5:41 AM

The following snow and wind observations are from the National Weather Service.  There were many areas that received heavy snow via the mesoscale banding that developed within this storm, however there were also some areas that received less than expected because of the influence of mesoscale banding.  Overall, verification came in rather well on the forecast considering the difficult nature of forecasting the snowfall totals.

NEW JERSEY

...ATLANTIC COUNTY...
   NORTHFIELD            12.4  1215 PM   3/2
   ATLANTIC CITY         11.3  1215 PM   3/2
   ESTELL MANOR          10.3   235 PM   3/2
   SOMERS POINT           9.8  1215 PM   3/2
   HAMMONTON              9.6   130 PM   3/2
   MARGATE CITY           9.5  1215 PM   3/2
   EGG HARBOR CITY        9.0  1215 PM   3/2
   HAMMONTON              8.5   845 AM   3/2
   LINWOOD                8.5   900 AM   3/2
   WEST ATLANTIC CITY     8.0   900 AM   3/2
   ATLANTIC CITY          6.8   100 PM   3/2   INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
   PLEASANTVILLE          6.8   100 PM   3/2

...BURLINGTON COUNTY...
   NEW LISBON            10.5  1225 PM   3/2
   SOUTHAMPTON            9.7  1030 AM   3/2
   TABERNACLE             9.7  1145 AM   3/2
   PEMBERTON              9.5   900 AM   3/2
   BROWNS MILLS           9.0   815 AM   3/2
   MOUNT HOLLY            9.0   100 PM   3/2   NWS OFFICE
   WRIGHTSTOWN            8.2   645 AM   3/2
   MEDFORD LAKES          8.0   350 PM   3/2
   MOUNT LAUREL           6.7   515 PM   3/2
   MARLTON                6.0   125 PM   3/2
   WESTAMPTON             6.0   900 AM   3/2
   MAPLE SHADE            5.6   330 PM   3/2

...CAMDEN COUNTY...
   SICKLERVILLE           7.2   815 AM   3/2
   LINDENWOLD             6.0   415 PM   3/2
   SOMERDALE              5.2   750 AM   3/2

...CAPE MAY COUNTY...
   DENNISVILLE           10.2  1230 PM   3/2
   SEAVILLE               9.5   126 PM   3/2
   PETERSBURG             9.0  1230 PM   3/2
   STEELMANTOWN           9.0   730 AM   3/2
   WOODBINE               9.0   127 PM   3/2
   OCEAN CITY             8.5   126 PM   3/2
   CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE   8.2  1230 PM   3/2
   GREEN CREEK            8.0  1230 PM   3/2
   TUCKAHOE               7.8   755 AM   3/2
   CAPE MAY               7.7  1215 PM   3/2
   WILDWOOD CREST         6.8   126 PM   3/2
   NORTH CAPE MAY         6.2  1230 PM   3/2
   ERMA                   6.0   830 AM   3/2
   WEST CAPE MAY          6.0   127 PM   3/2
   ELDORA                 5.5   125 PM   3/2
   VILLAS                 5.5  1230 PM   3/2
   BEESLEYS POINT         5.0   720 AM   3/2
   CAPE MAY POINT         4.5  1230 PM   3/2

...CUMBERLAND COUNTY...
   VINELAND              12.9   756 AM   3/2
   MILLVILLE              8.5   123 PM   3/2
   NEWPORT                8.0   700 PM   3/2
   HEISLERVILLE           7.0   720 AM   3/2

...GLOUCESTER COUNTY...
   MALAGA                11.5   350 PM   3/2
   NATIONAL PARK          8.3   100 PM   3/2
   SEWELL                 6.5  1230 PM   3/2

...HUNTERDON COUNTY...
   CALIFON                9.8   230 PM   3/2
   CLINTON                9.4   130 PM   3/2
   WHITE HOUSE STATION    6.9  1245 PM   3/2
   FLEMINGTON             5.5   745 AM   3/2

...MERCER COUNTY...
   EWING                  5.1   515 PM   3/2
   HAMILTON SQUARE        5.0   950 AM   3/2
   YARDVILLE              4.5  1020 AM   3/2

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
   OLD BRIDGE             6.8   215 PM   3/2
   NEW BRUNSWICK          6.5   100 PM   3/2
   METUCHEN               5.5  1240 PM   3/2
   EAST BRUNSWICK         5.0  1000 AM   3/2
   SOUTH PLAINFIELD       4.0   215 PM   3/2
   WOODBRIDGE             3.3   215 PM   3/2

...MONMOUTH COUNTY...
   COLTS NECK            13.5  1200 PM   3/2
   WALL#MONMOUTH         13.0  1120 AM   3/2
   FREEHOLD              12.5  1130 AM   3/2
   HOLMDEL               12.0   820 PM   3/2
   NEPTUNE#MONMOUTH      10.5   100 PM   3/2
   WAYSIDE               10.5  1225 PM   3/2
   FARMINGDALE           10.0   450 PM   3/2   2 MILES SW
   RED BANK              10.0   200 PM   3/2
   TINTON FALLS           9.5   230 PM   3/2
   CREAM RIDGE            9.4  1230 PM   3/2
   WEST LONG BRANCH       9.3   530 AM   3/2
   SOUTHARD               9.0  1050 AM   3/2
   ROOSEVELT              8.8   220 PM   3/2   MILLSTONE TOWNSHIP
   MORGANVILLE            7.8   240 PM   3/2
   ABERDEEN               6.0  1000 AM   3/2

...MORRIS COUNTY...
   MARCELLA              10.5   215 PM   3/2
   OAK RIDGE RESERVOIR    9.0   400 PM   3/2
   BUTLER                 8.5  1145 AM   3/2
   MILTON                 8.5   845 AM   3/2
   ROCKAWAY               8.5   830 AM   3/2

...OCEAN COUNTY...
   BAYVILLE              13.0  1015 AM   3/2
   BARNEGAT LIGHT        12.5   320 PM   3/2
   TUCKERTON             10.5   330 PM   3/2
   WHITING               10.5  1230 PM   3/2
   HARVEY CEDARS         10.0   100 PM   3/2
   POINT PLEASANT         9.5  1230 PM   3/2

