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Another wet day for the coast

November 1st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:50 AM
Once again the change in the clocks, this time back, has me all confused and wide eyed. I feel completely off, but hey, why not mess with time? We made it up after all. Anyway, off to the forecast!
This morning, a strong disturbance is racing out of the Tennessee Valley and moving towards the [...]

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High Pressure Keeps Storms At Bay Through The Weekend

March 12th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:34 AM
There is a lot of moisture pooling over the southern Mississippi Valley this morning along the stalled cold front that blew through last night. The good news is that the high pressure system over the western Great Lakes is strong enough to keep much of that moisture to the south of the forecast area [...]

Tags: accumulation, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bridgeport, canada, clear skies, clipper, clippers, clouds, cold, cold air, cold front, Connecticut, CONUS, Disturbance, dominance, dominants, east, eastern canada, ecmwf, evolution, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, gfs, Great Lakes, guidance, Hartford, high, Hudson Valley, Islip, Jets, light precipitation, light rain, light winds, Long Island, low, lows, main themes, Maine, metros, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, moisture, monday morning, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normal temperatures, normals, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, philadelphia metro, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, Rain, rain and snow, Reading, s, Scranton, Shear, showers, sleet, snow, snow sleet, snows, south, southern mississippi, Storm, storms, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, Trough, valleys, weeke, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Closed

A Look At March

March 2nd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

4:51 PM
The month of March is usually a month of transition from winter to spring. It’s the month of college basket ball dreams. Where everyones baseball team is in first place and anything is possible. It’s also a month where one week 12 inches can fall on the ground and the next, temperatures are in [...]

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Winter Returns, But Does A Storm Follow?

February 23rd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:05 AM
There is strong agreement in the model guidance that a very strong Arctic cold front will plow through the forecast area on Friday with heavy rain and rapidly falling temperatures on Friday evening. The cold air behind this cold front is rather impressive for late February and early March, and I think the MOS [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, amplification, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atmosphere, bam, Belmar, blocking, Bport, clipper, clippers, coast, cold, Connecticut, digs, east, ecmwf, evenings, Fall, forecast, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, guidance, Hartford, Islip, Long Island, low, lows, models, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, pva, Rain, Reading, Ridge, Rockies, Scranton, snow, Storm, storms, suggestion, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, Trough, troughs, warm, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter. Technical Discussions Closed

Clipper Redevelopment And The Speed Of The Pattern

February 21st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:17 AM
The Alberta Clipper that will impact the forecast area late tonight through Sunday morning is currently entering the Ohio Valley and will race towards the eastern Great Lakes by this evening. The latest water vapor images do hint at the potential for some coastal redevelopment as the base of the trough is showing the [...]

Tags: accumulation, Albany, Allentown, amounts, area, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bridgeport, clipper, clippers, cold, Connecticut, england, evenings, Fall, forecast, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, Hartford, Islip, Jets, Long Island, low, lows, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, Rain, Reading, Scranton, snow, snowfall, surfaces, surprise, surprises, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, Trough, troughs, valleys, warm, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, windy. Technical Discussions Closed

Cold And Windy Conditions Continue

February 20th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:38 AM
The strong low pressure system to the north of the forecast area will continue to support a strong pressure gradient over the region. As a result, a cold, strong northwesterly wind will continue to impact the forecast area with winds ranging from 20 to 40 mph with higher gusts through at least the afternoon [...]

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Current Observations And Trends Tell Us What To Expect Going Forward

February 18th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:00 PM
First, no video tonight as I’m working on adding separate images and maps, and haven’t nailed down the technique yet. I’m happy to say that the audio issues have been resolved. My hope is to have them up without that fuzzy look as seen when I would first post them on Youtube.
Now, let’s [...]

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Active Storm Track Returns

February 15th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:57 AM
The overall pattern for the end of this week will be pretty active, but will be influenced by the collapse of the 50/50 low and the overall evolution of the higher latitude 500 MB pattern.
First, let’s discuss the up coming rain storm for the forecast area. The complete collapse of the negative NAO [...]

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Snowy Tuesday Or Just Snow Showers?

January 31st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

10:12 AM
The medium range forecast obviously is focused on Tuesday as to whether the forecast area gets a heavy snowfall or nothing at all. It’s amazing just how much the model guidance has changed in the past few days where the forecast from ALL guidance went from a driving rainstorm for the forecast area and [...]

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Time To Take A Stand In Uneven Sand

January 23rd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:46 AM
Sink or swim, I am going to take a stand of where I think this pattern and the set up from Sunday night through Thursday ends up. As you know, I’ve been taking a cue from the pattern similar to this set up from the PDII storm, stating that the set up is rather [...]

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