Destabilization | NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Tag Archive for 'destabilization'

Hot Temperatures Finally Return

August 4th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

5:15 AM
For most of this summer, the truly hot and humid conditions that are expected for a summer in the Mid Atlantic have not materialize for the forecast area. That is about to change over the next 48 hours and beyond.
First lets discuss this afternoon and evening. The pattern evolution this morning continues to support [...]

Tags: afternoon highs, Albany, Allentown, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, Belmar, Bridgeport, Citi Field, coastal waters, Connecticut, delaware river valley, destabilization, early afternoon, forecast area, Freehold, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, hig, humid conditions, Islip, jet streams, level jet, levels of the atmosphere, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, Mets, mid levels, negative tilt, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Reading, Scranton, severe thunderstorms, Sussex, Tennessee Valley, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, tornado threat, upper level disturbance, warm moist air, wednesday evening, White Plains, Wild Wood, wind gusts, wind shear, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Tracking Another Rain Storm For This Summer

June 18th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

The latest updates can be found at the bottom!
8:36:31 AM: The steady rain is close to coming to an end as the back end of the heavy rain moves through eastern Pennsylvania.
8:37:32 AM: The occluded front is still off to the west of the region and will continue to slowly progress eastward through the afternoon.
8:38:03 [...]

Tags: afternoon hours, Albany, amounts, area, atmosphere, central hudson, central Pennsylvania, coast, continuation, Delaware, delaware river, destabilization, east, eastern Pennsylvania, evenings, exiting, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, front, heavy rain, Hudson Valley, lifting, live blog, Long Island, low, low pressure system, lows, overcast, overcast conditions, Pennsylvania, Rain, rain moves, rain storm, rain threat, Rainfall, Rainfall Amounts, severe weather, showers, steady rain, Storm, storm mode, storms, Summer, systems, twitter, updates, valleys, west, wills. storm mode Closed

High pressure gives way as rain is on the way

June 17th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:27 AM
The pleasant weather conditions from yesterday are about to come to an end. So is my confidence in model guidance, by the way. However, before I get to that, let’s take a look at the precipitation that is charging towards the forecast area.
High pressure currently centered over eastern Connecticut and Rhode Island, will continue [...]

Tags: air, air mass, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, axis, Belmar, Bridgeport, canadian maritimes, cards, central Pennsylvania, Citi Field, cloud cover, clouds, coast, coastal virginia, coastal waters, confidence, Connecticut, continuation, convection, convective, Delaware, destabilization, Disturbance, doubts, downpours, early afternoon, east, eastern connecticut, eastern Pennsylvania, ecmwf, elevation, elevations, Energy, evenings, exact placement, exiting, Florida, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, gfs, guidance, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, high clouds, humidity, interaction, invisible wall, isentropic, Islip, Jets, level jet, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, low clouds, lows, Maine, Mets, Mexico, mid, mid level, misses, Model Guidance, models, moisture, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, Northeast, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, Rain, Reading, Scranton, Shear, showers, slides, south, southe, Southeast, Southwest, southwestern pennsylvania, suggestion, surfaces, Sussex, systems, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, thursday afternoon, tides, tornado, Tropical, tropics, Trough, troughs, valleys, Virginia, warm, weather, weather conditions, weeke, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Strong thunderstorms developing throughout the region

June 13th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

12:35 PM
As discussed this morning, as the sun broke through and destabilize the atmosphere, mesoscale boundaries have developed. These boundaries have produced slow moving and strong thunderstorms. These thunderstorms are producing producing very heavy rainfall over western Burlington County and Morris County in New Jersey and throughout eastern Pennsylvania. These thunderstorms are capable of producing [...]

Tags: air, air mass, Albany, Allentown, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, baseball game, Belmar, boston baseball, boundaries, Bridgeport, Burlington, Burlington County, Citi Field, coast, coastal waters, Connecticut, county, destabilization, discussion, doppler, eastern Pennsylvania, elevation, elevations, estimations, Freehold, frequent lightning, gusts, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, interaction, Islip, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, Maine, mesoscale, Mets, morris county, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, northern, observation, observations, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Rainfall, rainfall rates, Reading, Scranton, stable atmosphere, Storm, storms, strong wind, sun, Sussex, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, wind gusts, Yankee Stadium, Yankees, Yankees baseball. Technical Discussions Closed

Showers remain a threat as humid conditions dominant

June 13th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

10:10 AM
The type of pattern the forecast area is being influenced by is at times difficult to forecast for in terms of timing showers and thunderstorms as there are several factors that mixing the atmosphere. For one, take a look at the latest visible satellite image.
The stationary front over the southern Mid Atlantic, is [...]

