Free weather forecast for New York, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania.
Hurricane Bertha is currently under very weak steering conditions under a building western Atlantic ridge. As a result, Bertha has all but stalled just to the south and east of Bermuda. While I don’t expect Bertha to move much today, the potential for any significant strengthening has ended as well. The problem? Well, while shear [...]
Hurricane Bertha is currently going through an eye wall replacement cycle and has some dry air entrained into the circulation. As a result, Bertha has not strengthened much over the past 6 hours and remains a category 1 hurricane with 85 MPH sustained winds. Overall, Bertha is not looking very impressive this morning, however with [...]
Hurricane Bertha is a healthy and strong category 2 hurricane this morning with 105 mph and a 970 MB pressure. Bertha continues on to the northwest at a steady pass of 9 mph.
I think Bertha will begin to encounter some southwesterly shear by this afternoon, which will limit the potential for intensification for the [...]
Hurricane Bertha, as expected, has officially become a strong category two hurricane with 105 mph winds. A 6 mph increase in winds will have Bertha return to category three strength once again. As discussed through the afternoon, hurricane Bertha will likely become a category three hurricane in the next 12 hours. Wind shear will remain [...]
Once again, I sit in amazement at how rapidly Hurricane Bertha has developed over the past 12 hours. Remember, this morning Bertha was a poorly organized hurricane after having gone through some serious southwesterly shear. Then, the shear ends and BAM, Bertha blossoms into a very well developed hurricane. I’m going to be very interested [...]
Hurricane Bertha is at it once again!
Hurricane Bertha, still at category 1 hurricane at 11 AM, is beginning to show signs of rapid intensification once again. As seen on the satellite images, the eye is clearly reforming rapidly and cloud tops are also rapidly cooling, both indicate signs of intensification.
There is clearly no [...]
Hurricane Bertha, after weakening down to a category one 75 mph hurricane, has started to reorganize this morning. Thunderstorms have redeveloped and wrapped around the center of Bertha and there are signs of the eye wall redeveloping once again. I expect Bertha to intensify this morning despite what some model guidance is projecting. Why?
The fact [...]
As discussed about an hour ago, the water vapor and IR satellite images clearly showed Bertha under going southwesterly shear and weakening. As of the 11 AM up date, Bertha is now a category 2 hurricane with winds at 105 mph and a pressure of 970 MB. I expect Bertha to continue to weaken and [...]
As the morning progresses, Hurricane Bertha is becoming significantly sheared by southwesterly winds. As seen on the water vapor image in the last hour, the majority of the convection or thunderstorms are being forced to the east of the center of circulation. The upper level winds are basically eating away at the thunderstorms to the [...]
Hurricane Bertha has started to make the turn to the north in the last several hours and southwesterly shear is beginning to impact the hurricane as well. This morning, Bertha remains a dangerous category 3 hurricane, but I’m expecting some weakening today as southwesterly shear disrupts the mid level circulation of Bertha. The turn to [...]
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