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Wet rush hour marks the start of soaked weekend

March 12th, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

3:50 PM
The rain is here and it is not going to be stopping any time soon through this weekend, which will be a perfect time to catch up on some movies, a good book, or perhaps finally conquer a very difficult video game. What ever you do this weekend, it likely will not be done [...]

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Blizzard conditions expected from Philadelphia through New York City

February 9th, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

8:22 AM
A significant winter storm is beginning to develop over the Gulf Coast that will bring the entire forecast area heavy snowfall and very strong winds. The most significant impacts will be focused towards the coastal plain once again, where many locations have experienced one of the snowiest winters of all time. This storm will [...]

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Coastal storm reaches peak impact today

November 13th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:45 AM
A lot of interesting developments happened over night as a gravity wave appears to have impacted the southern Mid Atlantic, which caused the rain shield to unexpectedly collapse overnight. However, another round of rain has finally started to move back into the coast from southern Connecticut to south-central New Jersey. Despite the unexpected relatively dry [...]

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Coastal low to have lingering influence through the week

September 8th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

5:15 AM
This morning, a strong upper level disturbance continues to dig into the Tennessee Valley and Southeast while a strong upper low is forming over the Canadian Maritimes. These two features are combining to produce an atmospheric set up much like what is seen in late Fall or in the Winter. The development of the [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, ample moisture, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, Belmar, Bridgeport, canadian maritimes, Citi Field, coastal waters, confluence, Connecticut, divergence, eastern canada, forecast area, Freehold, Gulf of Mexico, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, Hudson Valley, Islip, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, Mets, mid level, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, northeastern Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, proper position, Reading, Scranton, source regions, southern virginia, st lawrence river, Sussex, Tennessee Valley, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, Tropical Pacific, upper level disturbance, upper level trough, virginia coast, water vapor, White Plains, Wild Wood, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Quiet now, action packed weekend unfolding

August 26th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

5:15 AM
Surface high pressure will continue to drift off the coast, which will lead to an established southwesterly wind over the forecast area. A weak disturbance at 500 MB, represented by an even weaker cold front at the surface, will move through the forecast area this evening with an isolated showers possible, but otherwise dry [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, Belmar, Bridgeport, Caribbean Islands, central Plains, choppy seas, Citi Field, clear skies, coastal waters, cold front, Connecticut, divergence, exceed 2, forecast area, Freehold, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, hurricane danny, Islip, key role, latent heat release, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, Mets, mid levels, Model Guidance, negative tilt, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Rainfall Amounts, Reading, Scranton, shortwave, southwesterly wind, Sussex, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, Tropical Disturbance, tropical system, upper level trough, White Plains, Wild Wood, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

An Active End To July

July 31st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:16 AM
This morning, showers and weak thunderstorms are already developing over northern New Jersey and the New York City metro due to increasing lifting and instability over the forecast area. Additional thunderstorms have already developed and intensified over northeastern and north central Pennsylvania ahead of a very slow moving and disorganized cold front.
This morning very [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, Belmar, Bridgeport, Citi Field, city metro, coastal waters, cold front, Connecticut, delaware river valley, dew points, divergence, forecast area, Freehold, Gulf of Mexico, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, Islip, jet streak, level jet, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, Mets, mid level, Model Guidance, moist air, morning showers, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, north central pennsylvania, northeastern Pennsylvania, peak winds, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, pva, quadrant, Reading, Scranton, Sussex, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, upper level disturbance, warm air mass, White Plains, Wild Wood, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

A very wet start to a Tuesday

July 21st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:03 AM
If you wake up and you are not sure if this is July or October, you aren’t alone. Model guidance appears to be behaving like it is late fall as well with some pour handling of the forecast thus far as most guidance does not handle the extent and coverage of the rainfall just [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, allentown pennsylvania, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, Belmar, Bridgeport, broken cloud, Citi Field, cloud cover, coastal waters, Connecticut, delaware river, divergence, eastern Pennsylvania, evening hours, forecast area, Freehold, frontal boundary, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, Islip, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, Mets, Mid Atlantic, Model Guidance, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, overcast, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, Rainfall Amounts, rapid drop, Reading, Scranton, scranton pennsylvania, southern delaware, Sussex, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, upper trough, water vapor image, western virginia, White Plains, Wild Wood, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Evening Thoughts

July 20th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:58 PM
An area of low pressure is starting to develop over the Georgia and South Carolina coast this evening and will quickly move up the coast overnight to bring the forecast area a period of moderate to heavy rainfall, especially right along the coast.
Note this evening’s water vapor image. I drew the latest 500 MB [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, Belmar, Bridgeport, burlingto, Citi Field, coastal waters, Connecticut, divergence, forecast area, Freehold, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, Islip, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, lows, mb height, Mets, mid levels, Model Guidance, Monmouth, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, nmm, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Rainfall Amounts, Reading, Scranton, southern connecticut, Southern New England, Sussex, Tennessee Valley, thunderstorms, tides, time note, time of year, tomorrow morning, tornado, troughs, upper level winds, virginia maryland, water vapor image, White Plains, Wild Wood, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Severe weather potentially explosive tomorrow afternoon

June 8th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:38 PM
A preview of the a potentially very active afternoon was seen this afternoon over much of southern Monmouth and Ocean counties of New Jersey this afternoon. A weak disturbance, a remnant from the MCS that impacted much of the Mid West early this morning, sparked off a cluster of showers and thunderstorms. These thunderstorms [...]

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Heavy rain today, beautiful conditions for the weekend

June 5th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:10 AM
Sometimes in life there are important trade offs that we must make. In terms of weather conditions, the forecast area will go through a very wet, raw Friday to get to two days of exceptional weather conditions this weekend.
This morning, an area of low pressure developing over central North Carolina. As the upper [...]

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