Tag Archive for 'canadian maritimes' at NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Very Cold Today, But Milder Conditions On The Way

December 22nd, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

7:05 AM
Today is going to be a very cold day, there is no getting around that. High pressure building in from the west in combination with the intense area of low pressure over the Canadian Maritimes will produce a strong pressure gradient over the forecast area, which will produce strong northwesterly winds. With temperatures today [...]

Tags: afternoon wind, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bridgrt, canadian maritimes, chills, cold, cold day, cold front, coldest day, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, dense fog, digs, Disturbance, east, epo, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, frigid temperatures, front, Hartford, high, holiday mood, Hudson Valley, intense area, intensity, Islip, light snow showers, Long Island, low, lows, maa, Mexico, moderation, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, northeastern Pennsylvania, northern connecticut, northwesterly winds, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, pressure gradient, Rain, Reading, Ridge, Scranton, showers, slides, snow, snow pack, Southeast, southwesterly wind, Storm, storms, surprise, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, Trough, troughs, valleys, waa, warm, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, wind chills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Winter Storm Likely Over Interior. Coastal Plain, Not So Much

December 9th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

The reason why I didn’t jump the gun on the solution from the GFS yesterday, specifically the 12Z GFS, was one simple and overriding reason. No negative NAO. No 50/50 low structure over the Canadian Maritimes. And a lot of timing needed to get conditions just right for a winter storm along the coast.
The [...]

Tags: 12z gfs, accumulation, Albany, Allentown, amounts, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, boundary layer, Bport, briefly, canada, canadian maritimes, clipper, coast, coastal plain, cold, cold air mass, cold front, Connecticut, continuation, east, evenings, Fall, final call, forecast, forecaster, Freehold, front, gfs, guidance, Gulf Coast, Gulf of Mexico, Hartford, high, interaction, Islip, Long Island, low, low pressure system, lows, Maine, map, Mexico, Model Guidance, models, moisture, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, north, north norther, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, qpf, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, reloading, repositions, Ridge, s, Scranton, sleet, snow, snow sleet, snowfall, specifics, Storm, storms, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thursday night, time of year, Tropical, tropics, Trough, troughs, warm, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, windy, Winter, winter storm. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Close Call Clipper For Sunday Morning

December 4th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

Can you feel the excitement in the air? Well if you can then you might be thinking about the clipper redevelopment seen on guidance the past 24 hours and what this storm may mean for the forecast area.
Now remember I said that I didn’t like any significant snowfall forecast out of this storm because of [...]

Tags: accumulation, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, blocking, boundary layer, Bridgeport, canadian maritimes, clipper, coast, cold, Connecticut, dives, england, ensembles, excitement, foreca, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, gfs, guidance, Hartford, intensity, Islip, lifting, light precipitation, Long Island, low, lows, map, maps, Maryland, maryland coast, mid, Mid Atlantic, moderate precipitation, moderation, New England, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, pva, Reading, s, saturday night, Scranton, seasonal trends, short wave, snow, snowfall, st, Storm, storms, sunday morning, Sussex, systems, time period, Trough, troughs, Virginia, virginia maryland, waves, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

A Clipper Threat For Sunday Marks The Medium Range

December 3rd, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

Can you hear that? Can you hear the beat of excitement grow for this Sunday? There are even hints on the morning news of a snow threat. Well, now let’s wait for a moment before we all start doing snow dances and watching individual model runs at 3 AM. Does the upper level pattern support [...]

Tags: accumulation, Albany, Allentown, amounts, amplification, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, blocking, boundary layer, Bridgeport, canadian maritimes, central Pennsylvania, circulation, clipper, coast, cold, Connecticut, east, ecmwf, england, evenings, excitement, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, frozen precipitation, gfs, guidance, Hartford, intensity, Islip, lifting, Long Island, low, lows, mid, mid levels, models, moderation, morning news, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, north, Northeast, Ocean, Ohio, Pennsylvania, pepper, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, pva, Reading, s, Scranton, seasonal trends, showers, signals, significant snow, slowing down, snow, snow dances, snow event, snowfall, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, transition, transitions, Trough, Virginia, virginia coast, watches, waves, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Arctic Air On The Way For End Of The Week

November 30th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

There is some good news and bad news I want to share with everyone this morning based on this coming week and the weeks to follow. I’ll start with the bad news first to get it out of the way.
The bad news for the medium and long range pattern is that upper low over the [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atmosphere, bad news, baffin island, Belmar, blocking, Bridgeport, canada, canadian maritimes, cold, cold air, cold front, Connecticut, continuation, current position, cyclogenesis, Disturbance, east, ecmwf, ensembles, extremes, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, front, frontal passage, games, gfs, guidance, Hartford, high, interaction, Islip, Long Island, low, lows, medium range, mid, Mid Atlantic, mid morning, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, northern canada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, Rain, Reading, scattered showers, Scranton, shape, showers, slap, snow, south, Southeast, Storm, storms, stratosphere, stratospheric temperature, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperature anomalies, temperatures, thursday afternoon, ups, warm, warm temperatures, watches, waves, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter, winter storm. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Stormy Sunday, But Not Snowy

November 26th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

Yesterday there was a lot of excitement when the medium range model guidance, especially the ECMWF produced a rather snowy solution for the coastal storm on Sunday. Even with the exciting model output, I had my significant doubts on this system playing out due to some of the points I made, one of which was [...]

