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Tag Archive for 'friday afternoon'

Enjoyable conditions coming to a rainy end

7:51 AM
High pressure is currently to the east of the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area producing light and variable winds and relatively warm temperatures.  Comfortable conditions are expect through tomorrow afternoon with highs pushing well into the 50’s for most locations for highs with the exception of the immediate coast where temperatures will [...]

Significant long duration winter storm expected starting tonight

8:40 AM
A major winter storm is starting to develop over the Gulf Coast that will have a lasting impact on the entire northern Mid Atlantic tonight through Friday evening.
This morning, the water vapor satellite picture shows two disturbances beginning to interact over the Tennessee Valley.  By this afternoon, these disturbances will form a powerful upper [...]

Brief 12Z NAM Thoughts

10:08 AM
The latest 12Z NAM is out and boy does it deliver a heck of a snow storm!
The basic idea of the 12Z NAM is to take the 500 MB low over the Tennessee Valley and basically park that upper low over the central New Jersey coastal waters and over Long Island on Thursday [...]

Evening Thoughts- Zeroing in on winter storm impacts

10:00 PM
My thoughts this evening on the storm for Friday night through Sunday morning has not changed much.  The overall development of the storm will depend on the development of the Polar Vortex and the interaction of the Arctic cold front with the Sub Tropical disturbance.
The initial set up for this storm on Friday afternoon [...]

Minor snow event tomorrow morning

7:22 AM
This morning, a strong Sub Tropical disturbance is driving out of the Mississippi Valley and moving towards the Tennessee Valley.  This disturbance will eventually reach the southern Mid Atlantic coast by tomorrow morning to bring portions of the Philadelphia metropolitan area a mix of snow, sleet, and rain.
Currently, the disturbance is pulling up moisture [...]

Cold this weekend, slight moderate next week

9:00 AM
A very cold air mass has returned to the northern Mid Atlantic this morning, providing another cold weekend for the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area.  The water vapor satellite image this morning shows that the Sub Tropical jet stream is starting to gain strength once again, suggesting more interesting times ahead.
Now, the [...]

Slight warmer today, but still cold

7:26 AM
Much like yesterday, this morning is starting out cold with temperatures through out the New York and Philadelphia metropolitan areas in the teens and twenties.  Thankfully, this morning the pressure gradient is much weaker with sustained winds around 5 to 15 mph rather than around 20 mph, so temperatures that are around 25 feel [...]

Cold conditions continue without much relief in sight

6:54 AM
It is rather clear this morning what feature has a dominant hold on the weather pattern for much of the Northeast, Great Lakes, and Mid Atlantic as a strong surface and upper low continue to sit over the Canadian Maritimes and a negative NAO pattern locks in.
The pressure gradient over the New York City [...]

Premium Content Preview: A swing and a miss… Maybe

9:47 PM
As of last night, the majority of model guidance started to take a decided jump towards a solution where much of the East coast with the exception of northern New England will miss out on what could have been an impressive snowfall.  So what are the models seeing and does the solution thus far [...]

Light snow likely with first impulse

9:26 PM
This evening, the movement of high pressure into the Atlantic highlights an environment not favorable for a significant snowfall over the northern Mid Atlantic.  Temperatures, although cold, are still hovering around freezing along the coast.  As the surface high pressure system slides to the east, winds will back to the south leading to a [...]



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