...SOMERSET COUNTY...
   NORTH PLAINFIELD       6.7   820 PM   3/2
   BRANCHBURG PARK        6.0   820 PM   3/2
   BRIDGEWATER            5.3  1200 PM   3/2
   BRANCHBURG             5.0   630 AM   3/2
   HILLSBOROUGH           4.5   755 AM   3/2
   SOMERVILLE             3.9   100 PM   3/2

...SUSSEX COUNTY...
   HOPATCONG             10.3   245 PM   3/2
   SPARTA                 8.5   340 PM   3/2
   WANTAGE                6.0   210 PM   3/2
   NEWTON                 4.0   325 PM   3/2

...WARREN COUNTY...
   STEWARTSVILLE          8.9   200 PM   3/2
   HACKETTSTOWN           8.3   455 PM   3/2

PENNSYLVANIA

...BERKS COUNTY...
   BOYERTOWN              7.0  1150 AM   3/2
   FREDERICKSVILLE        5.0   200 PM   3/2
   READING                4.2   310 PM   3/2
   WEST LAWN              4.1   100 PM   3/2
   BECHTELSVILLE          4.0   610 PM   3/2

...BUCKS COUNTY...
   PERKASIE               9.5  1215 PM   3/2
   FURLONG                6.7   350 PM   3/2
   BENSALEM               6.0   115 PM   3/2
   DOYLESTOWN             5.5   430 PM   3/2
   NEWTOWN                4.5   400 PM   3/2

...CHESTER COUNTY...
   EAST NANTMEAL          8.0   115 PM   3/2
   WEST CALN              7.5  1115 AM   3/2
   COATESVILLE            7.0  1000 AM   3/2
   DOWNINGTOWN            7.0  1130 AM   3/2
   WILLISTOWN             6.5   225 PM   3/2
   EXTON                  6.0   530 PM   3/2
   LEWISVILLE             4.0  1145 PM   3/2
   NEW LONDON             4.0  1239 PM   3/2

...DELAWARE COUNTY...
   VILLANOVA              8.0  1200 PM   3/2
   ASTON#DELAWARE         7.0   245 PM   3/2
   DREXEL HILL            7.0  1230 PM   3/2
   WALLINGFORD            6.8  1135 AM   3/2
   MEDIA                  6.6   130 PM   3/2
   CLIFTON HEIGHTS        6.5  1050 AM   3/2
   BOOTHWYN               6.0   245 PM   3/2
   NEWTOWN SQUARE         4.5   255 PM   3/2
   SECANE                 4.5   245 PM   3/2
   FOLCROFT               4.0   245 PM   3/2

...LEHIGH COUNTY...
   EMMAUS                 5.5  1115 AM   3/2
   ALLENTOWN              4.1   100 PM   3/2   INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT

...MONROE COUNTY...
   TOBYHANNA              5.0  1240 PM   3/2
   DELAWARE WATER GAP     4.0   145 PM   3/2

...MONTGOMERY COUNTY...
   ROYERSFORD             8.0  1145 AM   3/2
   TRAPPE                 7.8   120 PM   3/2
   KING OF PRUSSIA        7.5  1210 AM   3/2
   WORCESTER              7.0   310 PM   3/2
   WYNNEWOOD              6.3  1110 AM   3/2
   LANSDALE               6.0  1200 PM   3/2
   AMBLER                 5.0  1120 AM   3/2
   ELKINS PARK            5.0   440 PM   3/2

...NORTHAMPTON COUNTY...
   EASTON                 9.0  1245 PM   3/2   WILLIAMS TOWNSHIP
   MARTINS CREEK          4.2  1245 PM   3/2
   BETHLEHEM              4.0   130 PM   3/2
   TATAMY                 4.0  1235 PM   3/2

...PHILADELPHIA COUNTY...
   PHILADELPHIA           8.3   100 PM   3/2   INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
   RICHMOND               7.1  1245 PM   3/2
   ROXBOROUGH             7.0   610 PM   3/2
   PHILADELPHIA           5.3   100 PM   3/2   PINE VALLEY
   SOMERTON               4.5   100 PM   3/2

NEW YORK

...DELAWARE COUNTY...
   HANCOCK                3.5   300 PM   3/2 SPOTTER

...SULLIVAN COUNTY...
   LUMBERLAND             5.0   430 PM   3/2 SPOTTER
   KIAMESHA LAKE          4.5   420 PM   3/2 SPOTTER

PENNSYLVANIA

...LACKAWANNA COUNTY...
   DICKSON CITY           3.5   710 PM   3/2 SPOTTER
   ELMHURST               2.8   504 PM   3/2 SPOTTER

CONNECTICUT

...LITCHFIELD COUNTY...
   WINCHESTER CENTER     12.0   151 PM   3/2 TRAINED SPOTTER
   WOODBURY              10.0   800 AM   3/2 SPOTTER
   COLEBROOK LAKE         9.0   939 AM   3/2 SPOTTER
   LITCHFIELD             8.5   200 PM   3/2 CT DOT
   WINCHESTER             8.5   200 PM   3/2 CT DOT
   CANAAN                 8.0   516 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   SHARON                 8.0  1045 AM   3/2 WXNET 6
   THOMASTON              7.5   200 PM   3/2 CT DOT
   NEW HARTFORD           7.1   937 AM   3/2 TRAINED SPOTTER
   BAKERSVILLE            6.8   939 AM   3/2 SPOTTER
   NORTH CANAAN           6.0   200 PM   3/2 CT DOT

MASSACHUSETTS

...BERKSHIRE COUNTY...
   OTIS                  10.0   340 PM   3/2 SPOTTER
   BECKET                 8.2   818 AM   3/2 TRAINED SPOTTER
   SAVOY                  6.1   548 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   BECKET CENTER          6.0   600 PM   3/2 WTEN
   NORTH OTIS             6.0  1054 AM   3/2 TRAINED SPOTTER
   ADAMS                  4.0   600 PM   3/2 WTEN
   ALFORD                 4.0   450 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   LANESBOROUGH           3.0   600 PM   3/2 WTEN
   PITTSFIELD             3.0   600 PM   3/2 WTEN

