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Tag Archive for 'coffee'

ICY Christmas night expected over interior, best snow pattern in years on the way

7:45 AM
I have a lot of information to go over this morning so get your coffee or tea and get ready for a lengthy read.
This morning, the water vapor satellite picture shows a developing and energetic Sub Tropical Disturbance about to interact with a strong Polar disturbance racing south along the eastern Rockies.  Eventually these [...]

Light Snow Has Started In Freehold

7:04 PM
At around 6:30 PM, right around when I was going out to fuel up on coffee from D&D, light snow started to fall over Freehold, New Jersey.  The snow is very light and wet, which means that initially the snow will have some difficulty in sticking to surfaces.  Current temperatures in slightly above freezing, [...]

Defined Thoughts And Increasing Confidence

10:52 AM
I’m going to cover all the thoughts for the next seven (7) days in this one post.  The reason is because the short and medium range periods are really interconnected so there’s no point in splitting them up.  So get that coffee cup and prepare to read a lot.  I’m going to add more [...]

Arctic Blast Means Business

7:48 AM
Obviously the news of the Arctic Blast that will impact the forecast area on Thursday through Sunday has been talked about in several areas.
The main threat I want to convey about this air mass is not to take this situation likely.  I have a strong feeling that the MOS guidance is still too warm [...]

Thoughts For The Weekend And Beyond

8:41 PM
I can tell the excitement is building for Saturday based on the emails that have flooded my inbox this afternoon.  Yes, the model guidance, and I mean all model guidance, is picking up on the potential for the Alberta Clipper on Saturday. 
Before we get into the model guidance, let’s get back to the basics [...]

Quick Thoughts And I Need Some Coffee

5:53 AM
Okay guys, I’m back from what was basically a nap.  Here are my thoughts as I see the situation right now.  
First, the air mass HAS set up colder.  I took a quick peak at the 06Z guidance, which is in slightly better agreement.  The first thing I noticed with the 06Z data was [...]



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