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NY NJ PA WEATHER CONSULTING

March 16th, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

Did the last major storm catch you by surprise? Were you prepared for the wind and flooding? NY NJ PA WEATHER PREMIUM MEMBERS were prepared for this historic storm with warnings of the magnitude of this dangerous storm. Now is the time to gain an advantage and stay ahead of the storms for less than [...]

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High pressure gives way as rain is on the way

June 17th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:27 AM
The pleasant weather conditions from yesterday are about to come to an end. So is my confidence in model guidance, by the way. However, before I get to that, let’s take a look at the precipitation that is charging towards the forecast area.
High pressure currently centered over eastern Connecticut and Rhode Island, will continue [...]

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Another active pattern this week

June 7th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

10:32 AM
Weak high pressure is exiting off this coast through this afternoon while a very weak cold front is pushing south through New England and the eastern Great Lakes this morning. This cold front will be a key player through much of this coming weak, as I will explain shortly.
For today, expect clear skies and [...]

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Great Spring conditions lead to a stormy Wednesday Evening

March 31st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:49 AM
The one obvious observation that stands out on this morning’s IR satellite is that high pressure is in strong control over much of the Mid Atlantic and Northeast this morning. However, another low pressure system and cold front is slowly moving out of the Plains and moving towards the Great Lakes, which will bring [...]

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Showers on the move as a rainy day sets up for tomorrow

March 25th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:30 PM
An area of showers over western Pennsylvania and throughout much of the Tennessee Valley. The showers are supported by weak isentropic lifting associated with a warm front moving towards the Mid Atlantic.
Clouds will continue to increase over the forecast area, however the majority of the rainfall will hold off until later tomorrow morning [...]

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Rain Storm Becoming Likely As New Pattern Unfolds

February 26th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:09 AM
When patterns change, storm usually develop as a result of the energy released from the changing atmospheric pattern. However, some of the key features of the overall pattern this year, progressiveness, remains as an important detail when considering what to expect for Sunday and for the start of next week.
Before diving into how [...]

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Models Come Into Better Agreement This Morning On No Storm This Weekend

February 18th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:20 AM
Last night I discussed the fact that the 12Z ECWMF from yesterday was not a solution to be trusted given the overall state of the current atmospheric set up. There was some confusion by some about what I was saying. So let me be very detailed here.
1. Just because there is an upper low [...]

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Thoughts On 00Z NAM And GFS

February 1st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

11:25 PM
The 00Z NAM and GFS tonight are showing the potential for a major to history winter storm over the forecast area Monday night into Wednesday morning.
So what caused the change in the models? The introduction of the additional energy from the northern Pacific in the form of the jet streak that I discussed [...]

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Thoughts On Afternoon Data And The Storm For Tuesday Through Wednesday Night

January 25th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:26 PM
I don’t think anyone can argue that the model guidance has warmed. There has been little shift in the actual storm track, but the low pressure systems that impact the forecast area appear to have stronger WAA at the mid levels are the very least. There is a lot to consider here, but I [...]

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Time To Take A Stand In Uneven Sand

January 23rd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:46 AM
Sink or swim, I am going to take a stand of where I think this pattern and the set up from Sunday night through Thursday ends up. As you know, I’ve been taking a cue from the pattern similar to this set up from the PDII storm, stating that the set up is rather [...]

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