Tag Archive for 'england' at NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

A Very Icy Night Setting Up Away From The Coast

January 6th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:48 PM
Right now, if you are along the immediate coast, your snow and ice worries are all but over. The strengthening warm air advection off the Atlantic supported by the developing 850 MB low over the Tennessee and Ohio Valley has warmed the majority of the atmosphere above freezing, thus producing all rain for coastal [...]

Tags: advection, area, Atlantic, atmosphere, cad, coast, coastal connecticut, cold, cold air, Connecticut, continuation, eastern Pennsylvania, england, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, freezing rain, high, Hudson Valley, ice, isentropic, lifting, Long Island, low, lows, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, New England, Northeast, Ohio, Pennsylvania, plains, precipitation, pva, Rain, s, sleet, snow, snow and ice, Southwest, temperature, temperatures, Tennessee, valleys, warm, warm air advection, wills, worries. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Icy Conditions On The Way

January 5th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:21 AM
A very dangerous situation is developing for parts of the forecast area that can lead to some significant icing over parts of the interior by Wednesday morning. These types of forecast can be tricky to forecast because the line between a heavy rain and over 0.25″ of ice is like walking a tight rope [...]

Tags: accumulation, Albany, Allentown, amounts, area, Atlantic City, Belmar, blair, breifly, bust, busts, cad, cloud cover, clouds, coast, cold, cold air mass, cold front, Connecticut, dangerous situation, east, eastern Pennsylvania, england, Fall, flood, flooding, floods, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, guidance, Hartford, heavy rain, high, Hudson Valley, ice, intensity, Islip, lifting, Long Island, low, lows, Maine, map, maps, meteorologist, Model Guidance, models, Mohawk Valley, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, north norther, Northeast, northern connecticut, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, Rain, rain event, risk, Scranton, sleet, slides, snow, snow ice, snowfall, snowfall totals, south, Storm, storms, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, tight rope, tights, transition, transitions, Trenton, tuesday night, valleys, visibility, wednesday morning, west, White Plains, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

The 12/31/08 Clipper Final Observations And Thoughts

January 1st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

11:42 AM
The following are officially snowfall observations from the National Weather Service:
DELAWARE
…NEW CASTLE COUNTY…
   RED LION                 T   100 PM 12/31
   WILMINGTON               T   100 PM 12/31   SNOW OBSERVER
NEW JERSEY
…BURLINGTON COUNTY…
   MOUNT HOLLY            0.2   110 PM 12/31   NWS OFFICE
…GLOUCESTER COUNTY…
   NATIONAL PARK            T   100 PM 12/31   SNOW OBSERVER
…MORRIS COUNTY…
   MARCELLA               1.4 1030 AM 12/31   SPOTTER REPORT
   HACKETTSTOWN [...]

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Cold Start To The New Year

January 1st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

10:53 AM
This year is certainly starting off on a cold note as temperatures will remain well below normal today. High pressure will continue to build into the forecast area, which will allow the pressure gradient to fall off and decrease the winds over the forecast area. However, the highs today won’t go far with the [...]

Tags: accumulation, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bradford, breifly, Bridgeport, cape may new jersey, clipper, coastal locations, cold, cold conditions, cold start, Connecticut, continuation, Disturbance, england, Fall, few days, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, Great Lakes, Hartford, high, Hudson Valley, Islip, Long Island, New England, New Jersey, new year, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, northern connecticut, Pennyslvania, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, pressure gradient, pva, s, Scranton, showers, snow, snow showers, snowfall, Sussex, temperature, temperatures, Trenton, valleys, White Plains, wild wood new jersey, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Major Winter Storm On The Way For Friday

December 29th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

7:56 AM
This period of the forecast is growing increasingly interesting. While I continue to stress that the forecasting of snow/mix/rain lines is still around 24 (preliminary) to 66 hours away, the basic ideas in the model guidance are coming together for a significant storm to impact the forecast area. Let’s look at the general idea [...]

Tags: accumulation, Albany, Allentown, amplification, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, blocking, Bridgeport, bust, busts, cad, clipper, coast, Coastal Storm, cold, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, crash, delmarva, delmarva peninsula, Disturbance, dives, east, Energy, england, evenings, ey, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, friday afternoon, friday morning, general idea, Great Lakes, greenland, guidance, Hartford, high, illustrations, intensity, Islip, Jets, Long Island, low, lows, maximums, metros, mid, Mid Atlantic, Milliville, Model Guidance, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, north, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, pva, Rain, s, saturday morning, Scranton, snow, snow mix, south, specifics, Storm, storms, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, time period, Trenton, valleys, Virginia, virginia coast, warm, warm temperatures, weather, weather conditions, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter. Technical Discussions 1 Comment

12Z Thoughts And The Friday Evening Winter Event

December 28th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

4:09 PM
I’m sure everyone has seen the latest 12Z guidance. The GFS is having trouble with the upper level features and the ECMWF is beginning to strut it’s stuff in the type 3 to 7 day span of dominance of accuracy.
Do I believe the ECMWF, well to an extent yes. I don’t want to put [...]

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Winter Returns, But Questions Remain

December 28th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

10:22 AM
The up coming forecast for the middle and end of this week is going to be very difficult. The overall idea here on all model guidance is that the negative NAO block will be established while a series of clippers move through the forecast area. One clipper intensifies, and produces a strong Miller B [...]

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Warm Sunday Followed By Cold And Stormy Period

December 28th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

9:45 AM
In case anyone woke up this morning and was worried if they slept for the past three months, yes it is December 28th and yes it is near 60 degrees already.
Enjoy the warm conditions while you can because they are about to come to an abrupt end. A strong cold front over the eastern [...]

Tags: advection, air mass, area, blocking, clear skies, clipper, cold, cold air, cold front, december 28th, england, extremes, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, front, high, low, low pressure system, lows, mid, mid hudson valley, monday night, nao, New England, New York City, night temperatures, normal, Ohio, periods, Philadelphia, philadelphia regions, s, scattered showers, showers, snow, snow showers, systems, temperature, temperatures, three months, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, valleys, warm, weeke, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

The Road To Snow And Cold

December 26th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

8:24 AM
The pattern in this period will be evolving into a cold and very storm pattern. In this post I will naturally explain the step down into what will make a lot of individuals in the I-95 corridor very happy, if you like snow at least. Then I will touch upon my thoughts for the [...]

Tags: Albany, alberta clipper, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, blocking, Bridgrt, canada, clipper, clippers, coast, cold, colder temperatures, collapse, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, Disturbance, doubts, england, ensembles, epo, evenings, excitement, explaination, fashion, favorable position, few days, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, friday afternoon, greenland, guidance, Hartford, high, Islip, Long Island, low, lows, mid, Mid Atlantic, Mississippi, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, pna, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, pva, Rain, rain and snow, Reading, Ridge, s, Scranton, shape, shortwave, showers, snow, snow showers, southeastern canada, Storm, storm pattern, storms, stratosphere, sunday morning, Sussex, temperature, temperatures, Tennessee, Trough, valleys, waves, wednesday night, weeke, west, what this means, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter, winter storm. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Another Blast Of Snow For The Interior

December 20th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

6:35 AM
The set up that will be developing tonight through tomorrow does not support a wide spread snow storm for the forecast area and certainly not for locations along the coast. While almost the entire forecast area will see some snow, the snow will change over to rain along the coast. Why?
As I have [...]

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