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Tag Archive for 'evenings'

Significant Snow Storm Expected For The Forecast Area

7:42 AM
I was really tempted to issue a Stage 3 Alert for locastions from Philadelphia through the New York City metro including central New Jersey and the southern Hudson Valley and Connecticut.  However, I think it would be wise to wait for 12Z guidance to confirm the trends and developments I am seeing this morning. 
My [...]

The Cold And Snow Will Not Go Away Through Next Week

7:30 AM
The Arctic Express is on the way, and this has nothing to do with Santa Claus, however for some it might seem like Christmas morning all over again.
The negative EPO is going to be doing a heck of a job driving arctic cold air into the eastern two-third of the nation through next week.  [...]

Significant Snow Finally On The Way?

7:37 AM
There is a growing agreement in the model guidance that a significant snowfall will impact much of the forecast area. 
There’s a lot to discuss, but my ideas which I have presented have not changed overall, but I am able now to get in to some details on how this storm will develop on Saturday. 
First, [...]

Thoughts For The Weekend And Beyond

8:41 PM
I can tell the excitement is building for Saturday based on the emails that have flooded my inbox this afternoon.  Yes, the model guidance, and I mean all model guidance, is picking up on the potential for the Alberta Clipper on Saturday. 
Before we get into the model guidance, let’s get back to the basics [...]

Freehold Icing Over

9:08 PM
I thought I add a personal observation here while I wait for more data to come in.
Currently in Freehold, New Jersey, I am sitting at 31 degrees.  The temperature has not moved up or down in the past three hours.  Roads, trees, even the grass is completely ice coverage with about 0.05″ of ice [...]

Updates On The Way

7:30 PM
Good evening everyone! 
First, I have to say I am really impressed with the observations come in.  Good job by everyone! 
The conditions outside in my next of the woods, Freehold, New Jersey; can best be described as VERY icy.  I know, I almost broke may leg trying to walk up the drive way! 
I’m going to [...]

Pattern Will Continue Activity Through Next Week

7:41 AM
There is a lot more opportunities for winter weather over the next 10 to 15 days as a deep trough digs in the East and a ridge builds to northern Alaska over the next several days.  The negative EPO is returning and the pattern over the Atlantic is best described as nuetral in terms of [...]

Colder Environment Setting Up Icy Weather For Interior

7:27 AM
The first observation I noticed throughout the forecast area was how dry the air was.  This is a big deal everyone for one simple reason.  Evaporational cooling. 
The precipitation seen over Delaware and Maryland will slowly push north today, as high pressure gives way over the next 8 to 12 hours.  Clouds will continue to [...]

Evening Thoughts For Tuesday Night And Wednesday

7:40 PM
At this time, my thoughts for the storm on Tuesday night through Wednesday have not changed.  However, I wanted to go over again how I think everything will evolving from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday afternoon.
Tuesday Morning:  On Tuesday morning, clouds will increase throughout the forecast area.  High pressure will be giving way to the [...]

Growing Snow Threat For Next Weekend

10:30 AM
The pattern developing for the end of the week and into the weekend is one of a classic KU set up that we’ve seen before.  Now, before everyone goes nuts, I am not suggesting that a KU storm is on the way.  I can’t say that at for another 3 or 4 days.  What [...]