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Tag Archive for 'england'

A Very Icy Night Setting Up Away From The Coast

7:48 PM
Right now, if you are along the immediate coast, your snow and ice worries are all but over.  The strengthening warm air advection off the Atlantic supported by the developing 850 MB low over the Tennessee and Ohio Valley has warmed the majority of the atmosphere above freezing, thus producing all rain for coastal [...]

Icy Conditions On The Way

9:21 AM
A very dangerous situation is developing for parts of the forecast area that can lead to some significant icing over parts of the interior by Wednesday morning.  These types of forecast can be tricky to forecast because the line between a heavy rain and over 0.25″ of ice is like walking a tight rope [...]

The 12/31/08 Clipper Final Observations And Thoughts

11:42 AM
The following are officially snowfall observations from the National Weather Service:
DELAWARE
…NEW CASTLE COUNTY…
   RED LION                 T   100 PM 12/31
   WILMINGTON               T   100 PM 12/31   SNOW OBSERVER
NEW JERSEY
…BURLINGTON COUNTY…
   MOUNT HOLLY            0.2   110 PM 12/31   NWS OFFICE
…GLOUCESTER COUNTY…
   NATIONAL PARK            T   100 PM 12/31   SNOW OBSERVER
…MORRIS COUNTY…
   MARCELLA               1.4  1030 AM 12/31   SPOTTER REPORT
   HACKETTSTOWN [...]

Cold Start To The New Year

10:53 AM
This year is certainly starting off on a cold note as temperatures will remain well below normal today.  High pressure will continue to build into the forecast area, which will allow the pressure gradient to fall off and decrease the winds over the forecast area.  However, the highs today won’t go far with the [...]

Major Winter Storm On The Way For Friday

7:56 AM
This period of the forecast is growing increasingly interesting.  While I continue to stress that the forecasting of snow/mix/rain lines is still around 24 (preliminary) to 66 hours away, the basic ideas in the model guidance are coming together for a significant storm to impact the forecast area.  Let’s look at the general idea [...]

12Z Thoughts And The Friday Evening Winter Event

4:09 PM
I’m sure everyone has seen the latest 12Z guidance.  The GFS is having trouble with the upper level features and the ECMWF is beginning to strut it’s stuff in the type 3 to 7 day span of dominance of accuracy. 
Do I believe the ECMWF, well to an extent yes.  I don’t want to put [...]

Winter Returns, But Questions Remain

10:22 AM
The up coming forecast for the middle and end of this week is going to be very difficult.  The overall idea here on all model guidance is that the negative NAO block will be established while a series of clippers move through the forecast area.  One clipper intensifies, and produces a strong Miller B [...]

Warm Sunday Followed By Cold And Stormy Period

9:45 AM
In case anyone woke up this morning and was worried if they slept for the past three months, yes it is December 28th and yes it is near 60 degrees already.
Enjoy the warm conditions while you can because they are about to come to an abrupt end.  A strong cold front over the eastern [...]

The Road To Snow And Cold

8:24 AM
The pattern in this period will be evolving into a cold and very storm pattern.  In this post I will naturally explain the step down into what will make a lot of individuals in the I-95 corridor very happy, if you like snow at least.  Then I will touch upon my thoughts for the [...]

Another Blast Of Snow For The Interior

6:35 AM
The set up that will be developing tonight through tomorrow does not support a wide spread snow storm for the forecast area and certainly not for locations along the coast.  While almost the entire forecast area will see some snow, the snow will change over to rain along the coast.  Why?  
As I have [...]