General Idea | NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Tag Archive for 'general idea'

Evening Thoughts- Two storms for the price of one

October 13th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:05 PM
Fall is in the air, literally, as a strong Polar air mass builds into the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas this evening. I could smell the change in the air mass as the air just smelled cleaner, kind of that fleshly raked leaves type smell that I loved when I was a [...]

Tags: air mass, Albany, Allentown, Atlantic City, atlantic city weather, atlantic ocean, Belmar, Bridgeport, cape may nj weather, Citi Field, coastal waters, cold front, Connecticut, craigles nyc, current weather in new york, ecmwf, evolution, Freehold, general idea, gfs, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, images, Islip, jackson nj weather, jet stream, lightning, long beach island nj weather, Long Island, Long Island Sound, Long Island weather, low pressure systems, manhattan weather, marine weather nj, metropolitan areas, Mets, Mid Atlantic weather, Mississippi Valley, models, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, new jersey shore weather, New Jersey snowstorms, New Jersey Weather, New York, New York City, New York City Weather, New York snow storms, New York Weather, new york weather today, Newark, newark nj, newark nj weather, nj local weather, NJ Weather, nj weather 10 day forecast, nj weather forecast, nj weather radar map, nj weather report, northern Mid Atlantic, northern Mid Atlantic weather, ny weather 10 day, ny weather forecast, ny weather forecast 10 day, ny weather map, nyc weather map, ocean city, ocean city nj, pa weather alerts, pa weather forecast, pa weather map, pa weather radar, pa weather report, past new york weather reports, Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania weather, Philadelphia, philadelphia pa weather, Philadelphia Weather, Phillies, point pleasant nj, polar air, Poughkeepsie, princeton nj weather news 12 nj weather, Reading, Scranton, scranton pa weather, seaside nj weather, snow, snow storms, southeastern Pennsylvania, storm impact, strong, Sussex, temperatures, thermal gradient, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, trenton nj weather forecast, upper level trough, water vapor satellite, weather and nyc, weather doylestown pa, weather easton pa, weather edison nj, weather for nyc, weather for pa, weather forecast pa, weather in new york, weather in nj, weather in nj today, weather in ny, weather in nyc, weather in nyc today, weather in pa, weather indiana pa, weather map, weather montclair nj, weather new brunswick nj, weather new york, weather new york city, weather newark nj, weather nyc, weather nyc forecast, weather nyc ny, weather ocean city nj, weather of nj, weather of nyc, weather princeton nj, weather scranton pa, weather union nj, weather wayne nj, White Plains, widlwood nj, Wild Wood, wild wood nj weather, Winter, winter 2009, winter forecast, winter predictions, winter weather 2009, winter weather advisory, winter weather forecast, winter weather predictions, yahoo weather nyc, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

The broken record continues

August 3rd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

5:15 AM
The upper level trough over the eastern half of Canada continues to act like a pendulum swinging back and forth through the Great Lakes and Northeast. After another strong cold front yesterday afternoon, the pendulum is swinging back to the west, which will give a break to the forecast area from stormy conditions.
Through early [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, Belmar, Bridgeport, brunt, Citi Field, coastal waters, Connecticut, forecast area, Freehold, fron, general idea, Great Lakes, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, Islip, isolated thunderstorms, jet stream, level jet, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, Mets, mid level, mid morning, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, pendulum, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Reading, scattered clouds, Scranton, short wave, stationary front, stormy conditions, Sussex, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, upper level trough, wave trough, wednesday afternoon, western edge, White Plains, Wild Wood, Yankee Stadium, Yankees, yesterday afternoon. Technical Discussions Closed

A Miss And A Hit

February 12th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:04 AM
The evolution of this pattern is becoming more interesting by the day. As I discussed a few days ago, the pattern over the next 10 to 15 days will be dominated by a negative EPO/negative NAO pattern in the northern branch, while a strong upper low off the West coast will send disturbances through [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bridgrt, clear skies, coast, cold, Connecticut, convergence, Delaware, discussion, Disturbance, dominance, dominants, ecmwf, ensembles, epo, evenings, evolution, few days, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, friday morning, general idea, gfs, guidance, Hartford, high, intensity, Islip, Long Island, low, lows, metros, mid, Mid Atlantic, Model Guidance, models, moderation, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, north, Northeast, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, philadelphia metro, plains, Poughkeepsie, Reading, Ridge, Scranton, showers, significant snow, snow, snow event, snow showers, snowfall, south, south storm, southern portions, Southwest, storms, surfaces, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, valleys, wednesday evening, wednesday morning, wednesday night, west, west coast, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Closed

