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Tag Archive for 'friday morning'

Enjoyable conditions coming to a rainy end

7:51 AM
High pressure is currently to the east of the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area producing light and variable winds and relatively warm temperatures.  Comfortable conditions are expect through tomorrow afternoon with highs pushing well into the 50’s for most locations for highs with the exception of the immediate coast where temperatures will [...]

More thoughts on Friday’s threat

8:05 AM
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Up to this point, I’ve looked at a wide range of guidance for the event on Friday.  This morning I will share my initial thoughts and where I think the best potential for a heavy snowfall is possible.
– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 33°F;Humidity: 86%;Heat Index: 33°F;Wind Chill: 27°F;Pressure: 29.94 in.;

Afternoon thoughts- the snow approaches

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2:40 PM
The strong Arctic disturbance is on the move this afternoon and is holding together rather well.  The latest radar images have light to moderate snow over much of the Ohio Valley this afternoon which is slowly progressing eastward towards western Pennsylvania.
My overall thoughts on this storm from the past few days have not [...]

Mesoscale breakdown for Friday morning

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9:11 AM
A light snow event is going to unfold on Friday morning, but the details remain uncertain as much depends on the evolution of mesoscale parameters.  So this morning, I’m going to try to clear some of the fog and mist of this time period and discuss the potential that exits and why it [...]

Flurries expected today, more organized snow on Friday

7:40 AM
A weak disturbance is moving through the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas this morning with a few scattered snow flurries.  No accumulation is expected, however the snow showers will likely put a nice touch to the cold conditions in place right now.  Let’s be honest, what’s the point of it being cold [...]

12Z Model guidance thoughts- storm or no storm?

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4:33 PM
Today, the overall model guidance for 12Z suggest that the potential storm for Friday will either not form at all or will take a track slightly too far east for a significant snowfall.  I am going to focus on the 120 HR of all the model guidance.  The images will be to the [...]

Pattern changes and turkey dinners

7:45 AM
A weak yet pesky low pressure system continues to move away from the New Jersey coast this morning, however the persistent northeast to easterly winds associated with the low is keeping overcast skies and damp conditions over much of the northern Mid Atlantic.
Scattered showers continue to move through much of eastern Pennsylvania and New [...]

Reign of high pressure at an end

7:37 AM
High pressure centered over New England this morning will continue to slowly give away ground as the day continues.  As high pressure slowly slides to the east, clouds will continue to increase from the south and west .  However, no precipitation is expected through the day.  Temperatures will rise to near normal levels in [...]

Significant coastal storm through Saturday

5:00 AM
Over the past several days, I have been tracking the approach of then hurricane Ida, which was entrained into a Sub Tropical disturbance and is now phasing with a Polar disturbance over the Mid Atlantic coast.  Model guidance has been wildly inconsistent in the forecasting of this storm, however the forecast at NY NJ [...]

Warm conditions continue as storm organizes to the west

6:53 AM
A storm is clearly developing over the southern Rockies this morning as moisture from a rapidly weakening Tropical Storm Rick becomes entrained into the strong upper low and deep trough over the Southwest.  Meanwhile, a ridge continue to build into the Mid Atlantic from the Gulf Coast and Southeast.
High pressure will continue to move [...]



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