NEW YORK

...ALBANY COUNTY...
   ALBANY                 4.4   501 PM   3/2 NWS EMPLOYEE BUCKINGHAM
   KNOX                   4.0   657 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   RENSSELAERVILLE        4.0   600 PM   3/2 WTEN
   COHOES                 3.5   605 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   PRESTON HOLLOW         3.3   633 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   COLONIE                3.0   505 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   DELMAR                 3.0   549 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   POTTER HOLLOW          2.3  1207 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   ALBANY                 2.1   700 PM   3/2 NWS CESTM
   ALBANY                 2.0   439 PM   3/2 SPOTTER
   MEDUSA                 1.8   503 PM   3/2 WXNET 6

...COLUMBIA COUNTY...
   NORTH CHATAM           4.8   433 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   STUYVESANT FALLS       4.8   548 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   CHATHAM CENTER         4.0   413 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   GHENT                  4.0   600 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   LIVINGSTON             3.8   557 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   TAGHKANIC              3.5   532 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   LIVINGSTON             3.3   550 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   ANCRAMDALE             2.0   559 PM   3/2 WXNET 6

...DUTCHESS COUNTY...
   WINGDALE               9.0   917 AM   3/2 TRAINED SPOTTER
   POUGHQUAG              8.3   915 AM   3/2 TRAINED SPOTTER
   RED HOOK               4.0   524 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   INDIAN LAKE            3.0   600 PM   3/2 WTEN
   RED OAKS MILL          2.5   633 PM   3/2 TRAINED SPOTTER

...FULTON COUNTY...
   BROADALBIN             2.0   424 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   CAROGA LAKE            2.0   600 PM   3/2 WTEN
   JOHNSTOWN              2.0   458 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   NORTHVILLE             2.0   503 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   FISHHOUSE              1.8   455 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   CAROGA LAKE            1.5   435 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   GLOVERSVILLE           1.5   600 PM   3/2 WTEN
   JOHNSTOWN              1.5   231 PM   3/2 SHERIFFS OFFICE

...GREENE COUNTY...
   ELKA PARK              6.0   525 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   MAPLECREST             5.5   507 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   CLIMAX                 5.0   501 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   CATSKILL               3.5   628 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   FREEHOLD               2.7   215 PM   3/2 TRAINED SPOTTER
   DURHAM                 2.5   517 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   PRATTSVILLE            2.3  1119 AM   3/2 WXNET 6
   CATSKILL               1.3   519 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   EAST JEWETT            1.0   939 AM   3/2 SPOTTER
   HALCOTT CENTER         1.0   819 AM   3/2 WXNET 6

...HAMILTON COUNTY...
   SPECULATOR             1.5   423 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   INDIAN LAKE            0.5  1156 AM   3/2 WXNET 6

...MONTGOMERY COUNTY...
   AMSTERDAM              3.0   500 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   AMSTERDAM              2.5   609 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   HESSVILLE              2.0   607 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   AMSTERDAM              1.8   442 PM   3/2 WXNET 6

...RENSSELAER COUNTY...
   CENTER BRUNSWICK       5.0   425 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   GRAFTON                4.0   600 PM   3/2 WTEN
   POESTENKILL            4.0   600 PM   3/2 WTEN
   BRUNSWICK              3.9   530 PM   3/2 NWS EMPLOYEE
   EAST NASSAU            3.5   718 PM   3/2 SPOTTER
   SCHAGHTICOKE           3.5   456 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   STEPHENTOWN            2.0  1147 AM   3/2 WXNET 6
   SCHAGHTICOKE           1.8   452 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   AVERILL PARK           0.6  1008 AM   3/2 COCORAHS
   BUSKIRK                0.1   939 AM   3/2 SPOTTER

...SARATOGA COUNTY...
   CLIFTON PARK           3.8   530 PM   3/2 NWS EMPLOYEE
   WILTON                 2.7   531 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   ROUND LAKE             2.0   451 PM   3/2 NWS EMPLOYEE
   SARATOGA SPRINGS       2.0   545 PM   3/2 NWS EMPLOYEE
   GREENFIELD             1.5   600 PM   3/2 WTEN
   BALLSTON SPA           1.0   608 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   WILTON                 0.4   254 PM   3/2 SPOTTER

...SCHENECTADY COUNTY...
   SCHENECTADY            2.0   528 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   SCOTIA                 2.0   558 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   SCHENECTADY            1.8   707 PM   3/2 NWS EMPLOYEE

...SCHOHARIE COUNTY...
   HUNTERSLAND            4.0   605 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   JEFFERSON              4.0   610 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   SUMMIT                 4.0   526 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   RICHMONDVILLE          3.0   604 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   HOWES CAVE             2.8  1143 AM   3/2 WXNET 6
   SCHOHARIE              2.0   600 PM   3/2 WTEN

...ULSTER COUNTY...
   PHOENICIA              2.5   500 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   GARDINER               1.8   510 PM   3/2 TRAINED SPOTTER
   NEW PALTZ              1.8   939 AM   3/2 COCORAHS
   SAUGERTIES             1.2   659 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   KERHONKSON             1.0   450 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   SLIDE MOUNTAIN         1.0   939 AM   3/2 SPOTTER
   WHITEPORT              1.0   433 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   PHOENICIA              0.6   939 AM   3/2 SPOTTER
   ROSENDALE              0.6  1008 AM   3/2 COCORAHS
   BEARSVILLE             0.5   939 AM   3/2 SPOTTER
   KINGSTON               0.5   343 PM   3/2 WXNET 6

...WARREN COUNTY...
   WARRENSBURG            3.1   654 PM   3/2 SPOTTER
   BRANT LAKE             2.0   439 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   LAKE LUZERNE           2.0   600 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   QUEENSBURY             2.0   600 PM   3/2 WTEN

