NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Tranquil conditions continue, but rainy weekend on the way

7:30 AM
High pressure continues to remain just to the west of the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area, creating a light and dry northwesterly wind and clear skies.  The down sloping component of the northwesterly wind off the Appalachian Mountains will support warm temperatures once again with most locations in the 50’s to possibly [...]

Cold conditions remains as region digs out

7:20 AM
The entire northern Mid Atlantic is digging out of 6 to 24 inches of snow that feel over much of the region the past 24 hours as the blizzard that impacted the region exits into the Atlantic.
The water vapor satellite image this morning clearly shows the exiting intense area of low pressure moving into [...]

Blizzard conditions expected from Philadelphia through New York City

8:22 AM
A significant winter storm is beginning to develop over the Gulf Coast that will bring the entire forecast area heavy snowfall and very strong winds.  The most significant impacts will be focused towards the coastal plain once again, where many locations have experienced one of the snowiest winters of all time.  This storm will [...]

Cold front starts the decline

8:03 AM
The data this morning for all periods of this forecast is pretty interesting as a cold front will be moving through today, a significant rain storm will move through later in the week, and more uncertainty on how this pattern will unfold as the month unfolds.  Let’s deal with the here and now [...]

The step down begins

7:10 AM
This morning, the first step towards a cold and potentially very stormy pattern is unfolding.  A very strong coastal low continues to intensify off the New England coast this morning as a strong upper low intensifies over the Ohio Valley and Mid Atlantic.
I’ve been discussing for several weeks now that a major change in [...]

Cloudy and damp conditions dominate the day

8:16 AM
The day before Thanksgiving is always a very busy travel day throughout the United States and especially for the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan areas.  This year will be no different and the weather conditions over the next few days will have a major roll in traveling conditions.  Throughout this forecast, I leaned [...]

Pattern amplifies! Are snow flakes far behind?

9:30 AM
There is a lot of developments to talk about this morning that have really caught may attention so lets start talking!
A sub tropical disturbance is moving towards the Tennessee Valley this morning.  High pressure over the St. Lawrence Valley will keep the majority of the moisture well to the south today, however clouds will [...]

Wet and raw conditions expected for the New Jersey coast

5:00 AM
Over the past several days, I have discussed a great deal about the potential impacts that the remnants of Tropical Storm Ida will have on the northern Mid Atlantic.  It is now clear that the models in general have handled this pattern poorly.
A surface low will develop off the North Carolina coast this afternoon [...]

Rain holds off for most of Halloween

7:36 AM
Today I’m going to focus on the short and medium term forecasts and say the long term thoughts for tomorrow as the Winter forecast will be issued along with a live chat on the forecast in the evening.  Besides, all the kids want to know if they are going to get rained on while [...]

Evening Thoughts- The start of an active pattern

7:23 PM

A cold front continues to slowly move to the east this evening and is approaching the Ohio Valley.  Note that the majority of the showers and thunderstorms along this cold front are focused over the southern Mississippi Valley where the strongest PVA is found, namely at the base of this trough.  Given the current [...]