Tag Archive for 'east' at NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

The Cold And Snow Will Not Go Away Through Next Week

January 9th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:30 AM
The Arctic Express is on the way, and this has nothing to do with Santa Claus, however for some it might seem like Christmas morning all over again.
The negative EPO is going to be doing a heck of a job driving arctic cold air into the eastern two-third of the nation through next week. [...]

Tags: accumulation, air mass, alaska, Albany, arctic express, area, Atlantic, atmosphere, central Pennsylvania, christmas, christmas morning, clipper, coast, coastal waters, cold, cold arctic air, cold temperatures, Connecticut, continuation, crash, delmarva, discussion, Disturbance, dives, east, epo, evenings, Fall, forecast, forecaster, forecasters, guidance, heck, high, high water, job, light snow, low, lows, mid, mid range, moderation, New Jersey, New York, New York City, normal, normal temperatures, normals, north, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, precipitation, qpf, Rain, rain snow, Ridge, s, sink hole, snow, snow event, snow fall accumulation, snow mix, snowfall, systems, temperature, temperatures, Trough, troughs, valleys, water snow, weeke, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

This Pattern, More Than Meets The Eye

January 7th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:51 AM
Taking a look at the pattern via surface maps, the potential and interest in the pattern through this weekend into next week would best be described as boring, especially the GFS. However, if one was to look at 500 MB, they would come away with a totally different perspective on this pattern that is [...]

Tags: a, air express, amounts, area, Atlantic, atmosphere, blocking, clipper, clippers, coast, cold, cold air, cold conditions, CONUS, different perspective, Disturbance, dives, doors, doubts, east, ecmwf, Energy, epo, ey, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, game, games, gfs, greenland, guidance, interaction, lifting, low, lows, map, maps, mid, Mid Atlantic, Model Guidance, models, moderation, nao, north, Northeast, northeastern connecticut, nuetral, Philadelphia, pv, Rain, Ridge, s, shortwave, shortwaves, snowfall, snowfall amounts, south, south storm, storm track, storms, surface maps, surfaces, surprise, systems, Trough, ukmet, weeke, west, wills, Winter. Technical Discussions 1 Comment

Heavy Ice And Rain To Continue Through This Afternoon

January 7th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:27 AM
The forecast for the next three days is obviously going to be the most active in the next 24 hours.
Currently, a coastal low pressure system is developing off the New Jersey coast. Winds along the coast are beginning to turn to the northwest over southern New Jersey and northeast along Long Island, clearly indicating [...]

Tags: afternoon hours, amounts, area, boarder, cape may county, central hudson, coast, coastal plain, cold, Connecticut, continuation, county, delmarva, delmarva penninsula, Disturbance, dry slot, early afternoon, east, er, extremes, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, freezing rain, heaviest rainfall, Hudson Valley, ice, Long Island, low, lows, normal, normals, north, Northeast, northeastern Pennsylvania, Northwest, Ohio, Pennsylvania, plains, precipitation, Rain, Rainfall, showers, signs, snow, Storm, storms, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, transition, transitions, valleys, warm, western areas, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Good And Bad News This Morning

January 7th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:20 AM
I think I’ll start with the good news. The east wind has done its job as expected and has warmed the entire coastal plain above freezing including the major cities and surrounding suburbs. Heavy rain can be expected through the day as the best dynamics continue to be present over the forecast area. This [...]

Tags: bad news, cold, cold air, Connecticut, continuation, drought, east, east wind, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, freezing rain, heavy rain, Hudson Valley, ice, job, major cities, northeastern Pennsylvania, northern valley, Pennsylvania, plains, Rain, sleet, southern New Jersey, valley locations, valleys, warm, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

East Wind Beginning To Do Its Vodoo!

January 7th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

11:12 PM
The east wind we’ve been expecting is finally kicking in and allowing temperatures to rise quickly over much of southern and central New Jersey. For example, in my own back yard since the wind switch about 30 minutes ago, temperatures have jumped from 31 degrees to 33 degrees with a steady rise indicated. Similar [...]

