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7:49 AM
Another run and more indecision on the model guidance on what to expect for the period of Sunday night through Monday. What disturbance is causing these issues? I have found the culprit and this feature is not going to be handled very well until late in the week at the earliest!
– Weather When [...]
9:05 PM
Good evening everyone,
This afternoon a hacker apparently was able to use the list serve which I’ve been using to send the monthly news letter. In what was a rather annoying development for all associated with the email list, the emails lead to a variety of problems including flooding some individuals with dozens if not [...]
9:45 PM
This evening, several locations throughout the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area experienced a brief period of heavy rain, strong wind gusts, and even some lightning and thunder. The culprit behind this line of convection was the cold front that will eventually cause the coastal low off the New England coast to explode. [...]
5:15 AM
A slow moving cold front, an intensifying trough, and some upper level moisture from Hurricane Bill will combine to bring rounds of showers and thunderstorms capable of heavy downpours through early Sunday morning.
To the left is the 700 MB upper level map for this afternoon via the NAM model. The vortex over the Atlantic [...]
9:51 PM
This evening there is trouble brewing over the forecast area and the northern Mid Atlantic.
As I had mentioned, the cold front is starting to move through the forecast area, and the cold air this evening has been impressively pushing south and east over Pennsylvania. One of the issues with the forecast in the [...]
By the way I have gotten my email account pounded this afternoon, I could already tell that the models were brewing up some mischief for this weekend. The question is if the models are on to something or if the solution we are seeing is pure fantasy.
The ECMWF is the main culprit here. Let [...]
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