...WASHINGTON COUNTY...
   HEBRON                 3.5   600 PM   3/2 WTEN
   GRANVILLE              3.3   515 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   SALEM                  2.0   524 PM   3/2 WXNET 6
   WHITEHALL              2.0   600 PM   3/2 WTEN
   FORT EDWARD            1.0   329 PM   3/2 WXNET 6

CONNECTICUT

...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...
   NORWALK               10.0   318 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   SHELTON               10.0   208 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   BRIDGEPORT             9.6   700 PM   3/2   NWS COOP
   NEW CANAAN             9.5   253 PM   3/2   CT DOT
   DARIEN                 9.3   200 PM   3/2   CT DOT
   DANBURY                8.6   300 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   NEWTOWN                8.1   800 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   BROOKFIELD             8.0   700 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   NEWTOWN                8.0   330 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   MONROE                 7.6   645 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   BETHEL                 7.0   820 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   WEST NORWALK           7.0   955 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
   OLD SAYBROOK          14.0   200 PM   3/2   CT DOT
   CLINTON                9.5   640 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   MOODUS                 8.7   820 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   ESSEX                  8.0   806 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   HADDAM                 8.0   200 PM   3/2   CT DOT
   MIDDLETOWN             8.0  1015 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER

...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...
   NORTH HAVEN           11.3   752 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   SEYMOUR               10.5   100 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   MERIDEN                9.5   200 PM   3/2   CT DOT
   EAST HAVEN             9.3  1100 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   NAUGATUCK              9.2   715 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   WATERBURY              8.5   200 PM   3/2   CT DOT
   SOUTHBURY              8.3   200 PM   3/2   CT DOT
   BEACON FALLS           8.0   200 PM   3/2   CT DOT
   NEW HAVEN              8.0   254 PM   3/2   CT DOT
   MILFORD                7.5   200 PM   3/2   CT DOT
   WATERBURY              7.5   915 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   HAMDEN                 7.3   830 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER

...NEW LONDON COUNTY...
   LISBON                10.5   657 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   GROTON                10.0   200 PM   3/2   CT DOT
   VOLUNTOWN             10.0   800 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   OLD LYME               9.6   830 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   COLCHESTER             8.5   200 PM   3/2   CT DOT
   GILMAN                 8.5   130 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   STONINGTON             8.5   730 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   NORWICH                7.0   200 PM   3/2   CT DOT

NEW JERSEY

...BERGEN COUNTY...
   MAHWAH                 6.7   800 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   OAKLAND                6.7   140 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   BERGENFIELD            5.6  1205 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   GARFIELD               4.9  1055 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   TENAFLY                4.9   500 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   RIDGEWOOD              4.2   100 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   RIVERVALE              4.0   745 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   RAMSEY                 3.9   600 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER

...ESSEX COUNTY...
   NEWARK                 6.8   700 PM   3/2   FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER
   MONTCLAIR              6.0   310 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   NORTH CALDWELL         4.1   845 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   GLEN RIDGE             3.7   545 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   MILLBURN               3.7   800 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   CEDAR GROVE            3.4   130 PM   3/2   PUBLIC

...HUDSON COUNTY...
   HOBOKEN                7.2  1145 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   HARRISON               7.1   315 PM   3/2   NWS COOP
   KEARNY                 6.0   100 PM   3/2   PUBLIC

...PASSAIC COUNTY...
   WEST MILFORD          13.5   230 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   WEST MILFORD          11.0   400 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   HASKELL                7.5   800 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   RINGWOOD               6.2  1030 AM   3/2    SKYWARN SPOTTER

...UNION COUNTY...
   ROSELLE                7.8   600 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER

NEW YORK

...BRONX COUNTY...
   WEST FARMS             8.8  1130 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   PELHAM BAY PARK        8.5   400 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   BRONX                  7.0   800 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER

...KINGS COUNTY...
   BROOKLYN MARINE PARK   9.5   500 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   BROOKLYN               9.0  1000 AM   3/2   PUBLIC - BOROUGH PARK
   BROOKLYN               9.0   100 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   SHEEPSHEAD BAY         8.5   630 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER

...NASSAU COUNTY...
   HICKSVILLE            12.5   548 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   WOODMERE              12.4   200 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   PLAINVIEW             12.1  1200 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   WANTAGH               11.8   600 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   ROCKVILLE CENTRE      11.5   400 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   ROSLYN HARBOR         11.5   100 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   BALDWIN PARK          11.0   200 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   BETHPAGE              10.9  1158 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   INWOOD                10.9  1200 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   LIDO BEACH            10.5   300 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   MILL NECK             10.2   245 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   SEAFORD               10.1   815 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   FLORAL PARK           10.0   200 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   NEW HYDE PARK          9.8  1200 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   MINEOLA                9.7  1030 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   WEST HEMPSTEAD         9.7   230 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   BALDWIN                9.5   845 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   GLEN COVE              9.5   300 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   BALDWIN                9.3   840 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   CARLE PLACE            9.3   300 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   OCEANSIDE              9.3   840 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   PLAINVIEW              9.3  1100 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   EAST MEADOW            9.2   300 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   BELLMORE               9.0  1130 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   MERRICK                9.0   600 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   EAST MEADOW            8.7  1218 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   BALDWIN HARBOR         8.6   300 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   LONG BEACH             8.5   600 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   SEAFORD                8.2   300 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   HEMPSTEAD              8.0  1150 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   LYNBROOK               8.0   539 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   FLORAL PARK            7.8   258 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER

...NEW YORK COUNTY...
   NEW YORK COUNTY        8.7  1030 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER W. 85TH
   HARLEM                 8.4  1130 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   NYC/CENTRAL PARK       8.0   700 PM   3/2   CENTRAL PARK ZOO
   CHINATOWN              7.7  1205 PM   3/2   PUBLIC