Tags: air, air mass, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, Belmar, boundaries, Bridgeport, Citi Field, clouds, coast, coastal waters, cold, cold air, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, destabilization, dew points, Disturbance, dominance, dominants, easterly winds, england, focal point, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, Great Lakes, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, humid conditions, humidity, Islip, isolated thunderstorms, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, marine bases, mesoscale, metros, Mets, mid, Mid Atlantic, moisture, New England, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, northern, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, reloading, Ridge, risk, satellite, Scranton, several factors, showers, slides, south, Southwest, stationary front, substancial, sun, surfaces, Sussex, systems, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, travelers, Trough, troughs, valleys, visibility, visible satellite image, warm, weather, weather pattern, weeke, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter, Yankee Stadium, Yankees, yesterday afternoon. Technical Discussions Closed

Update on showers and thunderstorms

June 12th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

4:09 PM
The majority of the showers and thunderstorms that have formed this afternoon are the direct result of the sun being allowed to warm and destabilize the lower boundary layers of the atmosphere. Showers and thunderstorms will continue to intensify and rotate northwest to southeast through the forecast area. However, as the evening progresses and [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, Belmar, boundaries, boundary layers, Bridgeport, Bronx, Citi Field, coastal waters, Connecticut, continuation, destabilization, Disturbance, evenings, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, game, game conditions, games, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, Islip, layers of the atmosphere, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, Mets, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, Northwest, northwester, overcast, overcast conditions, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Reading, Scranton, severe weather, showers, Southeast, sun, Sussex, Tennessee, Tennessee Valley, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, updates, valleys, warm, weather, weather conditions, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Atmosphere destabilizing once again

June 12th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

1:33 PM
As the cold front stalls over the New Jersey coast this afternoon, some of the low clouds have broken and has allowed the sun to break through. As a result, the atmosphere is warming and becoming unstable. With the frontal boundary remaining an area of focused low level lifting, this means the development of [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, Belmar, boundaries, Bridgeport, Bronx, Citi Field, clouds, coast, coastal waters, cold, Connecticut, continuation, destabilization, evenings, ey, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, frontal boundary, game, games, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, Islip, jersey coast, lifting, lightning, locals, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, low clouds, lows, Mets, mid, mid level, moisture, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, scattered showers, Scranton, Shear, showers, southern New Jersey, sun, Sussex, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, warm, weather, weather conditions, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, wind shear, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Another cool, raw day for this summer

June 11th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:34 AM
The theme for this summer, raw and cool, looks to continue as once again the forecast area is positioned north of a stationary front this morning. The forecast area is clearly under the influence of a marine air mass as an easterly wind fostered by high pressure over Maine and a stationary front over [...]

Tags: air, air mass, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, Belmar, boundaries, Bridgeport, Citi Field, coastal waters, cold, cold air, cold front, Connecticut, continuation, cool air, destabilization, Disturbance, dominance, dominants, downpours, easterly wind, england, enhancement, evenings, exiting, foggy conditions, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, friday afternoon, front, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, isentropic, Islip, jet stream, Jets, level jet, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, Maine, Mets, mid, moisture, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, north, northe, Ohio, overcast, overcast conditions, overcast skies, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, quebec, Rainfall, Reading, respects, risk, scattered showers, Scranton, sev, showers, south, stationary front, Summer, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, valleys, Virginia, warm, waves, western pennsylvania, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Stationary front to keep dreary conditions through Friday

June 10th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:13 AM
While much of eastern Pennsylvania was impacted by strong to severe thunderstorms yesterday, much of the coastal plain was under the influence of a cool marine air mass, which produced generally overcast skies and showery conditions. The strong to severe thunderstorms over Pennsylvania produce large hail, frequent light, and flash flooding. I do not [...]

Tags: air, air mass, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, Belmar, Bridgeport, canada, central hudson, Citi Field, coast, coastal plain, coastal waters, cold, cold front, Connecticut, continuation, convergence, cool marine, cool side, destabilization, Disturbance, drifts, east, eastern Pennsylvania, evening temperatures, evenings, exiting, extent, Fall, flood, flooding, floods, foggy conditions, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, humid air, humidity, Islip, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, map, maps, marine influence, Mets, mid, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, north, northe, Ocean, Ohio, overcast, overcast skies, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, plains, plymouth state, Poughkeepsie, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, Ridge, Rockies, Scranton, severe thunderstorms, showers, slides, south, Southeast, southern pennsylvania, specifics, state weather, stationary front, suggestion, Summer, surface wind vectors, surfaces, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, Trough, troughs, valleys, warm, waves, weather, weeke, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Evening thoughts- severe weather overview

June 9th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:46 PM
This morning I was preparing for an active afternoon of severe weather for the Delaware River Valley and eastern Pennsylvania with the potential for strong thunderstorms for the rest of the region. While thunderstorms did organize and push towards severe levels over much of eastern Pennsylvania, the thunderstorms weakened as they moved towards New [...]

Tags: afternoon highs, afternoon hours, air, air mass, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, Belmar, Bridgeport, Citi Field, clouds, coastal plain, coastal waters, cold, cold front, Connecticut, continuation, Delaware, delaware river valley, destabilization, discussion, east, eastern Pennsylvania, eastern virginia, evenings, exiting, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, Great Lakes, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, Islip, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, low clouds, lows, Maryland, Mets, mid, morning discussions, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, north, northe, northern, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, pressure ridges, Rainfall, Reading, Ridge, Scranton, severe thunderstorms, severe weather, showers, similarity, south, Storm, storms, stubburn, surfaces, Sussex, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, twitter, updates, valleys, Virginia, warm, weather, wednesday night, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed