Tag Archive for 'epo' at NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

The Cold And Snow Will Not Go Away Through Next Week

January 9th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:30 AM
The Arctic Express is on the way, and this has nothing to do with Santa Claus, however for some it might seem like Christmas morning all over again.
The negative EPO is going to be doing a heck of a job driving arctic cold air into the eastern two-third of the nation through next week. [...]

Tags: accumulation, air mass, alaska, Albany, arctic express, area, Atlantic, atmosphere, central Pennsylvania, christmas, christmas morning, clipper, coast, coastal waters, cold, cold arctic air, cold temperatures, Connecticut, continuation, crash, delmarva, discussion, Disturbance, dives, east, epo, evenings, Fall, forecast, forecaster, forecasters, guidance, heck, high, high water, job, light snow, low, lows, mid, mid range, moderation, New Jersey, New York, New York City, normal, normal temperatures, normals, north, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, precipitation, qpf, Rain, rain snow, Ridge, s, sink hole, snow, snow event, snow fall accumulation, snow mix, snowfall, systems, temperature, temperatures, Trough, troughs, valleys, water snow, weeke, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Arctic Express On The Way Along With More Snow Potential

January 8th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:49 AM
The theme going forward will likely crush the forecast for anyone going for a warm January. The combination of a strong negative EPO and the postion of the upper low over eastern Canada will support a very cold air mass to dive into the eastern two-thirds of the nation.
There can be no doubt that [...]

Tags: alberta clippers, amplification, arctic express, area, Atlantic, atmosphere, branch energy, canada, clipper, clippers, coast, cold, cold air mass, cold arctic air, combinations, dives, doubts, eastern canada, Energy, epo, er, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, guidance, Gulf Coast, high, high potential, light snow, low, lows, medium range, metros, mid, Model Guidance, models, moisture, moisture in the atmosphere, no doubt, Philadelphia, postion, s, scream, screams, showers, significant snow, snow, snow event, snow showers, warm, weeke, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

This Pattern, More Than Meets The Eye

January 7th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:51 AM
Taking a look at the pattern via surface maps, the potential and interest in the pattern through this weekend into next week would best be described as boring, especially the GFS. However, if one was to look at 500 MB, they would come away with a totally different perspective on this pattern that is [...]

Tags: a, air express, amounts, area, Atlantic, atmosphere, blocking, clipper, clippers, coast, cold, cold air, cold conditions, CONUS, different perspective, Disturbance, dives, doors, doubts, east, ecmwf, Energy, epo, ey, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, game, games, gfs, greenland, guidance, interaction, lifting, low, lows, map, maps, mid, Mid Atlantic, Model Guidance, models, moderation, nao, north, Northeast, northeastern connecticut, nuetral, Philadelphia, pv, Rain, Ridge, s, shortwave, shortwaves, snowfall, snowfall amounts, south, south storm, storm track, storms, surface maps, surfaces, surprise, systems, Trough, ukmet, weeke, west, wills, Winter. Technical Discussions 1 Comment

Pattern Will Continue Activity Through Next Week

January 6th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:41 AM
There is a lot more opportunities for winter weather over the next 10 to 15 days as a deep trough digs in the East and a ridge builds to northern Alaska over the next several days. The negative EPO is returning and the pattern over the Atlantic is best described as nuetral in terms of [...]

Tags: alaska, Albany, Allentown, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, branch energy, Bridgrt, clipper, coast, Connecticut, continuation, deep trough, digs, discussion, Disturbance, east, ecmwf, Energy, energy moves, ensembles, epo, evenings, ey, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, gfs, guidance, Hartford, high, high potential, Hudson VallNew Jers, isentropic, Islip, lifting, Long Island, low, lows, mid, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, Model Guidance, models, moderate snow, moderation, nao, New York, New York City, Newark, north, northern alaska, northern stream, nuetral, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, Ridge, s, Scranton, seasonal trends, snow, snowfall, southern pennsylvania, Storm, storm track, storms, stream systems, Sussex, system moves, systems, Trenton, Trough, troughs, valleys, waves, weather, weeke, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter, winter weather. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Active Winter Weather To Continue

January 5th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:58 AM
The pattern will continue to amplify towards the end of the week and into the weekend. I want to touch on some points about the overall pattern first before discussion the forecast.
There is some discussion that the pattern appears to be like a return to mid December with a raging postive NAO. This is [...]

Tags: accumulation, advertisement, alaska, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atmosphere, Belmar, blocking, canada, clipper, clippers, coast, cold, cold air mass, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, discussion, Disturbance, dives, east, ecmwf, Energy, ensembles, epo, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, gfs, guidance, Hartford, high, ice, isentropic, Islip, lake effect snow, lifting, Long Island, low, low pressure system, lows, maximums, mid, Mid Atlantic, Mississippi, Model Guidance, models, moderation, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, northern canada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, Rain, Ridge, Scranton, showers, snow, snow showers, Southeast, southeastern canada, Storm, storm track, storms, Sussex, systems, Teleconnection, Teleconnections, temperature, temperatures, transition, transitions, Trenton, valleys, waves, weather, weeke, west, west coast, White Plains, wills, Winter, winter storms, yukon. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Growing Snow Threat For Next Weekend

January 4th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

10:30 AM
The pattern developing for the end of the week and into the weekend is one of a classic KU set up that we’ve seen before. Now, before everyone goes nuts, I am not suggesting that a KU storm is on the way. I can’t say that at for another 3 or 4 days. What [...]

