Free weather forecast for New York, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania.
7:22 AM
Can you find where Tropical Storm Ida ends and the mid level disturbance begins? If you can’t, don’t worry, your not alone. The mid level disturbance last night completely captured Tropical Storm Ida, which is rapidly weakening with winds down to 50 mph. Ida is currently centered just off the Mississippi coast moving north [...]
4:03 PM
Ida has weakened significantly this morning and is now a strong tropical storm approaching the Mississippi/Alabama coast line. The influence of the mid level disturbance to the west is apparent as strong southwesterly shear is tearing apart Ida and quickly weakening the tropical warm core mechanism of the storm.
The model guidance this afternoon has [...]
7:35 AM
Another round of model guidance and another host of solutions to consider. To say the model guidance throughout the life of Ida and the disturbances over the Plains were not very consistent would be an understatement. However, I have a sneaking suspicion that this will not be the first time we’ll be discussing the [...]
9:24 AM
I’ve been studying the pattern and the clues that we are seeing now to get a handle on what to expect for the rest of October and there are some very interesting features that are developing this morning. So let’s dive right into it!
First this morning I went to go check out the developments [...]
1:30 PM
I want to start this post by saying that what I am about to write is a theory, an unproven theory at that, which has been rattling around in my brian for the past several days.
As we all know, the Tropical Atlantic season has been less than stellar with very few tropical systems impacting [...]
8:30 PM
An area of showers over western Pennsylvania and throughout much of the Tennessee Valley. The showers are supported by weak isentropic lifting associated with a warm front moving towards the Mid Atlantic.
Clouds will continue to increase over the forecast area, however the majority of the rainfall will hold off until later tomorrow morning [...]
Hurricane Paloma has intensified over the past several hours into a strong category 4 hurricane, which will cause havoc for much of Cuba in the coming 24 hours. As we move through the weekend, Hurricane Paloma will weaken into a tropical storm and continue to move into the central Atlantic under the influences of a [...]
The local forecast discussion is updated.
While high pressure will bring clear skies to the area through the next three days, a developing low pressure system off the East coast will produce a strong pressure gradient that will lead to windy conditions. Overall though, this is going to be one of those great fall weekends.
The following [...]
Tropical Storm Omar is quickly racing off towards the northeast and into the central Atlantic this morning. As I was examining the water vapor images and thinking about the future of Omar, I was wondering what type of extratropical influence will Omar have in the next 5 days.
We know that a storm will be [...]
The main discussions for individual tropical systems like TD 15 and TD Nana can be found on the tropical weather page.
It is interesting to see how a lot of these tropical systems are tracking into the central Atlantic over the next several days. The transfer of latent heat energy from the Tropics towards the central [...]
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