NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Foggy start this morning with increasing flooding potential this weekend

8:00 AM
The temperatures may be warmer, but the active storm track that the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area experienced in February is returning once again.
The easterly fetch developing at the mid and lower levels of the atmosphere is already influencing the northern Mid Atlantic as Atlantic moisture moves into the coastal plain.  The [...]

High pressure dominates, but not for long

9:40 AM
High pressure is in full control over much of the eastern third of the nation this morning and remain in control through tomorrow evening.  As the high pressure moves northeast of the northern Mid Atlantic on Sunday and a developing low pressure over the Mississippi Valley approaches, winds will veer to the southeast and [...]

Blizzard conditions expected from Philadelphia through New York City

8:22 AM
A significant winter storm is beginning to develop over the Gulf Coast that will bring the entire forecast area heavy snowfall and very strong winds.  The most significant impacts will be focused towards the coastal plain once again, where many locations have experienced one of the snowiest winters of all time.  This storm will [...]

Evening Thoughts- Zeroing in on winter storm impacts

10:00 PM
My thoughts this evening on the storm for Friday night through Sunday morning has not changed much.  The overall development of the storm will depend on the development of the Polar Vortex and the interaction of the Arctic cold front with the Sub Tropical disturbance.
The initial set up for this storm on Friday afternoon [...]

Rain and minor ice threat on tap today

8:39 AM

An intensifying low pressure system is moving through the Tennessee Valley this morning with heavy rain approaching southern New Jersey.  The heavy rain is expected to spread throughout the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area through this morning and become heavy this afternoon.
The hold of cold air is starting to give over most [...]

Moderation ensues as a return to normal begins

7:23 AM
This morning we can see the makings of what will be a powerful storm for this weekend as a strong Sub Tropical Disturbance now enters the western Gulf Coast.  This storm will intensify and drive towards the Mid Atlantic coastal waters over the next few days.  However, as the Sub Tropical jet stream becomes [...]

Major Storm on the horizon, what this means for the pattern

7:37 AM
A major storm is showing up on the model guidance over the past three model runs.  What does this storm mean for the pattern develop for the rest of the winter and what potential does this storm have for snow, ice, and rain for the northern Mid Atlantic?
– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 26°F;Humidity: 92%;Heat [...]

Very windy today as temperatures struggle to rise

7:15 AM

A strong secondary cold front has moved through the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas this morning, driven by the rapidly deepening area of low pressure to the east of northern Maine.  This low pressure system in combination with a high pressure system over the Mid West is producing an impressive pressure [...]

Complicated and active pattern unfolding

7:23 AM
This morning an energetic disturbance over the Ohio Valley is racing east, slightly faster than most model guidance have projected, and is producing light snow showers over parts of western Pennsylvania.  This disturbance will continue to move east, but will run into the surface high pressure currently sitting over the Philadelphia and New York [...]

Evening Thoughts- (Part 1) Saturday’s snow potential

9:11 PM
Over the past several days, there has been some excitement throughout the weather world (at least in the Mid Atlantic) for a potential snow event Saturday evening through early Sunday morning.
My thoughts the past few days focused on the boundary layer temperatures through the time which the majority of the precipitation with this low [...]