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Tag Archive for 'Caribbean Sea'

Tropical Disturbance May Provide An Interesting Twist For East Coast Storm

 
An impressive tropical disturbance to the south and east of Puerto Rico is quickly becoming better organized and will likely become a new tropical depression by this evening if not sooner.  The upper level winds over the next 48 hours will briefly become more favorable for development of this tropical disturbance and there is some [...]

Local Forecast Discussion Updated

The local forecast discussion is updated.
The weather for the forecast area is going to be a lot more active over the next three days.  Tropical Storm Hanna will move towards the forecast area and produce very heavy rainfall on Saturday.  In fact, rainfall amounts of 2 to 5 inches will be possible on Saturday from [...]

Evening Thoughts

Another great day of weather as high pressure brought comfortable and pleasant conditions to the entire forecast area.  The main story once again is directed towards the tropical Atlantic which is red hot with tons of action.  
Hanna has weakened back to a tropical storm this evening, which was slightly surprising given the progress Hanna [...]

Tropical Atlantic Activity Increasing

 
While Gustav continues to move through the Caribbean, additional disturbances have shown some potential for development over the Atlantic.  One disturbance is located roughly 500 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.  This disturbance is being influenced by strong southwesterly shear, which is limiting the potential for development.  However, upper level conditions are expected to [...]

Tropical Gustav Rapidly Develops

Well, it’s been a busy afternoon in the tropics!  While the remnants of Fay continue to spin over the Southeast, the impressive tropical disturbance over the eastern Caribbean Sea, rapidly developing into Tropical Storm Gustav this afternoon.  
Gustav this evening is a strong tropical storm.  A small pulsing down of the thunderstorms is being observed [...]

New Tropical Disturbance To Keep An Eye On

 
Two other disturbances are currently being monitored over the Tropical Atlantic.  The first is over the eastern Caribbean, which is showing some signs of development this morning.  The showers and thunderstorms are developing around a weak low level center of circulation.  However, to this point, the circulation remains disorganized.  However, upper level conditions are favorable [...]

Tropical Storm Fay May Threaten Eastern Gulf Of Mexico

 
Tropical Storm Fay is about to exit Haiti and move open a small area of open waters between Haiti and Cuba.  To be honest, I’m not all that impressed with the current images of Tropical Storm Fay.  I’m not saying it’s not a tropical storm, just a poorly organized one.  Fay though does have a [...]

Tropical Storm Fay Forms In The Caribbean Sea

While I’ve been watching the severe thunderstorms moving through the forecast area, I forgot to mention that the tropical disturbance has jumped to forming into Tropical Storm Fay!  
Tropical Storm Fay has formed on the southern coast of the Dominican Republic, which is much further south than I was expecting.  With the formation of the [...]

Tropical Disturbance Bares Watching For The East Coast

 
Waiting for the tropical disturbance located over the Virgin Island to develop is like waiting for a late bus that does not seem like it is going to come.  All observations continue to report that the low level circulation with this tropical disturbance is very weak and poorly organized.  Model guidance suggest that the tropical [...]

Active Tropical Atlantic May Mean Trouble For East Coast

 
There are three areas of interest that I’m keeping an eye on.  One area is of immediate concern for much of the East coast, the other is of general concern, and the third is of long range possibilities.  
First, a tropical disturbance roughly 175 miles east of the Leeward Islands.  This disturbance is becoming much [...]