...ORANGE COUNTY...
   TUXEDO                11.2   430 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   HARRIMAN              11.0   400 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   CORNWALL               7.8   600 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   GREENWOOD LAKE         6.9  1123 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   CORNWALL-ON-HUDSON     6.7   200 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   BLOOMING GROVE         6.0   415 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   HIGHLAND MILLS         6.0  1100 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   NEW WINDSOR            6.0   300 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   WARWICK                6.0   320 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   NEW WINDSOR            5.3   400 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   MIDDLETOWN             5.0   230 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   NEW WINDSOR            4.7   730 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   MONTGOMERY             3.5   520 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   WESTTOWN               3.0  1000 AM   3/2   PUBLIC

...PUTNAM COUNTY...
   MAHOPAC                9.0   300 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   PUTNAM VALLEY          6.5   200 PM   3/2   PUBLIC

...QUEENS COUNTY...
   REGO PARK             10.8  1050 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   ASTORIA               10.5  1200 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   BROAD CHANNEL         10.0   330 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   HOWARD BEACH          10.0  1000 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   JACKSON HEIGHTS        9.5   300 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   FLUSHING               9.3   250 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   BAYSIDE                9.2  1015 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   KEW GARDENS            9.0   300 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   EAST ELMHURST          8.5  1120 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   NYC/JFK                6.7   700 PM   3/2   FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER
   NYC/LAGUARDIA          6.5   700 PM   3/2   FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER

...RICHMOND COUNTY...
   GREAT KILLS           13.0   315 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   STATEN ISLAND         10.5  1015 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   ELTINGVILLE            6.0   100 PM   3/2   PUBLIC

...ROCKLAND COUNTY...
   STONY POINT            8.2   545 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   NEW CITY               5.2  1115 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   MONSEY                 4.8  1100 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   TAPPAN                 4.0   840 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   PIERMONT               3.5   610 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER

...SUFFOLK COUNTY...
   MASTIC                15.7   400 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   COMMACK               14.5   100 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   ROCKY POINT           14.2   640 PM   3/2   NWS EMPLOYEE
   EAST PATCHOGUE        14.0   700 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   ORIENT                14.0   650 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   UPTON                 13.9   700 PM   3/2   NWS OFFICE
   EAST SETAUKET         13.3   442 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   CORAM                 13.0   822 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   MEDFORD               13.0   311 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   MOUNT SINAI           13.0   900 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   NORTH BABYLON         13.0   500 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   MIDDLE ISLAND         12.8   315 PM   3/2   NWS EMPLOYEE
   HAUPPAUGE             12.5   400 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   HUNTINGTON STATION    12.5  1100 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   STONY BROOK           12.1   425 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   ISLIP                 12.0   700 PM   3/2   FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER
   LINDENHURST           11.5   600 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   PORT JEFFERSON        11.5   430 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   SMITHTOWN             11.3   300 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   RIVERHEAD             11.2   600 PM   3/2   NWS EMPLOYEE
   CENTEREACH            11.0  1126 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   CUTCHOGUE             11.0   638 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   WESTHAMPTON BEACH     11.0   855 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   PATCHOGUE             10.5   541 PM   3/2   NWS EMPLOYEE
   FLANDERS              10.1   300 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   RIVERHEAD             10.1  1000 AM   3/2   NWS EMPLOYEE
   BAITING HOLLOW        10.0  1000 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   MATTITUCK             10.0   700 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   CUTCHOGUE              9.5   921 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   EAST NORTHPORT         9.5  1115 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   MONTAUK                9.0   800 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   SAG HARBOR             9.0   800 AM   3/2   PUBLIC

...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...
   MOUNT VERNON          10.5   100 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   SCARSDALE             10.1   338 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   ARDSLEY               10.0   315 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   YONKERS               10.0   205 PM   3/2   PUBLIC
   ARMONK                 6.5   640 AM   3/2   PUBLIC
   WHITE PLAINS           6.4   845 AM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   OSSINING               4.9   630 PM   3/2   SKYWARN SPOTTER

***********************PEAK WIND GUST***********************

LOCATION            PEAK WIND    TIME/DATE    COMMENTS
                         GUST       OF
                        (MPH)   MEASUREMENT

CONNECTICUT

...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...
   BRIDGEPORT              35   651 AM   3/2   ASOS
   DANBURY                 35   254 PM   3/2   ASOS

...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...
   MERIDEN                 33   857 AM   3/2   ASOS

NEW JERSEY

...ESSEX COUNTY...
   NEWARK                  39  1049 AM   3/2   ASOS

NEW YORK

...ORANGE COUNTY...
   MONTGOMERY              32   424 AM   3/2   ASOS

...QUEENS COUNTY...
   NYC/JFK                 45   133 PM   3/2   ASOS
   NYC/LAGUARDIA           43   143 PM   3/2   ASOS

...ROCKLAND COUNTY...
   NYACK                   44   210 PM   3/2   PUBLIC

...SUFFOLK COUNTY...
   WESTHAMPTON BEACH       45   559 AM   3/2   ASOS
   FARMINGDALE             40   507 AM   3/2   ASOS
   MONTAUK                 33   857 AM   3/2   ASOS

9:14 AM

Round One:

I thought of that cause I have Rocky II on in the back ground, but I think it is appropriety given the situation.  

Precipitation is racing through Illinois and entering Indian.  This area of precipitation is producing light snow and is a heck of a lot more consolidated than any model guidance has shown to this point, as I had been hinting at for several days.  

Through the rest of the day, clouds will slowly increase in the afternoon and evening hours.  I expect dry conditions through much of the day.  Temperatures will average below normal, a theme this month, with highs ranging from the mid 20′s to around freezing along the coast.  

Tonight, the mid level disturbance will race towards the forecast area.  The moisture will dry out a bit due to down sloping off the Appellation Mountains this evening.  However, as the disturbance interacts with some of the moisture from the Atlantic, I expect the precipitation shield to intensify once again over the forecast area.  Generally a dusting to an inch can be expected from northern Pennsylvania, the southern Hudson Valley, and coastal Connecticut on south through southern New Jersey.  Accumulations over an inch to possibly two inches will be possible in areas where a more concentrated snow band can develop.  This is possible due to intensification of the thermal gradient along the coastal front.  I expect this to potentially occur along the immediate coast.  I increased the coverage area for this potential due to the strength of the disturbance being slightly stronger than forecasted at this time.  

