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Tag Archive for 'forecasters'

Premium Content Membership Preview: The 00Z ECMWF and the Sub Tropical Disturbance

This is a preview of the premium content I will be offering  in the near future.  Podcasts and videos will also follow along with live coverage of storm events.  More details to come, but in the meantime I hope everyone enjoys this discussion!
The ECMWF of late has trended to a solution that is far less [...]

Significant rain and wind event expected

7:37 AM
I’ve been commenting to some of my friends in the field and on some of the weather boards that the cool season (now through next March) is going to significantly challenge forecasters and those that model hug are going to be in trouble.  Is this storm situation a preview of what to expect this [...]

Tranquil conditions won’t last forever

5:15 AM
I think most would agree that the Labor Day weekend has been the best weather weekend of the summer, which is ironic since this weekend is the last of the “summer” weekends for those in the vacation business.  The air mass will be shift to a more humid pattern once again and with higher [...]

Pattern change promises a return of real summer conditions

7:15 Am
Summer-like conditions will return to the forecast area and will do so in a short period of time.  That means that humid air and temperatures in the 80’s and possibly 90’s will return to the forecast area.  When the hot summer conditions return, I’m willing to bet that the conditions will feel hotter and [...]

Boat and beach report for Monday, June 22 2009

6:40 AM
An area of low pressure over the Atlantic Ocean remains stalled and will continue to influence conditions over the coastal waters today.  Partly cloudy skies can be expected with a risk of widely scattered showers, especially in the late afternoon hours.  The showers and thunderstorms will be capable of brief heavy downpours and strong [...]

What has caused the heavy rainfall this month?

9:52 AM
June has seen some very impressive rainfall amounts with many locations well over an inch above normal.  Even some locations double the amount of normal rainfall.  While a continuous onslaught of showers and thunderstorms have impacted much of the Mid Atlantic, and specifically the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan areas, other locations have [...]

Father’s Day Forecast not as wet as advertised

10:00 AM
The visible satellite picture this morning shows us that once again, yet another weekend has been spoiled by wet, soggy conditions.  However, I do have some good news for this afternoon.  Note that over the Hudson Valley and over eastern Pennsylvania that the clouds have started to break up and some clouds are lifting [...]

Boat and beach report for Sunday, June 21 2009

9:23 AM
Low pressure east of Long Island and south of New England has stalled and will impact the forecast area over the next several days.  Variable cloud cover can be expect today through Tuesday.  Scattered showers will be rotating through the coastal waters through this afternoon as the low pressure system slowly drifts east.  Showers [...]

Heavy rain and severe weather a significant threat

7:30 AM
The forecast for today through tonight is best described as significantly complicated and potentially very active.  The main theme is basically the progression of the warm front currently over southwesterly Pennsylvania through eastern Virginia.  I want to start with the fact that the surface low pressure system is further north and weaker than forecasted [...]

Boat and beach report for Saturday, June 20 2009

6:38 AM
Clouds will continue to increase through the morning hours as a low pressure system and warm front approaches the coast.  Showers and thunderstorms will move through the coastal water late this morning through early in the evening.  The showers and thunderstorms will move quickly, however will be capable of very heavy downpours.  A few [...]



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