Tags: 30 minutes, accumulation, Atlantic, back yard, Belmar, coast, Connecticut, east, east wind, eastern Pennsylvania, er, forecast, forecaster, forecasters, game, Hudson Valley, ice, low, lows, metros, moderate snow, moderation, Northwest, observation, observations, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, philadelphia metro, precipitation, Rain, s, sleet freezing rain, snow, Southeast, temperature, temperatures, Trenton, trenton new jersey, valleys, vodoo, warm, warming trend, wills, wrightstown. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Troubling Trends

January 6th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:40 PM
There are some indications that I’ve seen in the past hour that has me a bit worried about significant ice for central, western, and northern New Jersey and much of eastern Pennsylvania.
At this point, most model guidance had the low level cold air pushed out of central and southern New Jersey and warm air [...]

Tags: area, cad, circulation, cold, cold air, continuation, Delaware, delaware river, different story, Disturbance, dominance, dominants, east, east wind, eastern Pennsylvania, far south, Freehold, guidance, high, ice, low, lows, Maryland, metros, Model Guidance, models, Newark, north, northern maryland, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, philadelphia metro, Ridge, significant influence, signs, south, surface circulation, surfaces, Trenton, waa, warm, west, worries. Technical Discussions 1 Comment

Pattern Will Continue Activity Through Next Week

January 6th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:41 AM
There is a lot more opportunities for winter weather over the next 10 to 15 days as a deep trough digs in the East and a ridge builds to northern Alaska over the next several days. The negative EPO is returning and the pattern over the Atlantic is best described as nuetral in terms of [...]

Tags: alaska, Albany, Allentown, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, branch energy, Bridgrt, clipper, coast, Connecticut, continuation, deep trough, digs, discussion, Disturbance, east, ecmwf, Energy, energy moves, ensembles, epo, evenings, ey, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, gfs, guidance, Hartford, high, high potential, Hudson VallNew Jers, isentropic, Islip, lifting, Long Island, low, lows, mid, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, Model Guidance, models, moderate snow, moderation, nao, New York, New York City, Newark, north, northern alaska, northern stream, nuetral, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, Ridge, s, Scranton, seasonal trends, snow, snowfall, southern pennsylvania, Storm, storm track, storms, stream systems, Sussex, system moves, systems, Trenton, Trough, troughs, valleys, waves, weather, weeke, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter, winter weather. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Discussion on the 12Z Model Guidance

January 5th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

3:30 PM
The 12Z GFS and ECMWF are out and both do not show any type of storm for next Saturday, but just a simple yet moisture filled cold front passage. Why?
Well, it’s all at 500 MB that gives us the answer! In the 00Z guidance on Thursday night and Friday, a southern branch disturbance phases [...]

Tags: 12z gfs, area, branch energy, coast, cold, digs, discussion, Disturbance, dominance, east, East Coast, ecmwf, Energy, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, front, gfs, Great Lakes, guess, guidance, high, high resolution, insane idea, insanity, interaction, low, lows, Model Guidance, models, moderate snow, moderation, moisture, New England, north, Ohio, resolution data, s, snow, snowfall, south, Southwest, Storm, storm track, storms, surfaces, thursday night, Trough, ups, weeke, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Active Winter Weather To Continue

January 5th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:58 AM
The pattern will continue to amplify towards the end of the week and into the weekend. I want to touch on some points about the overall pattern first before discussion the forecast.
There is some discussion that the pattern appears to be like a return to mid December with a raging postive NAO. This is [...]

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Icy Conditions On The Way

January 5th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:21 AM
A very dangerous situation is developing for parts of the forecast area that can lead to some significant icing over parts of the interior by Wednesday morning. These types of forecast can be tricky to forecast because the line between a heavy rain and over 0.25″ of ice is like walking a tight rope [...]

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