Tag Archive for 'discussion' at NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

The Cold And Snow Will Not Go Away Through Next Week

January 9th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:30 AM
The Arctic Express is on the way, and this has nothing to do with Santa Claus, however for some it might seem like Christmas morning all over again.
The negative EPO is going to be doing a heck of a job driving arctic cold air into the eastern two-third of the nation through next week. [...]

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Significant Snow Finally On The Way?

January 8th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:37 AM
There is a growing agreement in the model guidance that a significant snowfall will impact much of the forecast area.
There’s a lot to discuss, but my ideas which I have presented have not changed overall, but I am able now to get in to some details on how this storm will develop on Saturday.
First, [...]

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Thoughts on Friday On The Way

January 7th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:39 PM
I just want to say, I got all your emails and yes I know about the GFS and ECMWF is showing on Saturday. See what I mean about not letting your guard down with this clipper? Anyway, I’m going to give my complete thoughts on this entire set up and the impressive cold (and [...]

Tags: clipper, cold, discussion, ecmwf, gfs, snow. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Pattern Will Continue Activity Through Next Week

January 6th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:41 AM
There is a lot more opportunities for winter weather over the next 10 to 15 days as a deep trough digs in the East and a ridge builds to northern Alaska over the next several days. The negative EPO is returning and the pattern over the Atlantic is best described as nuetral in terms of [...]

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Discussion on the 12Z Model Guidance

January 5th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

3:30 PM
The 12Z GFS and ECMWF are out and both do not show any type of storm for next Saturday, but just a simple yet moisture filled cold front passage. Why?
Well, it’s all at 500 MB that gives us the answer! In the 00Z guidance on Thursday night and Friday, a southern branch disturbance phases [...]

Tags: 12z gfs, area, branch energy, coast, cold, digs, discussion, Disturbance, dominance, east, East Coast, ecmwf, Energy, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, front, gfs, Great Lakes, guess, guidance, high, high resolution, insane idea, insanity, interaction, low, lows, Model Guidance, models, moderate snow, moderation, moisture, New England, north, Ohio, resolution data, s, snow, snowfall, south, Southwest, Storm, storm track, storms, surfaces, thursday night, Trough, ups, weeke, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Active Winter Weather To Continue

January 5th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:58 AM
The pattern will continue to amplify towards the end of the week and into the weekend. I want to touch on some points about the overall pattern first before discussion the forecast.
There is some discussion that the pattern appears to be like a return to mid December with a raging postive NAO. This is [...]

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Threat Discussion For Tuesday Night And Wednesday Morning

January 4th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:30 PM
Tonight I want to focus on the increasing threat for heavy rain and significant icing for the forecast area.
As seen on the map above, the majority of the forecast area will have mostly rain to contend with by the Wednesday morning rush hour. A total of 1 to 2 inches of heavy rain will [...]

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Rain And Ice Setting Up For Tuesday And Wednesday

January 4th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

10:12 AM
There has been a lot of discussion of what to expect for the storm on Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning. At first, there was a lot of indications that this may have the chance of being a wide spread snow event, however the overall pattern structure still does not support that outcome, yet.
What we [...]

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Quiet Start To Weekend Followed By Active Stretch

January 3rd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:50 AM
High pressure is currently in control over the forecast area leading to clear skies over much of the region with cold temperatures in place. High pressure will slide to the north and east of the forecast area through the day, giving way to a weakening area of low pressure for tomorrow.
As discussed before, the [...]

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Active And Blocking Pattern Ready To Rock Start Of 2009

December 31st, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

8:07 AM
There are some interesting themes that are coming from the medium range guidance over the past few runs that need to be addressed as we move into the first full week of January, 2009.
The first theme that the model generally agree on is that the block over Greenland will significantly intensify to build down [...]

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