Hot | NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Pattern change promises a return of real summer conditions

June 22nd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:15 Am
Summer-like conditions will return to the forecast area and will do so in a short period of time. That means that humid air and temperatures in the 80’s and possibly 90’s will return to the forecast area. When the hot summer conditions return, I’m willing to bet that the conditions will feel hotter and [...]

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Just Another Cloudy March Day

March 15th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:54 AM
Personally, I love these types of days. While I have friends who love the sun, hot temperatures, and heat that is to come (trust me), and you know who you are, personally I love cloudy days. Days like are a perfect time to do some reading, go to the movies, get ready for March [...]

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A Super Weekend For The Super Bowl

January 30th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:37 AM
Okay, so the Super Bowl is no where near the forecast area, but the weather conditions will still be great for traveling to your favorite hot spot to watch the game or to go out and get about 80 pounds of wings. Personally, I’m rooting for a good game and hopefully less officiating.
Anyway, [...]

Tags: accumulation, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bridgeport, cold, cold front, Connecticut, Disturbance, dominance, dominants, early evening, east, eastern Pennsylvania, evenings, flurrie, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, game, games, good game, Hartford, high, hot, hot spot, Islip, Long Island, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normal temperatures, normals, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, Reading, saturday and sunday, Scranton, showers, slides, snow, snow showers, sunday afternoon, super bowl, Sussex, temperature, temperatures, travelers, watches, weather, weather conditions, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, wind pattern, wings. Technical Discussions Closed

Updated And Final Forecast

January 27th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:00 PM
Based on the trends of the actual storm and observations, I am updating the forecast. There are few changes, but I did decide to lower the snowfall totals for one area just northwest of the major cities.
Purple: Mostly snow is expected in this area through early tomorrow morning. Sleet and freezing rain will mix in [...]

Tags: accumulation, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bridgeport, Connecticut, flood, flooding, floods, forecast, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, freezing rain, frozen precipitation, Hartford, heavy rain, hot, ice, Islip, Long Island, major cities, mid, mid morning, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, north norther, observation, observations, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, pink snow, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, Scranton, sleet, snow, snow sleet, snowfall, snowfall accumulations, Storm, storms, Sussex, tomorrow morning, totals, updates, wednesday morning, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Closed

No Changes In The Forecast Nor The Split In Model Guidance

January 27th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

5:57 AM
I am still surprised by the large differences in model guidance at this time. There has been a defined “trend” at 850 MB to make the 850 MB low weaker and at times not even a closed low anymore. This change in the forecast means a slightly slower push of the warm air at [...]

Tags: accumulation, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bridgeport, coast, coastal plain, Connecticut, Delaware, delaware coast, evenings, flood, flooding, floods, forecast, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, freezing rain, guidance, Hartford, heavy rain, hot, ice, Islip, Long Island, low, lows, major cities, mid, mid morning, Model Guidance, models, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, pink snow, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, Rain, rain tomorrow, Rainfall, Reading, rush hour, Scranton, sleet, snow, snowfall accumulations, Southeast, Storm, storm track, storms, surprise, Sussex, tomorrow morning, Virginia, warm, wednesday morning, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Closed

More Ice Than Snow On The Coast, Interior In For A Heavy Snowfall

January 26th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:34 PM
I’m amazed that even this close to an event that there is still a great deal of disagreement on the track of this storm. I’ve gotten a few emails about why I picked this model over that, but really what I did was include all the guidance into one forecast and came out with [...]

Tags: accumulation, Albany, Allentown, amounts, area, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bridgeport, coast, coastal areas, cold, cold dry air, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, disagreement, dry air mass, evenings, evolution, extent, ey, flood, flooding, floods, forecast, forecast area, forecast snow, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, gfs, guidance, Hartford, hot, ice, Islip, Long Island, low, lows, map, maps, mid, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, Model Guidance, models, moisture, nam, New Jers Newark, New York, New York City, north, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, pink snow, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, s, Scranton, sleet, snow, snowfall, snowfall amounts, snowfall s, sref, Storm, storms, Sussex, ukmet, valleys, warm, watches, wednesday morning, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter, wrf. Technical Discussions 18 Comments

Arctic Blast Means Business

January 13th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:48 AM
Obviously the news of the Arctic Blast that will impact the forecast area on Thursday through Sunday has been talked about in several areas.
The main threat I want to convey about this air mass is not to take this situation likely. I have a strong feeling that the MOS guidance is still too warm [...]

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Light Snow To Ring In The New Year

December 30th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

7:12 AM
While there is a lot of uncertainty for the end of the week, model guidance is at least converging on the idea of a strong Alberta Clipper moving through the forecast area on Wednesday.
Today, a much weaker disturbance will move to the north of the forecast area this afternoon. Currently, this disturbance is enhancing [...]

Tags: accumulation, alberta clipper, area, central hudson, central Pennsylvania, chills, city metro, clipper, clippers, cloudy skies, Connecticut, continuation, convergence, crash, Disturbance, eve, evening winds, evenings, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, guidance, gusts, high, hot, hot chocolate, Hudson Valley, lake effect snow, lake ontario, light snow showers, low, lows, metros, mlf, Model Guidance, models, moderate snow, moderation, new years eve, normal, north, northwesterly winds, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, showers, snow, south, systems, temperature, temperatures, valleys, wednesday afternoon, weeke, wills, wind chills. Technical Discussions Closed

Change Is In The Air

November 5th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

No, I’m not talking about politics. Please! I’ve had enough.
The pattern is about to go through a significant and lasting change that I think will begin to lock in for much of the winter. I am going to go back to what was discussed in my winter forecast and start where I think everything will [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, ao, arctic oscillation, area, Atlantic City, atmosphere, Belmar, blocking, Bridgeport, cold, Connecticut, continuation, correlation, discussion, Disturbance, east, england, ensembles, forecast, forecaster, Freehold, gfs, guidance, Hartford, hot, Islip, Long Island, lows, n normal, nao, neutral state, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, northern latitudes, October, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, Reading, s, Scranton, signs, snow, snowfall, south, standard deviation, step down, Storm, storms, stratosphere, stratospheric data, stratospheric temperatures, Sussex, systems, tank, tanks, temperature, temperatures, troposphere, Trough, warm, weather, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter. Technical Discussions Closed

My Winter Forecast For 2008/09

October 22nd, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

It is once again that time of year where snow lovers across the Northeast and Mid Atlantic have one question and one desire. Will my back yard see plenty of white or brown mud?
Before I go into detail about my winter forecast, I want to explain how I developed and produced the theory for [...]

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