Free weather forecast for New York, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania.
The local forecast discussion is updated.
I admit it. I’m kind of rushing through this update today. Today is the biggest Mets game of the year until maybe tomorrow depending on how things work out. Anyway, the upper low is finally swinging through the forecast area today making for cloudy skies and some wet conditions. Kyle [...]
The local forecast discussion is updated.
Well this morning, I’m in between a bust and a fair forecast. As far as rainfall totals go, I’m on track to basically to have nailed down that potential from roughly seven days out, so I don’t feel too bad about that. However, as far as the coastal flooding and wind is [...]
Deep convection in the form of steady heavy rain is reforming off the Mid Atlantic coast and is moving towards the forecast area. The heavy rain will move into southern New Jersey late tonight and expand through the rest of the forecast area towards morning.
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Kyle is starting to interact with the [...]
I’m going to be making various posts through the evening on what’s developing to the east of the forecast area, but lets review to what we’ve seen so far.
This morning, heavy rainfall from the first “wave” of precipitation moved through much of New Jersey, the eastern Philadelphia metro, and all of the New York city [...]
A break in the rainfall is insight for much of southern New Jersey as the heavy rain band moves north into central New Jersey and points north and east. The break in the rainfall is in between two bands of heavy rainfall, the other over the coastal DELMARVA peninsula.
As I described the past few [...]
A lot of the model guidance for Kyle has shifted west this morning but still remains too far too the East compared to what I think may be developing in this storm.
Kyle this morning does not look overly impressive to me at all. I’ll let you be the judge. What I see is a tropical [...]
Just wanted to give a quick reminder of what storm mode is.
Basically storm mode is where a constant run down of the storm event is “blogged” while a forecast discussion is not written. The rest of the web site is updated as normal.
If anyone want to share there observations, feel free to do so in [...]
The steady rainfall that started last night has now become a well defined stream of moderate to heavy rainfall stretching from the Atlantic right into the New Jersey coastline. Rainfall amounts thus far based on Doppler estimates has reached from 0.5″ to 1.5″ of rain over Monmouth and Ocean Counties where the steady rainfall has [...]
The steady rainfall is beginning to set up from the Atlantic and moving west through the forecast area. Over the next several hours, the rain will move off the Atlantic in waves with generally light to moderate rainfall amounts and periods of heavy rainfall. Winds will continue from the east and northeast around 15 to [...]
The tropical disturbance well all have been waiting to finally developed, did so this afternoon as the disturbance become Tropical Storm Kyle.
Let me be clear here, Tropical Storm Kyle is a very poorly formed storm as far as tropical characteristics are concerned. The majority of the deep convection is to the east of the [...]
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