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A Back Door Cold Front That Means Business

March 17th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:14 AM
While many think of Spring as a time of green grass returning, warmer temperatures, and a quieter weather pattern; Spring also means the return for the difficult forecast phenomena of a back door cold front. A back door cold front is basically a cold front the develops over the Canadian Maritimes and drives southwestward [...]

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My Winter Forecast For 2008/09

October 22nd, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

It is once again that time of year where snow lovers across the Northeast and Mid Atlantic have one question and one desire. Will my back yard see plenty of white or brown mud?
Before I go into detail about my winter forecast, I want to explain how I developed and produced the theory for [...]

Tags: area, Atlantic, axis, blocking, cold, CONUS, Cuba, Disturbance, east, england, enso, evenings, Fall, features work, forecast, forecaster, front, greenland, guidance, height anomalies, hot, hot chocolate, Hurricane, indirect impacts, interaction, issue at hand, japan, Jets, lows, Mexico, Mississippi, mistake, models, moisture, nao, normal, north, north observation, Northeast, observations, October, Ohio, one desire, opinions, pdo, Philadelphia, plains, precipitation, predominant characteristics, pressure changes, Reading, Ridge, s, satellite, satellite data, siberia, signs, snow, snow lovers, Southeast, Storm, storms, stratosphere, stratospheric temperature, subsidence, synoptic, synoptic features, systems, Teleconnection, teleconnection indices, Teleconnections, temperature, temperature and pressure, temperatures, Tropical, tropics, Trough, warm, watches, weather, weather enthusiast, west, wills, Winter. General Discussions Closed

Evening Thoughts

October 21st, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

I’m sure everyone got a good look at the 12Z model guidance and how different the GFS and ECMWF were for the end of this up coming 10 day period.
Let’s break down what we are looking at with the two maps on the left. These maps can be found at the Penn State E-wall, [...]

Tags: alaska, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, blocking, Bradford, central europe, cold, Connecticut, deep trough, E-wall, east, East Coast, ecmwf, evening thoughts, evenings, forecast, forecast area, gfs, globe, greenland, guidance, hard freeze, Harford, high potential, Islip, japan, Long Island, lows, maps, Model Guidance, models, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, North America, October, omega, Penn State, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, Reading, Ridge, Scranton, siberia, snow, snow flakes, south, Sussex, Teleconnection, Teleconnections, Trenton, Trough, White Plains, Wild Wood. General Discussions Closed