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Tag Archive for 'few days'

Significant rain event on the way

4:19 PM
Clouds are already building over much of the northern Mid Atlantic this afternoon in response to the increasing moisture from the Atlantic as the high pressure system that has produced great weather conditions the past few days now exits into the Atlantic.  A weak mid level disturbance was able to use some of this [...]

Great weekend conditions return to northern Mid Atlantic!

7:27 AM
The return of weather that you can enjoy outside has returned and just in time for the weekend!  The gloomy conditions over the past few days have now exited well into the Atlantic as an area of low pressure continues to slowly exit towards Europe.
This morning, high pressure over the Ohio Valley is in [...]

Additional thoughts on this weekend

7:40 AM
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I really put the majority of my time in trying to figure out how to handle the evolution of the storm for this weekend, so I didn’t spend much time looking at long range drivers like the stratosphere and MJO progression, but rest assured that no changes have occurred to deviate from the [...]

Uncertainty grows for weekend forecast

7:00 AM
I would love to be able to say I know exactly what is going to transpire over the next five days and I am extremely confident in the forecast I am going to issue.  The problem is that I can’t say that and likely won’t be able to say that until Thursday night.  Over [...]

The cold pattern is coming! The question is when not if!

9:22 AM
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This morning I’m looking at an overwhelming amount of data pointing to a returning cold pattern that frankly, I’ve had a hard time piecing together exactly what I’m seeing and what it means for the northern Mid Atlantic and the East coast as a whole.  The implications of the developments at the stratospheric [...]

Eastern ridge return for next week, but for how long?

9:04 AM
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There can be no doubt that change is in the air as the Arctic Oscillation relaxes and the Sub Tropical jet stream gets some breathing room to flex its muscles now.  The result of which is a pattern that by next week leads to a ridge moving through the East and a deep [...]

Moderation ensues as a return to normal begins

7:23 AM
This morning we can see the makings of what will be a powerful storm for this weekend as a strong Sub Tropical Disturbance now enters the western Gulf Coast.  This storm will intensify and drive towards the Mid Atlantic coastal waters over the next few days.  However, as the Sub Tropical jet stream becomes [...]

Another cold morning, is snow far behind?

7:07 AM
The strong Polar disturbance that is more developed than guidance suggested a few days ago is an important clue and reminder for the forecast later this week.  For now, that disturbance represents another push of a Polar/Arctic air mass after Tuesday afternoon.  The key to the forecast over the next several days is the [...]

MJO moving as expected, what now?

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9:33 AM
The MJO has gone into the circle of death, which basically means the wave has fallen apart.  What does this mean for the pattern going forward?  Also, what do I expect for the storm next week?
– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 23°F;Humidity: 57%;Heat Index: 23°F;Wind Chill: 10°F;Pressure: 30.06 in.;

Pattern change or no pattern change, what is going on right now

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9:25 AM
There’s a lot to cover this morning.  My primary focus is going to be on the pattern relaxation and then amplification for the medium and long range, but I want to touch on the light snow event for tonight into tomorrow first.
– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 32°F;Humidity: 59%;Heat Index: 32°F;Wind Chill: 21°F;Pressure: 29.92 [...]



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