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Tag Archive for 'Caribbean'

Local Forecast Discussion Updated

The local forecast discussion is updated.
The weather for the forecast area is going to be a lot more active over the next three days.  Tropical Storm Hanna will move towards the forecast area and produce very heavy rainfall on Saturday.  In fact, rainfall amounts of 2 to 5 inches will be possible on Saturday from [...]

Evening Thoughts

Another great day of weather as high pressure brought comfortable and pleasant conditions to the entire forecast area.  The main story once again is directed towards the tropical Atlantic which is red hot with tons of action.  
Hanna has weakened back to a tropical storm this evening, which was slightly surprising given the progress Hanna [...]

Hanna Becomes A Hurricane And Ike Is Born

As Hurricane Gustav makes land fall, the tropics remain extremely active!
I’ve been following Hanna almost a week as the then tropical storm moved from northeast of the Caribbean to the Bahamas.  As I was thinking, once the upper low that has been influencing Hanna moved away, Hanna would be able to intensify and organize rapidly. [...]

Tropical Storm Hana Remains Disorganized

Tropical Storm Hana is not exactly looking impressive this morning as strong shear is forcing much of the convection to the east of the center of circulation.  The shear is being produced by a departing upper low that is forecast to weaken over the next 24 hours.  The shear is expected to weaken over the [...]

Tropical Storm Gustav Jumps To The South

 
Tropical Storm Gustav has redeveloped to the south of Haiti and to the east of Jamaica, under some very deep convection.  Gustav will be under a building ridge of high pressure ridge over the next 66 hours, which will allow the tropical storm to intensify back to hurricane strength and beyond.  
It is interesting to [...]

Tropical Depression Developing Over Caribbean Sea

 
The tropical disturbance over the eastern Caribbean is looking very healthy this morning.  A low level circulation is clearly visible in the IR satellite pictures this morning with plenty of convection surrounding the center of circulation.  Cloud tops are becoming very cold, suggesting strong rising motion associated with this tropical system and favorable upper level [...]

Tropical Thoughts

 
The tropical Atlantic is starting to get rather interesting.  We can now narrow down two possible disturbances that can become tropical depressions in the next 48 hours.  Both disturbances are well east of the Windward Island, about 900 miles away.  
The latest upper level observations would suggest that high pressure aloft will remain over the [...]

New Tropical Depression Forming!?

The tropical disturbance located 1400 miles to the east of the Lesser Antilles is looking very healthy this morning.  I along with the NHC expect this disturbance to become a tropical depression by this afternoon or evening.  There is clearly a low level circulation involved with this disturbance and showers and thunderstorms are beginning to [...]