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Tag Archive for 'coastal locations'

A variety of winter weather returns for early next week

7:45 AM
High pressure will continue to dominate much of the northern Mid Atlantic today through Sunday with scattered clouds and temperatures returning to near normal levels.  In fact, many locations along the coast will push into the lower 40’s for highs, which will aid in slowly melting the snow pack over the region.
The next storm [...]

Tranquil conditions return, for now

6:10 AM
As the low pressure system that produced light to moderate snowfall over much of the northern Mid Atlantic exits into the north Atlantic, high pressure takes hold with a well deserved break from winter weather precipitation for the region.
Yesterday’s snowfall ranged from an inch over southeastern Pennsylvania and southern New Jersey to as much [...]

Cold sets in as storm potential increases along the coast

8:06 AM
The big story this morning is obviously the potential significant snowfall for the coastal locations of the northern Mid Atlantic.  I will be diving into my thoughts on the evolution of this storm, and what to look for in the next 24 hours in guidance in a minute.
First, the conditions of this morning should [...]

Evening Thoughts- Severe weather strikes again

8:05 PM
One of the key aspects I stressed this morning and again in the rapid updates through the afternoon was the potential for a thunderstorm to exhibit tornadic qualities.  That situation materialized this afternoon over eastern Burlington and Ocean Counties of New Jersey as an intense thunderstorm impacted much of the central and southern New [...]

The Transition To Spring Begins

10:16 AM
Spring will officially begin on March 20th according to the calendar.  Looks like the upper level pattern is going to actually help out in bringing Spring-like conditions to the forecast area.  While the northern branch continues to sway between a negative NAO to a negative EPO pattern, the influence of the northern branch will [...]

After A Warm Week, A Chance For Snow

8:33 AM
The middle of the week will start with an area of low pressure driving from the central Plains towards the central and eastern Great Lakes.  Warm and overall dry conditions can be expected on Wednesday with a few warm air advection showers in the afternoon.  By Wednesday night and Thursday morning, the cold front [...]

Light Snow Through Today

6:40 AM
So now that we have looked at what is going on now, let’s go forward for the rest of the today.
Temperatures will continue to fall through today with the day’s highs occurring right now.  Temperatures will fall through the 20’s and 30’s through the afternoon as precipitation continues to develop over the forecast area. [...]

Thoughts On The 12Z Guidance So Far

11:28 AM
So far, the 12Z NAM and part of the 12Z GFS has come out and there are some points I like to make.  
There are some comments that the GFS/NAM are warmer.  Given the account for some error, the rate of warming at 850 MB is about the same.  The warm air at 850 [...]

Arctic Blast Means Business

7:48 AM
Obviously the news of the Arctic Blast that will impact the forecast area on Thursday through Sunday has been talked about in several areas.
The main threat I want to convey about this air mass is not to take this situation likely.  I have a strong feeling that the MOS guidance is still too warm [...]

Cold Start To The New Year

10:53 AM
This year is certainly starting off on a cold note as temperatures will remain well below normal today.  High pressure will continue to build into the forecast area, which will allow the pressure gradient to fall off and decrease the winds over the forecast area.  However, the highs today won’t go far with the [...]



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