Tags: alaska, Albany, Allentown, Atlantic City, Belmar, blocking, Bport, coast, cold, cold air mass, confluence, Connecticut, convergence, Energy, epo, evenings, Freehold, friday night, guidance, Hartfod, high, intensity, Islip, ku, Long Island, low, lows, Model Guidance, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, northern stream, nuts, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, pna, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, pva, quebec, Ridge, s, saturday evening, saturday night, Scranton, snow, Storm, storm track, storms, Sussex, transition, Trenton, Trough, ups, watches, weeke, west, west coast, White Plains, wills, Winter, winter storms. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Active Pattern Unfolding

January 3rd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:00 AM
I want to deal with a few issues before going into the forecast.
First, the strong NAO is not a pattern that supports significant winter storms usually. It is the change from one NAO state to another that tends to support large winter storms. The best case scenario is a weak, negative NAO or a [...]

Tags: accumulation, Albany, amplification, area, best case scenario, blocking, coast, cold, cold air, cold solution, confluence, Connecticut, continuation, driving rain, east, epo, evenings, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, gfs, guidance, high, Hudson Valley, ice, low, lows, meteorologist, mid, Model Guidance, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, north, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, pna, Poughkeepsi, Poughkeepsie, Rain, Ridge, s, short time, signature, sleet, snow, snow and ice, snow sleet, Storm, storms, surface features, surfaces, temperature, temperatures, transition, valleys, visa, waa, warm, wills, Winter, winter storm. Technical Discussions 1 Comment

The January Outlook

January 1st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:40 PM
December has come and gone along with all the holiday cheer, it’s time to look to see what the rest of January holds for the forecast area. Will the negative NAO be a major factor? Will the Pacific get back into the game or will January be a warm and boring month?
The basic idea [...]

Tags: alaska, Albany, Allentown, amplification, anomalies, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic sst, atmosphere, Belmar, blocking, Bridgrt, canada, clipper, clippers, coast, cold, Connecticut, continuation, digs, Disturbance, dominance, epo, extreme cold, extremes, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, game, games, guidance, Hartford, high, higher latitudes, Hudson Valley, ice, interaction, Islip, latitude, Long Island, low, lows, mid, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, North America, north pole, northern asia, Ohio, pacific waters, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, Rain, relaxation, Ridge, Rockies, Scranton, sea surface temperatures, signature, slides, snow, snowfall, Southeast, Southwest, sst, state of flux, Storm, storms, stratosphere, surfaces, Sussex, temperature, temperatures, Trenton, troposphere, tropospheric temperatures, Trough, troughs, upper atmosphere, valleys, warm, weeke, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter, winter events. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Tricky Forecast, To Snow Or Not To Snow

December 30th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

7:55 AM
Going into this period, I was hoping that model guidance would improve in sheilding some light on the events that will play out on Friday. To some extent, the guidance has given me a better idea of what to expect here. The general consencious is that the clipper to drive towards the Great Lakes [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, Belmar, blocking, boundary layer, Bridgrt, clipper, coast, Coastal Storm, cold, cold friday, Connecticut, delmarva, delmarva coast, delmarva peninsula, discussion, Disturbance, dives, dominance, east, eastern Long Island, ecmwf, Energy, energy transfers, epo, extent, ey, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, friday afternoon, friday evening, friday morning, Great Lakes, guidance, Hartford, initial boundary, initial position, intensity, Islip, Long Island, low, lows, mid, Milliville, mistake, Model Guidance, models, moderation, nao, New JersSussex, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, north, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, presence, pumps, pva, Rain, Ridge, s, Scranton, showers, sleet, snow, snow showers, snowfall, south, Storm, storms, surfaces, surprise, temperature, temperatures, Trenton, valleys, Virginia, weeke, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, windy. Technical Discussions Add a comment

The Road To Snow And Cold

December 26th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

8:24 AM
The pattern in this period will be evolving into a cold and very storm pattern. In this post I will naturally explain the step down into what will make a lot of individuals in the I-95 corridor very happy, if you like snow at least. Then I will touch upon my thoughts for the [...]

Tags: Albany, alberta clipper, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, blocking, Bridgrt, canada, clipper, clippers, coast, cold, colder temperatures, collapse, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, Disturbance, doubts, england, ensembles, epo, evenings, excitement, explaination, fashion, favorable position, few days, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, friday afternoon, greenland, guidance, Hartford, high, Islip, Long Island, low, lows, mid, Mid Atlantic, Mississippi, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, pna, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, pva, Rain, rain and snow, Reading, Ridge, s, Scranton, shape, shortwave, showers, snow, snow showers, southeastern canada, Storm, storm pattern, storms, stratosphere, sunday morning, Sussex, temperature, temperatures, Tennessee, Trough, valleys, waves, wednesday night, weeke, west, what this means, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter, winter storm. Technical Discussions Add a comment