The disturbance will move quickly off the coast by late tomorrow morning with partly cloudy skies the rest of the afternoon and evening on Monday.  

The upper level pattern is set up for round two and three of this winter pattern going forward, which I’ll cover in the next post.

5:41 AM

The following are official snowfall totals from the National Weather Service for Monday, January 19th 2009.  However, it appears that the Albany office may have combined yesterday’s snowfall amounts with Sunday’s storm as well.  

DELAWARE

...NEW CASTLE COUNTY...
   BEAR                   0.2   700 PM  1/19
   WILMINGTON             0.2   700 PM  1/19   AIRPORT

NEW JERSEY

...ATLANTIC COUNTY...
   ESTELL MANOR           1.0   336 PM  1/19
   ATLANTIC CITY          0.9   700 PM  1/19   INTL AIRPORT
   PLEASANTVILLE          0.9   700 PM  1/19

...BURLINGTON COUNTY...
   EDGEWATER PARK         0.7   600 PM  1/19
   MOUNT HOLLY NWS        0.4   700 PM  1/19
   MOUNT LAUREL           0.3   430 PM  1/19
   SOUTHAMPTON            0.3   246 PM  1/19

...CAMDEN COUNTY...
   HADDONFIELD            0.5   700 PM  1/19

...CAPE MAY COUNTY...
   BEESLEYS POINT         0.8   800 PM  1/19
   OCEAN CITY             0.8   800 PM  1/19
   WOODBINE               0.8   800 PM  1/19
   ERMA                   0.5   800 PM  1/19
   SCOTCH BONNET          0.5   800 PM  1/19
   SEAVILLE               0.5   800 PM  1/19
   GREEN CREEK            0.3   800 PM  1/19

...GLOUCESTER COUNTY...
   NATIONAL PARK          0.8   700 PM  1/19
   WOODBURY               0.5   815 PM  1/19

...HUNTERDON COUNTY...
   WHITEHOUSE STATION     2.3   715 PM  1/19

...MERCER COUNTY...
   EWING                  1.1   600 PM  1/19
   HAMILTON               1.1   608 PM  1/19

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
   EDISON                 2.7   730 PM  1/19
   NEW BRUNSWICK          2.0   730 PM  1/19

...SOMERSET COUNTY...
   BRANCHBURG PARK        2.6   648 PM  1/19
   HILLSBOROUGH           2.5   630 PM  1/19
   SOMERSET               2.0   730 PM  1/19
   SOMERVILLE             1.9   947 PM  1/19

PENNSYLVANIA

...BERKS COUNTY...
   BERNVILLE              2.0   447 PM  1/19
   SINKING SPRING         2.0   447 PM  1/19

...BUCKS COUNTY...
   FURLONG                2.8   900 PM  1/19
   WARRINGTON             2.5   745 PM  1/19
   WEST ROCKHILL          2.5   715 PM  1/19
   FEASTERVILLE           1.3   620 PM  1/19
   MORRISVILLE            0.9   800 PM  1/19

...CHESTER COUNTY...
   PHOENIXVILLE           4.5   850 PM  1/19
   CHESTERBROOK           4.0   438 PM  1/19
   LIONVILLE              3.8   745 PM  1/19
   EAST NANTMEAL          3.5   603 PM  1/19
   EXTON                  3.5   330 PM  1/19
   WEST CALN              3.5   518 PM  1/19
   DOWNINGTOWN            3.2   444 PM  1/19
   OXFORD                 3.0   730 PM  1/19
   WEST CHESTER           3.0   520 PM  1/19

...DELAWARE COUNTY...
   DREXEL HILL            1.1   557 PM  1/19
   CLIFTON HEIGHTS        0.8   540 PM  1/19

...LEHIGH COUNTY...
   ALLENTOWN              1.2   700 PM  1/19   INTL AIRPORT

...MONTGOMERY COUNTY...
   TOWAMENCIN             5.0   445 PM  1/19
   EAGLEVILLE             4.3   521 PM  1/19
   ROYERSFORD             4.0   412 PM  1/19
   LANSDALE               3.5   630 PM  1/19
   BRYN MAWR              3.1   539 PM  1/19   VILLANOVA
   KING OF PRUSSIA        2.9   533 PM  1/19
   BLUE BELL              2.5   341 PM  1/19
   ELKINS PARK            2.0   745 PM  1/19
   WYNNEWOOD              1.5   730 PM  1/19

...NORTHAMPTON COUNTY...
   WILLIAMSPORT           1.7   625 PM  1/19
   BETHLEHEM              1.1   545 PM  1/19
   NORTHAMPTON            0.8   817 PM  1/19
   TATAMY                 0.6   548 PM  1/19

...PHILADELPHIA COUNTY...
   SOMERTON               1.4   700 PM  1/19
   PHILADELPHIA           0.8   700 PM  1/19   INTL AIRPORT
   PHILADELPHIA           0.7   626 PM  1/19

CONNECTICUT

...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...
   NEW CANAAN             2.4   820 PM  1/19   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   NEW CANAAN             2.3   700 PM  1/19   CT DOT
   DARIEN                 1.8   700 PM  1/19   CT DOT
   BRIDGEPORT             1.5   700 PM  1/19   CO-OP

...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...
   MILFORD                1.3   700 PM  1/19   CT DOT
   NORTH HAVEN            0.5   702 PM  1/19   PUBLIC
   NEW HAVEN              0.3   700 PM  1/19   CT DOT

...NEW LONDON COUNTY...
   COLCHESTER             0.3   700 PM  1/19   CT DOT

NEW JERSEY

...BERGEN COUNTY...
   RIDGEFIELD PARK        3.2   615 PM  1/19   PUBLIC
   PALISADES PARK         2.0   625 PM  1/19   PUBLIC
   FORT LEE               1.9   620 PM  1/19   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   RIDGEWOOD              1.4   700 PM  1/19   SKYWARN SPOTTER

