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Tag Archive for 'epo'

The Cold And Snow Will Not Go Away Through Next Week

7:30 AM
The Arctic Express is on the way, and this has nothing to do with Santa Claus, however for some it might seem like Christmas morning all over again.
The negative EPO is going to be doing a heck of a job driving arctic cold air into the eastern two-third of the nation through next week.  [...]

Arctic Express On The Way Along With More Snow Potential

7:49 AM
The theme going forward will likely crush the forecast for anyone going for a warm January.  The combination of a strong negative EPO and the postion of the upper low over eastern Canada will support a very cold air mass to dive into the eastern two-thirds of the nation. 
There can be no doubt that [...]

This Pattern, More Than Meets The Eye

7:51 AM
Taking a look at the pattern via surface maps, the potential and interest in the pattern through this weekend into next week would best be described as boring, especially the GFS.  However, if one was to look at 500 MB, they would come away with a totally different perspective on this pattern that is [...]

Pattern Will Continue Activity Through Next Week

7:41 AM
There is a lot more opportunities for winter weather over the next 10 to 15 days as a deep trough digs in the East and a ridge builds to northern Alaska over the next several days.  The negative EPO is returning and the pattern over the Atlantic is best described as nuetral in terms of [...]

Active Winter Weather To Continue

9:58 AM
The pattern will continue to amplify towards the end of the week and into the weekend.  I want to touch on some points about the overall pattern first before discussion the forecast.
There is some discussion that the pattern appears to be like a return to mid December with a raging postive NAO.  This is [...]

Growing Snow Threat For Next Weekend

10:30 AM
The pattern developing for the end of the week and into the weekend is one of a classic KU set up that we’ve seen before.  Now, before everyone goes nuts, I am not suggesting that a KU storm is on the way.  I can’t say that at for another 3 or 4 days.  What [...]

Active Pattern Unfolding

8:00 AM
I want to deal with a few issues before going into the forecast. 
First, the strong NAO is not a pattern that supports significant winter storms usually.  It is the change from one NAO state to another that tends to support large winter storms.  The best case scenario is a weak, negative NAO or a [...]

The January Outlook

7:40 PM
December has come and gone along with all the holiday cheer, it’s time to look to see what the rest of January holds for the forecast area.  Will the negative NAO be a major factor?  Will the Pacific get back into the game or will January be a warm and boring month?
The basic idea [...]

Tricky Forecast, To Snow Or Not To Snow

7:55 AM
Going into this period, I was hoping that model guidance would improve in sheilding some light on the events that will play out on Friday.  To some extent, the guidance has given me a better idea of what to expect here.  The general consencious is that the clipper to drive towards the Great Lakes [...]

The Road To Snow And Cold

8:24 AM
The pattern in this period will be evolving into a cold and very storm pattern.  In this post I will naturally explain the step down into what will make a lot of individuals in the I-95 corridor very happy, if you like snow at least.  Then I will touch upon my thoughts for the [...]