Tag Archive for 'CONUS' at NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

This Pattern, More Than Meets The Eye

January 7th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:51 AM
Taking a look at the pattern via surface maps, the potential and interest in the pattern through this weekend into next week would best be described as boring, especially the GFS. However, if one was to look at 500 MB, they would come away with a totally different perspective on this pattern that is [...]

Tags: a, air express, amounts, area, Atlantic, atmosphere, blocking, clipper, clippers, coast, cold, cold air, cold conditions, CONUS, different perspective, Disturbance, dives, doors, doubts, east, ecmwf, Energy, epo, ey, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, game, games, gfs, greenland, guidance, interaction, lifting, low, lows, map, maps, mid, Mid Atlantic, Model Guidance, models, moderation, nao, north, Northeast, northeastern connecticut, nuetral, Philadelphia, pv, Rain, Ridge, s, shortwave, shortwaves, snowfall, snowfall amounts, south, south storm, storm track, storms, surface maps, surfaces, surprise, systems, Trough, ukmet, weeke, west, wills, Winter. Technical Discussions 1 Comment

What’s Going On In The Pattern

December 3rd, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

After a lot of thought and about 150 curls at the gym, I wanted to write about what I think will unfold in the pattern for the next two weeks.
I’m sure everyone is freaking out about the latest in the crazy guidance seen on the long range GFS and ECMWF guidance. The big scare [...]

Tags: alaska, Albany, Allentown, anomalies, Atlantic, Atlantic City, axis, Belmar, blocking, Bport, canada, central asia, coast, cold, color blind, Connecticut, continuation, CONUS, curls, Disturbance, east, ecmwf, Energy, eurasia, evenings, explaination, flood, floods, forecast, forecaster, Freehold, front, games, gfs, guidance, gulf of alaska, Hartford, hat tip, horses, ing, intensity, Islip, Long Island, low, lows, map, maps, mid, Model Guidance, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, north, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, pumps, quebec, Reading, Ridge, s, scare, Scranton, signals, signs, slides, snow, south, sst, stratosphere, stratospheric temperatures, Sussex, temperature, temperatures, Texas, Trough, warm, waves, west, western asia, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Watch Out For Early December

November 22nd, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

A continued theme from the December forecast, looks like model guidance is strongly jumping onto the idea of a very cold start to December for much of the CONUS. We have a strong PNA ridge developing for the start of December, but also some other interesting features. A strong upper low over California is expected [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, arctic air, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bport, cold, cold start, Connecticut, continuation, CONUS, cyclogenesis, east, East Coast, ecmwf, england, ensembles, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, frontal boundary, gfs, greenland, guidance, gulf coast region, Gulf Stream, Hartford, interaction, Islip, Jets, Long Island, low, lows, Maine, map, Model Guidance, models, nao, New England, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, plains, pna, Poughkeepsie, Reading, Ridge, s, Scranton, south, Southeast, specifics, Storm, storm track, storms, stormy weather conditions, Sussex, train, Tropical, tropics, unstable air, warm, watches, weather, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

My Winter Forecast For 2008/09

October 22nd, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

It is once again that time of year where snow lovers across the Northeast and Mid Atlantic have one question and one desire. Will my back yard see plenty of white or brown mud?
Before I go into detail about my winter forecast, I want to explain how I developed and produced the theory for [...]

Tags: area, Atlantic, axis, blocking, cold, CONUS, Cuba, Disturbance, east, england, enso, evenings, Fall, features work, forecast, forecaster, front, greenland, guidance, height anomalies, hot, hot chocolate, Hurricane, indirect impacts, interaction, issue at hand, japan, Jets, lows, Mexico, Mississippi, mistake, models, moisture, nao, normal, north, north observation, Northeast, observations, October, Ohio, one desire, opinions, pdo, Philadelphia, plains, precipitation, predominant characteristics, pressure changes, Reading, Ridge, s, satellite, satellite data, siberia, signs, snow, snow lovers, Southeast, Storm, storms, stratosphere, stratospheric temperature, subsidence, synoptic, synoptic features, systems, Teleconnection, teleconnection indices, Teleconnections, temperature, temperature and pressure, temperatures, Tropical, tropics, Trough, warm, watches, weather, weather enthusiast, west, wills, Winter. General Discussions Add a comment

Caspian Ridge Returns

August 5th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

I’ve been noticing that an old winter friend has returned to the weather scene over the past few model runs and just want to touch on the potential influence of the return of the Caspian Ridge influence on the weather pattern in the Northeast and throughout the CONUS.
Naturally, the ridge, which forms over the [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, Atlantic City, Bridgeport, Caspian Ridge, Connecticut, CONUS, Hartford, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, North America, Northeast, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, Scranton, Teleconnection, Trenton, White Plains. General Discussions Add a comment