Tag Archive for 'continuation' at NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

The Cold And Snow Will Not Go Away Through Next Week

January 9th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:30 AM
The Arctic Express is on the way, and this has nothing to do with Santa Claus, however for some it might seem like Christmas morning all over again.
The negative EPO is going to be doing a heck of a job driving arctic cold air into the eastern two-third of the nation through next week. [...]

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Thoughts For The Weekend And Beyond

January 7th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:41 PM
I can tell the excitement is building for Saturday based on the emails that have flooded my inbox this afternoon. Yes, the model guidance, and I mean all model guidance, is picking up on the potential for the Alberta Clipper on Saturday.
Before we get into the model guidance, let’s get back to the basics [...]

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Heavy Ice And Rain To Continue Through This Afternoon

January 7th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:27 AM
The forecast for the next three days is obviously going to be the most active in the next 24 hours.
Currently, a coastal low pressure system is developing off the New Jersey coast. Winds along the coast are beginning to turn to the northwest over southern New Jersey and northeast along Long Island, clearly indicating [...]

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Good And Bad News This Morning

January 7th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:20 AM
I think I’ll start with the good news. The east wind has done its job as expected and has warmed the entire coastal plain above freezing including the major cities and surrounding suburbs. Heavy rain can be expected through the day as the best dynamics continue to be present over the forecast area. This [...]

Tags: bad news, cold, cold air, Connecticut, continuation, drought, east, east wind, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, freezing rain, heavy rain, Hudson Valley, ice, job, major cities, northeastern Pennsylvania, northern valley, Pennsylvania, plains, Rain, sleet, southern New Jersey, valley locations, valleys, warm, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Troubling Trends

January 6th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:40 PM
There are some indications that I’ve seen in the past hour that has me a bit worried about significant ice for central, western, and northern New Jersey and much of eastern Pennsylvania.
At this point, most model guidance had the low level cold air pushed out of central and southern New Jersey and warm air [...]

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A Very Icy Night Setting Up Away From The Coast

January 6th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:48 PM
Right now, if you are along the immediate coast, your snow and ice worries are all but over. The strengthening warm air advection off the Atlantic supported by the developing 850 MB low over the Tennessee and Ohio Valley has warmed the majority of the atmosphere above freezing, thus producing all rain for coastal [...]

Tags: advection, area, Atlantic, atmosphere, cad, coast, coastal connecticut, cold, cold air, Connecticut, continuation, eastern Pennsylvania, england, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, freezing rain, high, Hudson Valley, ice, isentropic, lifting, Long Island, low, lows, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, New England, Northeast, Ohio, Pennsylvania, plains, precipitation, pva, Rain, s, sleet, snow, snow and ice, Southwest, temperature, temperatures, Tennessee, valleys, warm, warm air advection, wills, worries. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Pattern Will Continue Activity Through Next Week

January 6th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:41 AM
There is a lot more opportunities for winter weather over the next 10 to 15 days as a deep trough digs in the East and a ridge builds to northern Alaska over the next several days. The negative EPO is returning and the pattern over the Atlantic is best described as nuetral in terms of [...]

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Colder Environment Setting Up Icy Weather For Interior

January 6th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:27 AM
The first observation I noticed throughout the forecast area was how dry the air was. This is a big deal everyone for one simple reason. Evaporational cooling.
The precipitation seen over Delaware and Maryland will slowly push north today, as high pressure gives way over the next 8 to 12 hours. Clouds will continue to [...]

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Active Winter Weather To Continue

January 5th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:58 AM
The pattern will continue to amplify towards the end of the week and into the weekend. I want to touch on some points about the overall pattern first before discussion the forecast.
There is some discussion that the pattern appears to be like a return to mid December with a raging postive NAO. This is [...]

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Active Pattern Begins

January 4th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

10:00 AM
The active pattern of stormy weather will begin today and last over the next 14 days, at least. For this post, I’ll focus on today through Monday.
A weakening disturbance, which is running right into the strong 50/50 low is rapidly weakening. However, enough WAA is entering the forecast area to produce some moderate isentropic [...]

Tags: accumulation, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bridgeport, briefly, clouds, coast, Connecticut, continuation, Disturbance, Fall, forecast, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, Hartford, high, Hudson Valley, isentropic, Islip, lifting, Long Island, low, lows, moderation, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, Rain, Scranton, showers, snow, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, Trenton, valleys, waa, warm, weather, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment