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Tag Archive for 'heavy rain'

Very Wet Day Expected, Cold Change On The Way

The forecast area is in store for a very wet Saturday.  The second disturbance associated with this large long wave trough is currently moving through the forecast area with moderate to heavy rain from eastern North Carolina to the Hudson Valley.  This rainfall is not making much progression to the east and rain will continue [...]

Very Heavy Rains On The Way

This week is certainly going to end on the very wet side as a storm gets it’s act together over the eastern third of the nation through Saturday morning.
I’m going to jump right to Thursday afternoon.  The most interesting aspect of this period is the small yet intense southern branch disturbance that moves from the [...]

Stormy End Of The Week Expected

All of the indications are showing up for the upper level pattern to become increasingly amplified with a defined and deep trough in the East that will lead to a very stormy end of the week.  
As the southern and northern branch both amplify towards Thursday, a low pressure system will track towards the Ohio [...]

Major Changes On The Way

Get ready to say good bye to the ridge in the East or at least the sustained ridge in the East. 
A strong cold front supported by a strengthening upper level low and deepening trough will drive through the forecast area on Saturday afternoon.  There is a significant potential for strong to severe thunderstorms with this [...]

Today’s Technical Forecast Discussion

10/24/08  7:58 AM
TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY:
A lot of moisture is surging out of the Gulf of Mexico this morning and through the Southeast as the strong upper low over the Plains begins to interact with the northern branch of the Polar Jet Stream.
Clouds will increase through today as moisture from the upper and mid levels begin [...]

Today’s Technical Forecast Discussion

10/23/08  7:54 AM
TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY:
A strong ridge is in place over the forecast area, which will continue to produce  clear skies and rather cool temperatures over the next 24 hours.  However, the upper level pattern remains volatile and ever changing as we progress through this month!  
A very strong and impressive upper low from the [...]

Local Forecast Discussion is Updated!

The local forecast discussion is updated!
The pattern will remain rather active through the end of this month!  Enjoy the quiet weather now as two major storms will impact the forecast area this weekend and potentially for early next week!  Also, the 2008/09 winter forecast can be read below and on it’s own page to the [...]

Today’s Technical Forecast Discussion

10/22/08  7:40 AM
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
The forecast area will be in between two strong storms for the next 66 hours, which means strong high pressure will move over the forecast area.  Strong convergence and confluence at 500 MB over eastern Ontario and western Quebec will support a strengthening Canadian high pressure over the forecast area.  
Winds [...]

Local Forecast Discussions Updated

The local forecast discussion is updated!
There is a lot going on right now with the upper level pattern as we get ready for a major heavy rain event for this weekend.  Overall, we are setting up for a much colder pattern as we head towards the end of October.  The NAO is about to tank [...]

Local Forecast Discussion Is Updated

The local forecast discussion is updated!
I’ve been falling into a pattern of sleeping very late on Saturday’s.  Could be the whole waking up at 4 AM thing the other 6 days.  
Anyway, the main story today for the short term is whether the organized rain event will happen on Monday.  We’ve seen this advertised on [...]