...ESSEX COUNTY...
   WEST ORANGE            2.7   700 PM  1/19   PUBLIC
   CEDAR GROVE            2.0   815 PM  1/19   PUBLIC
   NEWARK                 1.5   700 PM  1/19   FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER
   MONTCLAIR              1.1   730 PM  1/19   PUBLIC

...HUDSON COUNTY...
   KEARNY                 2.5   745 PM  1/19   PUBLIC
   HARRISON               2.3   715 PM  1/19   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   HOBOKEN                1.1   815 PM  1/19   SKYWARN SPOTTER

NEW YORK

...BRONX COUNTY...
   BRONX                  2.5   755 PM  1/19   PUBLIC
   PARKCHESTER            2.4   805 PM  1/19   PUBLIC
   MORRIS PARK            2.3   800 PM  1/19   PUBLIC

...NEW YORK COUNTY...
   HARLEM                 2.1   800 PM  1/19   PUBLIC
   UPPER WEST SIDE        1.8   710 PM  1/19   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   NYC/CENTRAL PARK       1.8   700 PM  1/19   CENTRAL PARK ZOO

...QUEENS COUNTY...
   EAST ELMHURST          2.2   800 PM  1/19   PUBLIC
   NYC/LA GUARDIA         2.0   700 PM  1/19   FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER
   FLUSHING               1.8   800 PM  1/19   PUBLIC
   WOODSIDE               1.0   600 PM  1/19   SKYWARN SPOTTER
   NYC/JFK ARPT           0.8   700 PM  1/19   FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER

...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...
   HARRISON               2.8   610 PM  1/19   PUBLIC
   NEW ROCHELLE           2.8   733 PM  1/19   SKYWARN SPOTTER

CONNECTICUT

...LITCHFIELD COUNTY...
   BAKERSVILLE            6.2   700 AM  1/19 COOP
   WINSTED                4.5   700 AM  1/19 TRAINED SPOTTER
   NORFOLK                4.3   700 AM  1/19 COOP
   TORRINGTON             4.0  1001 AM  1/18 TRAINED SPOTTER
   SHARON                 3.5   520 PM  1/18 WXNET 6
   NORTH CANAAN           3.0   100 PM  1/18 CT DOT
   WINCHESTER             3.0   100 PM  1/18 CT DOT
   LITCHFIELD             2.5   100 PM  1/18 CT DOT
   THOMASTON              2.3   100 PM  1/18 CT DOT

MASSACHUSETTS

...BERKSHIRE COUNTY...
   ALFORD                 5.0  1052 PM  1/18 WXNET 6
   SAVOY                  3.8  1044 PM  1/18 WXNET 6

NEW YORK

...ALBANY COUNTY...
   ALBANY                 4.0  1124 PM  1/18 NWS EMPLOYEE
   ALBANY                 3.0  1130 AM  1/19 NWS/CESTM
   WATERVLIET             2.5   737 AM  1/19 WXNET 6
   COLONIE                2.3  1109 PM  1/18 WXNET 6
   RENSSELAERVILLE        2.0   700 AM  1/19 COCORAHS
   SCHENECTADY            1.7   700 AM  1/19 COCORAHS
   ALTAMONT               1.5   700 AM  1/19 COCORAHS

...COLUMBIA COUNTY...
   ANCRAMDALE             2.8   604 PM  1/18 WXNET 6
   TAGHKANIC              2.7   807 AM  1/19 WXNET 6
   LIVINGSTON             2.3  1102 PM  1/18 WXNET 6
   HUDSON                 2.0   700 AM  1/19 COCORAHS

...DUTCHESS COUNTY...
   POUGHKEEPSIE           3.7   700 AM  1/19 COCORAHS
   PLEASANT VALLEY        2.8  1245 PM  1/18 TRAINED SPOTTER
   POUGHQUAG              1.5   153 PM  1/18 TRAINED SPOTTER

...FULTON COUNTY...
   PECK LAKE              5.6   700 AM  1/19 COOP
   BROADALBIN             5.3   548 AM  1/19 WXNET 6

...GREENE COUNTY...
   ELKA PARK              4.5   634 PM  1/18 WXNET 6
   CATSKILL               2.1   500 PM  1/18 TRAINED SPOTTER

...HAMILTON COUNTY...
   SPECULATOR             3.7   700 AM  1/19 COCORAHS
   INDIAN LAKE            2.8   700 AM  1/19 COOP
   PISECO                 2.6   700 AM  1/19 COOP

...MONTGOMERY COUNTY...
   FONDA                  4.0   700 AM  1/19 COCORAHS
   AMSTERDAM              3.8  1101 PM  1/18 WXNET 6
   GLEN                   3.3  1107 PM  1/18 WXNET 6
   FORT PLAIN             2.8  1058 PM  1/18 WXNET 6
   FORT PLAIN             2.3   700 AM  1/19 COCORAHS

...RENSSELAER COUNTY...
   SCHAGHTICOKE           5.5  1057 PM  1/18 WXNET 6
   BRUNSWICK              4.6   700 AM  1/19 COOP
   AVERILL PARK           4.4   700 AM  1/19 COCORAHS
   CENTER BRUNSWICK       4.3  1048 PM  1/18 WXNET 6
   BUSKIRK                4.1   700 AM  1/19 COOP
   TROY                   2.9   700 AM  1/19 COOP
   STEPHENTOWN            2.0   635 AM  1/19 WXNET 6

...SARATOGA COUNTY...
   WILTON                 9.3   921 AM  1/19 TRAINED SPOTTER
   SARATOGA SPRINGS       8.7  1100 PM  1/18 COCORAHS
   PORTER CORNERS         8.5  1122 PM  1/18 WXNET 6
   WILTON                 7.5   454 AM  1/19 WXNET 6
   GANSEVOORT             7.1   700 AM  1/19 COCORAHS
   MALTA                  7.0   423 AM  1/19 WXNET 6
   ROUND LAKE             5.4   700 AM  1/19 COOP
   MECHANICVILLE          5.3   700 AM  1/19 COCORAHS
   EDINBURG               5.1   700 AM  1/19 COCORAHS

