Free weather forecast for New York, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania.
9:29 AM
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A lot of action is starting to unfold for the northern Mid Atlantic. As we all know, there is a snow threat for this weekend that has the potential to produce a significant snowfall for much of the northern Mid Atlantic. Then there is the threat influence of the MJO in phase 7 [...]
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9:11 AM
A light snow event is going to unfold on Friday morning, but the details remain uncertain as much depends on the evolution of mesoscale parameters. So this morning, I’m going to try to clear some of the fog and mist of this time period and discuss the potential that exits and why it [...]
7:33 AM
I wanted to take some time to address some medium range thoughts I have involving the evolution of the pattern for the start of November as I know that sometimes my writing of this time period can be misinterpreted out there on the weather boards and what not.
First, for those new to NY NJ [...]
9:05 PM
Fall is in the air, literally, as a strong Polar air mass builds into the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas this evening. I could smell the change in the air mass as the air just smelled cleaner, kind of that fleshly raked leaves type smell that I loved when I was a [...]
7:18 AM
Another disturbance is dropping south through the Hudson Valley, Connecticut, and Long Island Sound this morning with a round of heavy rain this morning. This disturbance will continue to drop south and east and will exit the forecast area over the next 2 to 3 hours, impacting much of Connecticut and Long Island rush hour [...]
6:42 AM
Through this week, the pattern will exhibit all the possible outcomes that the forecast area will see through this week all of which will be influenced by the position of the trough over the Great Lakes and the ridge over the western Atlantic through this period. Already this morning, we can see the evolution [...]
10:11 AM
One disturbance has already raced through the forecast area early this morning with a steady moderate rainfall throughout much of the region, however there is a lot more rain on the way over the next 24 to 36 hours that will bring much needed relief to the drought stricken Mid Atlantic. Unforunantly, this will [...]
7:34 AM
There is a lot of moisture pooling over the southern Mississippi Valley this morning along the stalled cold front that blew through last night. The good news is that the high pressure system over the western Great Lakes is strong enough to keep much of that moisture to the south of the forecast area [...]
7:05 AM
The model guidance in this period is in some disagreement on how to handle the upper level development of the pattern and therefore the surface features. I think the GFS is an outlier here and leaned more on the ECMWF with some tweaks here and there.
On Sunday afternoon, a disturbance in the southern [...]
6:17 AM
Next weeks’ temperatures will have a lot of twists and turns as the pattern continues to evolve. The battle between a developing strong Pacific jet stream and a developing strong NAO block will produce a wide variety of weather conditions next week and into the weekend.
On Monday, the cold front that moved through the [...]
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