Tags: accumulation, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, blocking, boundary layer, Bridgeport, cad, canadian maritimes, clipper, coast, coastal plain, Coastal Storm, cold, Connecticut, convergence, Disturbance, divergence, dives, doubts, east, ecmwf, england, ensembles, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, frozen precipitation, gfs, guidance, Gulf Coast, Hartford, high, Islip, ladies and gentlemen, Long Island, low, lows, medium range, meteorology, mid, Model Guidance, model output, models, moisture, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, north, northeastern pa, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, Rain, range model, Reading, s, Scranton, seasonal trends, shape, showers, sleet, snow, Storm, storms, sunday afternoon, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, Trough, troughs, upper level divergence, Virginia, virginia coast, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions 1 Comment

Snow Storm For This Sunday? Hold Your Horses Everyone!

November 25th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

By the way I have gotten my email account pounded this afternoon, I could already tell that the models were brewing up some mischief for this weekend. The question is if the models are on to something or if the solution we are seeing is pure fantasy.
The ECMWF is the main culprit here. Let [...]

Tags: accumulation, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atmosphere, axis, Belmar, blocking, Bridgeport, caa, canada, canadian maritimes, carolina coastline, clipper, coast, coastline, cold, cold air, confluence, Connecticut, continuation, convergence, culprit, discussion, Disturbance, east, ecmwf, ecmwf data, elevation, Energy, england, evenings, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, guidance, Hartford, high, higher elevations, Hudson Valley, intensity, Islip, Long Island, low, lows, Maine, mid, mischief, Model Guidance, models, new england coast, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, northern new england, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, prime case, Rain, rain snow, Reading, s, Scranton, sleet, snow, snow fall, snow line, snow storm, snowfall, southeastern canada, Storm, storms, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, Trough, troughs, waa, warm, Washington, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Clear Sailing Ahead, For Now

November 9th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

The cold front, upper low, coastal low, and all the mess that has impacted the forecast area the past several days is now well east of the forecast area and into the northern Atlantic. Canadian high pressure will build into and dominate the forecast area through Wednesday with clear skies and comfortable temperatures. Temperatures will [...]

Tags: air mass, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bport, canadian maritimes, clear sailing, clear skies, cold, confluence, Connecticut, continuation, convergence, Disturbance, dominance, east, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, front, Great Lakes, Hartford, high pressure system, Islip, jet stream, Jets, lifting, Long Island, lows, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normal temperatures, north, Northeast, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, polar air, Poughkeepsie, Reading, Ridge, Scranton, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, west, west coast, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Interesting Disturbance In The Southeast

November 1st, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

There’s an interesting disturbance over the Southeast this morning that may play an important part in next weekend’s weather. The disturbance is expected to move towards the Bahamas where a surface low pressure system will take shape and intensify.
Now, the model guidance has some different solutions on how this low pressure system interacts with [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, ao, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Bahamas, Belmar, Bridgeport, canadian maritimes, Connecticut, continuation, Disturbance, east, East Coast, ecmwf, ensembles, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, gfs, guidance, Hartford, interaction, Islip, Long Island, low pressure system, lows, Mid Atlantic, Model Guidance, models, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, Reading, Scranton, Southeast, Storm, storm development, storms, Sussex, systems, Trough, weather, wet weekend, White Plains, Wild Wood, windy. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Evening Thoughts

October 7th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

The model guidance this evening is giving us a prime example on how a strong ridge in the East doesn’t always translate to warm conditions for the forecast area.
The rainfall currently over the Ohio Valley will weaken as the upper trough supporting the rainfall splits and weakens. Much of the PVA associated with this rainfall [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, back door, Belmar, Bridgeport, canadian maritimes, cold, cold front, confluence, Connecticut, convergence, east, eastern quebec, england, evening thoughts, forecast, forecast area, front, Hartford, Islip, lifting, Long Island, lows, Mid Atlantic, Model Guidance, models, New England, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, Northeast, northern average temperatures, northern Rockies, Northwest, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, prime example, pva, quebec, Rainfall, Reading, Ridge, Rockies, Scranton, showers, south, Southeast, sunday evening, temperature, temperatures, Trenton, Trough, upper trough, warm, White Plains, wills. General Discussions Add a comment