northwestern interior.  In fact, moderate to heavy snow is growing in coverage and intensity this morning [...]

Another significant snowfall on the way

8:14 AM
Here we go again!  Another major winter storm has a target for the northern Mid Atlantic with the potential for another one to two feet of snow for many locations in the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan area along with very strong winds and near zero visibility for Wednesday morning.
The water vapor satellite [...]

Complicated and intense winter storm on the way

8:10 AM
I have to admit, it is these types of forecasts that I love.  High risk, high reward.  Kind of like being a gambler in a way as the adrenaline is pumping.  The forecast for this storm is one of the most complicated forecasts I’ve had to make in over 8 years of professional forecasting [...]

Southern New Jersey has potential for more impressive snowfall

9:18 PM
Important develops are starting to come together that has the potential to produce a significantly higher snowfall total that I or anyone else originally thought.
The radar this evening is showing signs of pushing slightly further north than the guidance has been forecasting.  My focus is over the southern Ohio Valley where an area of snow [...]

As heavy snow threat grows, similarities in past storms become clear

9:42 AM
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Model guidance over the past 48 hours has moved towards growing strong support for a significant accumulating snow event with various time ranges of Friday afternoon through Sunday morning.  With the exception of the 00Z GFS and GFS Ensemble guidance, the overall set up for a major winter storm is as follows:
– Weather [...]

Timing key for snowfall end of this week

9:40 PM
This evening, my focus is not going to be on any particular model, but on the overall pattern that will set up for Thursday through Saturday morning.
The 500 MB pattern is not one that is atypical for a major winter storm for the northern Mid Atlantic.  Unlike normal winter storm 500 MB set up, [...]

Cold this weekend, slight moderate next week

9:00 AM
A very cold air mass has returned to the northern Mid Atlantic this morning, providing another cold weekend for the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area.  The water vapor satellite image this morning shows that the Sub Tropical jet stream is starting to gain strength once again, suggesting more interesting times ahead.
Now, the [...]



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