Winter Returns With A Fast And Active Pattern

February 11th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:21 AM
If you want to know why the models are having a difficult time with the up coming pattern, just take a look at the water vapor satellite images. There is a train of disturbances on the way that is going to make this forecast a lot more complicated.
The overall theme has not changed [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, axis, Belmar, Bport, clouds, coast, cold, Connecticut, CONUS, depiction, Disturbance, east, ecmwf, ensembles, evenings, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, general idea, gfs, guidance, Hartford, high, Hudson Valley, Islip, light rain, light snow, Long Island, low, lows, map, maps, mid, Mid Atlantic, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, models, moderate snow, moderation, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, north, northeastern Pennsylvania, opinions, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, Rain, rain snow, Reading, Ridge, satellite, satellite images, saturday night, Scranton, short wave, similarity, snow, snow event, snow mix, south, Storm, storms, sunday morning, Sussex, temperature, temperatures, train, Trough, troughs, valleys, water vapor satellite, waves, weeke, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter. Technical Discussions Closed

Another Tough Forecast On The Way

January 26th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:30 AM
You know, I would love to forecast an all snow event at some point. Just look at the QPF, multiply by 10 or 12, then here’s the snow map. Oh no, not this winter. haha
Model guidance is still all over the place on exactly how this storm will play out for the forecast area, [...]

Tags: accumulation, Albany, Allentown, amounts, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, band, Belmar, Bport, bust, busts, city metro, coast, cold, cold air, Connecticut, daa, Delaware, discussion, Disturbance, dominance, dominants, east, evenings, extremes, ey, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, general idea, gfs, Great Lakes, guidance, Hartford, high, ice, intensity, isentropic, Islip, Kentucky, lifting, Long Island, low, lows, Maine, map, maps, metros, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, mlf, Model Guidance, models, moisture, New Jers Newark, New York, New York City, north, Northeast, Ocean, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, qpf, qpf amounts, Rain, Reading, Ridge, s, Scranton, showers, signals, signature, similarity, sleet, snow, snow event, snow maps, south, Southwest, sref, Storm, storm track, storms, suggestion, surfaces, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, updates, valleys, Virginia, waa, warm, watches, wednesday morning, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter. Technical Discussions 6 Comments

Non-American Models Hinting At Potential For Sunday Night

January 13th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:41 AM
If you only look at the GFS and it’s ensemble guidance for Sunday night and Monday morning, you might think that I either had a very bad typo in my headlines this morning or I am pulling a storm out of the air like a magician.
However, there is growing support via the UKMET, ECMWF, [...]

Tags: air mass, american models, arctic air, Atlantic, coast, cold, cold front, cyclogenesis, Disturbance, dives, ecmwf, ensembles, epo, ey, front, general idea, gfs, guidance, Gulf Stream, intensification, low, lows, magician, mid, Mid Atlantic, models, monday morning, neutral state, periods, relaxation, snowfall, Storm, storms, sunday afternoon, sunday evening, transition, transitions, typo, ukmet, weeke, wills, Winter, winter storms. Technical Discussions Closed

Major Winter Storm On The Way For Friday

December 29th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

7:56 AM
This period of the forecast is growing increasingly interesting. While I continue to stress that the forecasting of snow/mix/rain lines is still around 24 (preliminary) to 66 hours away, the basic ideas in the model guidance are coming together for a significant storm to impact the forecast area. Let’s look at the general idea [...]

Tags: accumulation, Albany, Allentown, amplification, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, blocking, Bridgeport, bust, busts, cad, clipper, coast, Coastal Storm, cold, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, crash, delmarva, delmarva peninsula, Disturbance, dives, east, Energy, england, evenings, ey, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, friday afternoon, friday morning, general idea, Great Lakes, greenland, guidance, Hartford, high, illustrations, intensity, Islip, Jets, Long Island, low, lows, maximums, metros, mid, Mid Atlantic, Milliville, Model Guidance, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, north, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, pva, Rain, s, saturday morning, Scranton, snow, snow mix, south, specifics, Storm, storms, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, time period, Trenton, valleys, Virginia, virginia coast, warm, warm temperatures, weather, weather conditions, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter. Technical Discussions 1 Comment

Thoughts For Next Week

December 6th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

While I am breaking down the current radar and satellite images, I think it is a good time to discuss the latest guidance with the set up for next week.
First and foremost, it is NOT wise to try to figure out the rain/snow line positions of any storm 4 or 5 days out. You can [...]

Tags: alaska, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bport, cad, canada, central canada, coast, coastal plain, cold, Connecticut, continuation, data resolution, discussion, Disturbance, east, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, general idea, gfs, Great Lakes, guidance, Hartford, high, Islip, jet stream, Jets, line positions, Long Island, mid, Mid Atlantic, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north plains, pacific northwest, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, radar, Rain, rain snow, Reading, Ridge, risk, satellite, satellite images, Scranton, signals, sleet, snow, snow dance, snow line, snow sleet, south, Storm, storms, stream pattern, Sussex, systems, Trough, troughs, warm, warm sector, west, western alaska, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter, winter lovers. Technical Discussions Closed