...SCHENECTADY COUNTY...
   NISKAYUNA              3.6   700 AM  1/19 COOP
   SCOTIA                 1.5   307 PM  1/18 WXNET 6

...SCHOHARIE COUNTY...
   JEFFERSON              5.0  1135 PM  1/18 WXNET 6
   RICHMONDVILLE          5.0  1036 PM  1/18 WXNET 6
   SCHOHARIE              2.5   700 AM  1/19 COOP

...ULSTER COUNTY...
   SLIDE MOUNTAIN         6.0   700 AM  1/19 COOP
   KINGSTON               4.9   839 PM  1/18 TRAINED SPOTTER
   WEST SHOKAN            4.7   700 AM  1/19 COOP
   PHOENICIA              4.3   700 AM  1/19 COOP
   KERHONKSON             4.2   416 PM  1/18 WXNET 6
   ESOPUS                 4.0   905 PM  1/18 WXNET 6
   SAUGERTIES             2.6   913 PM  1/18 WXNET 6

...WARREN COUNTY...
   GLENS FALLS            6.4   700 AM  1/19 COCORAHS
   NORTH CREEK            2.5   700 AM  1/19 COOP
   WARRENSBURG            2.3  1245 PM  1/18 TRAINED SPOTTER

...WASHINGTON COUNTY...
   COSSAYUNA              5.1   648 AM  1/19 WXNET 6
   HEBRON                 4.5   629 AM  1/19 WXNET 6
   WHITEHALL              3.3   411 PM  1/18 WXNET 6
   GRANVILLE              2.5   435 AM  1/19 WXNET 6

VERMONT

...BENNINGTON COUNTY...
   SUNDERLAND             4.5   700 AM  1/19 COOP
   WOODFORD               3.0   637 AM  1/19 WXNET 6

...WINDHAM COUNTY...
   TOWNSHEND              8.0   700 AM  1/19 TRAINED SPOTTER
   GUILFORD               6.3   545 PM  1/18 SPOTTER
   WEST DUMMERSTON        5.3   959 AM  1/19 TRAINED SPOTTER

As you may have read, I am not all that impressed with the potential for a Nor’ Easter this weekend.  The thoughts on this potential are covered in the technical forecast discussion.

I do want to point out though that I think the theme I am discussing today will become a key issue this winter for storms along the coast.  The position and strength of the ridge over the Western United States and the state of the North Atlantic Osscilation (NAO) will be key this winter.  I am expecting a weakening Pacific jet stream this winter, which should allow for a ridge to develop over the West.  However, the teleconnections that seem to continue to show up to this point can be dated back to the position of troughs and ridges over the western Pacific.  The trough that develops over Japan has the axis of the trough over the Japan Sea.  The progression of this large scale wave would suggest a trough axis along the East coast.  The position of the trough axis slightly off the coast has lead to a compel of close calls already.  Note the storm that has potential to develop off the East coast in late September and the potential storm for this weekend.

Now, there are indications of the Pacific setting up so that the ridge, trough positions would focus storms closer to the coast line.  I am watching the changes in the Pacific and the Indian Ocean very carefully and it is these changes why I am holding off on issuing the winter forecast at this time.  

I do think that there will be a better chance for storms along the East coast this year.  The question now comes into whether the position of the troughs and ridges will allow the storms to develop close enough to the coast. If they do develop, will a progressive pattern from a weakening PNA ridge allow the storms enough time to develop.  These questions are still unresolved and will likely be the main questions through the winter.

The majority of the severe weather will once again focus along a long and winding frontal boundary from the northern Plains through the Great Lakes and into the Northeast.  

Over the northern Plains, the combination of a weakening MCS and a series of strengthening mid level disturbances will produce vertical and speed wind shear aloft and strong moisture and thermal convergence at the surface, which will support the development of strong to severe thunderstorms over the region.  The upper level dynamics combined with the unstable atmosphere will lead to the development of thunderstorms capable of producing large hail, heavy downpours, wind gusts exceeding 65 mph, and isolated tornadoes.  The most significant threat for severe thunderstorms will be found over Nebraska, South Dakota, Iowa, and Minnesota with decreasing coverage to the east over Wisconsin, Illinois, and Indian.

Another disturbance will produce showers and thunderstorms along the cold front over the Ohio Valley.  The upper level dynamics are not as impressive in these areas, however marginal wind shear remains and thus the threat for large hail and wind gusts up to 65 mph remains a threat.  

A large area of showers and thunderstorms have developed along and to the south of a warm front over New England.  Strong isentropic lifting combined with a jet streak at 300 MB is producing a significant amount of lifting over northern New England.  As a result, showers and thunderstorms continue to train over the area leading to the threat of flash flooding via heavy rainfall.  Wind gusts exceeding 65 mph due to downdraft winds tapping into the jet maximum along with a 40 KT low level jet at 850 MB will also remain a threat.

Outflow boundaries from the heavy rainfall over northern New York and New England will further enhance the unstable atmosphere over much of the Mohawk and Hudson Valleys of New York, southern New England, the New York City metro and the northern Philadelphia metro including much of northeastern Pennsylvania.  The influences of tropical storm Cristobal along with the influence of strong mid level disturbances from the approaching cold front is producing significant speed and vertical wind shear over the area, which will support the development of multi-cell or super-cell thunderstorms over much of the area.  The most significant threat from these thunderstorms will be heavy rainfall, frequent lightning, large hail, and wind gusts over 65 mph.  The dry air at the mid levels from the influence of Tropical Storm Cristobal may lead to the outbreak of small to large hail over northern and central New Jersey, northern Philadelphia metro, northeastern Pennsylvania, and New York City.  Meanwhile, the outflow boundaries moving south over the Mohawk and Hudson Valleys will produce a more significant wind damage threat.  In short, an active afternoon can be expected.