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Tag Archive for 'isentropic'

Significant flooding event expected for this weekend

4:25 PM
The storm is starting to organize over the Plains, Gulf Coast, and Southeast.  The model guidance at this point is in very strong agreement for a widespread heavy rainfall starting tomorrow afternoon and continuing on through Sunday morning with rainfall amounts by Monday morning ranging from 2 inches to as much as 5.5 inches [...]

Evening Thoughts- Zeroing in on winter storm impacts

10:00 PM
My thoughts this evening on the storm for Friday night through Sunday morning has not changed much.  The overall development of the storm will depend on the development of the Polar Vortex and the interaction of the Arctic cold front with the Sub Tropical disturbance.
The initial set up for this storm on Friday afternoon [...]

Evening Thoughts- lets get ready to rumble

9:35 PM
I have a feeling that I am going to be a very busy meteorologist through the New Year.  The active, cold pattern is well on the way of forming and organizing and the agreement on the GFS and ECMWF in the medium and long range guidance of the overall pattern structure is nearly uncanny. [...]

Active end to October expected

5:15 AM
High pressure will continue to remain in control through this evening and into Tuesday morning with few to scattered cloud cover, dry conditions, and temperatures averaging near normal.  The start of this week will be the best period of the next seven days.
The surface features that will move through the East coast and specifically [...]

Heavy rain and severe weather a significant threat

7:30 AM
The forecast for today through tonight is best described as significantly complicated and potentially very active.  The main theme is basically the progression of the warm front currently over southwesterly Pennsylvania through eastern Virginia.  I want to start with the fact that the surface low pressure system is further north and weaker than forecasted [...]

High pressure gives way as rain is on the way

7:27 AM
The pleasant weather conditions from yesterday are about to come to an end.  So is my confidence in model guidance, by the way.  However, before I get to that, let’s take a look at the precipitation that is charging towards the forecast area. 
High pressure currently centered over eastern Connecticut and Rhode Island, will continue [...]

Another cool, raw day for this summer

7:34 AM
The theme for this summer, raw and cool, looks to continue as once again the forecast area is positioned north of a stationary front this morning.  The forecast area is clearly under the influence of a marine air mass as an easterly wind fostered by high pressure over Maine and a stationary front over [...]

Severe weather potentially explosive tomorrow afternoon

9:38 PM
A preview of the a potentially very active afternoon was seen this afternoon over much of southern Monmouth and Ocean counties of New Jersey this afternoon.  A weak disturbance, a remnant from the MCS that impacted much of the Mid West early this morning, sparked off a cluster of showers and thunderstorms.  These thunderstorms [...]

Stormy day gives way to windy weekend

6:26 AM
Today would not be the day to open two new baseball stadiums in the New York City area as a rainy and stormy day and evening is expected.  Currently, a warm front is progressing northward over the Maryland and Delaware with a steady light rain over much of the forecast area this morning.  The [...]

Fog will burn away, severe weather on the way

7:40 AM
The latest visible satellite image clearly shows that fog has developed throughout much of the forecast area with dense fog advisories issued for much of the region.  The dense fog has developed due to a combination of lingering low level moisture from a few showers early this morning and very light winds.  The good [...]



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