Digs | NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Mild and stormy pattern begins to take hold

March 25th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:53 AM
The cool and quiet regime will officially come to an end in this period. A series of disturbances will begin to carve a trough that at first centered over the Tennessee Valley and end up over the Southwestern United States by early next week. A strong low pressure system and slow, moisture loaded cold [...]

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The Atlantic block falls, pattern changes again

March 23rd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:16 AM
The Atlantic block that sent a cold front through the forecast area yesterday and will support strong high pressure the next several days will begin to collapse and move eastward into the north-central Atlantic by the end of this week. The cold front that will stall over the southern Mid Atlantic and Ohio Valley [...]

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Warm And Wet Conditions Return

March 3rd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:01 AM
The pattern will significantly change once again heading towards the end of the week. The trough over the East will give way to a building ridge that develops over the southern Plains and expands eastward towards the Southeast. Meanwhile, a trough will dig into the West and begin to send disturbances towards the Great [...]

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A Look At March

March 2nd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

4:51 PM
The month of March is usually a month of transition from winter to spring. It’s the month of college basket ball dreams. Where everyones baseball team is in first place and anything is possible. It’s also a month where one week 12 inches can fall on the ground and the next, temperatures are in [...]

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Winter Returns, But Does A Storm Follow?

February 23rd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:05 AM
There is strong agreement in the model guidance that a very strong Arctic cold front will plow through the forecast area on Friday with heavy rain and rapidly falling temperatures on Friday evening. The cold air behind this cold front is rather impressive for late February and early March, and I think the MOS [...]

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Models Come Into Better Agreement This Morning On No Storm This Weekend

February 18th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:20 AM
Last night I discussed the fact that the 12Z ECWMF from yesterday was not a solution to be trusted given the overall state of the current atmospheric set up. There was some confusion by some about what I was saying. So let me be very detailed here.
1. Just because there is an upper low [...]

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Pattern Changes Begin As Area Digs Out From Storm

February 4th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:31 AM
I would call yesterday’s storm, the storm that over performed. I was very surprised to see that Philadelphia received up to 8 inches of snow according to the latest snowfall update, which is double the amount that anyone has seen so far this year from other storms. Meanwhile, in Monmouth County around 6 inches [...]

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Forecast Coming Together For Sunday Storm

January 16th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:48 AM
I am starting to get a pretty good grasp on what to expect for Sunday, but before I dive into that, we must deal with the biting cold that is over the forecast area right now.
Today through tomorrow, strong high pressure will be over the forecast area, which is a blessing in disguise. Yes, [...]

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Thoughts For Sunday Night

January 14th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:10 PM
As I was alluding to this morning, model guidance is wavering on how to handle the intensifying trough and the large strong disturbance that will be diving towards the Mid Atlantic on Sunday and exploding somewhere off the coast on Sunday night into Monday.
As a forecaster, I know that trying to nail down details [...]

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Arctic Cold Followed By Major Winter Storm On Sunday

January 14th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:45 AM
I wanted to make a post about the ideas I have on the potential storm on Sunday, however I saw some data on the model guidance coming in at 00Z and thought better to do some research first before posting. So off I went diving into the KU book for some additional guidance and [...]

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