NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Eastern ridge return for next week, but for how long?

9:04 AM
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There can be no doubt that change is in the air as the Arctic Oscillation relaxes and the Sub Tropical jet stream gets some breathing room to flex its muscles now.  The result of which is a pattern that by next week leads to a ridge moving through the East and a deep [...]

What has caused the heavy rainfall this month?

9:52 AM
June has seen some very impressive rainfall amounts with many locations well over an inch above normal.  Even some locations double the amount of normal rainfall.  While a continuous onslaught of showers and thunderstorms have impacted much of the Mid Atlantic, and specifically the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan areas, other locations have [...]

Heavy rain and severe weather a significant threat

7:30 AM
The forecast for today through tonight is best described as significantly complicated and potentially very active.  The main theme is basically the progression of the warm front currently over southwesterly Pennsylvania through eastern Virginia.  I want to start with the fact that the surface low pressure system is further north and weaker than forecasted [...]

A break in the wet weather today, but more rain on the way

7:15 AM
As low pressure exits the forecast area this morning, a brief break in the clouds and rainfall can be expected through the day.  In case anyone forgot, that big bright ball in the sky is called the sun, and no we are not in Seatlle.  Weak high pressure over the eastern Great Lakes will [...]

Tropical Weather Update for Thursday, June 18 2009

8:15 AM

The one good aspect of El Nino this summer is that development of tropical systems continues to be inhibited by strong westerly shear and a lack of any organized disturbances.  Strong westerly and southwesterly shear dominates the central and wester Caribbean and over the western Tropical Atlantic.  The combination of a trough over northern [...]

Showers remain a threat as humid conditions dominant

10:10 AM
The type of pattern the forecast area is being influenced by is at times difficult to forecast for in terms of timing showers and thunderstorms as there are several factors that mixing the atmosphere.  For one, take a look at the latest visible satellite image.  
The stationary front over the southern Mid Atlantic, is [...]

Severe weather potentially explosive tomorrow afternoon

9:38 PM
A preview of the a potentially very active afternoon was seen this afternoon over much of southern Monmouth and Ocean counties of New Jersey this afternoon.  A weak disturbance, a remnant from the MCS that impacted much of the Mid West early this morning, sparked off a cluster of showers and thunderstorms.  These thunderstorms [...]

Heavy rain today, beautiful conditions for the weekend

7:10 AM
Sometimes in life there are important trade offs that we must make.  In terms of weather conditions, the forecast area will go through a very wet, raw Friday to get to two days of exceptional weather conditions this weekend.  
This morning, an area of low pressure developing over central North Carolina.  As the upper [...]

Periods of heavy rain through Friday

1:59 PM
This afternoon, the disturbance over the southern Mississippi Valley is pushing towards the Tennessee Valley.  As a result, a surface low pressure system is quickly organizing over the Southeast.  As you can see with the radar, precipitation is quickly developing over southern Pennsylvania through the Ohio Valley while there is clearly a low level [...]

Active mid week expected

8:45 PM
The showers and thunderstorms over the Ohio Valley, Mid West, and southern Great Lakes can be considered a calling card for what is to come through the next three days for the forecast area.  I’m sure the first feature that draws your attention is the explosive shades of yellow, orange, and red over the [...]